WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:06 AM, yoda said: hours 67 to 78 look nice on the CCB Expand LOL where are you seeing this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:06 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL where are you seeing this? Expand Im trying to figure out where also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:09 AM, stormtracker said: Im trying to figure out where also Expand Allentown 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I think @yoda is seeing it here: https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:06 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL where are you seeing this? Expand On 1/30/2021 at 4:09 AM, stormtracker said: Im trying to figure out where also Expand CMC precip type map https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC is close to 8° colder at the surface compared to the gfs at 0z Monday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 3:29 AM, frd said: OMG Expand Classic look of a B Dc does good. Baltimore better. NE MD to Philly spectacular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 00z CMC tucks off OCMD. As @psuhoffman states, it's great. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:16 AM, Eskimo Joe said: 00z CMC tucks off OCMD. As @psuhoffman states, it's great. Expand CMC tucks us long time this run. 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:18 AM, Amped said: CMC tucks us long time this run. Expand Can we someone post cmc maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:18 AM, Amped said: CMC tucks us long time this run. Expand It's the best case scenario, especially for DC/I-66 and points south. There definitely has been a northward tick with the 00z runs. Hopefully it's just a blip and when the Euro comes out it'll hold serve. The 00z suite is the first set of models that has all of the energy well onshore and sample by the RAOB network so we should see the guidance get a better handle on things quickly. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 3:59 AM, ErinInTheSky said: Beautiful. GFS gives me my foot of snow, doesn't stop snowing til Tuesday afternoon. Expand A little late here on this question, but any indication how that snow is "distributed" between the initial WAA and CCB parts? Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:21 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: A little late here on this question, but any indication how that snow is "distributed" between the initial WAA and CCB parts? Just curious. Expand This is a win for everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:21 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: A little late here on this question, but any indication how that snow is "distributed" between the initial WAA and CCB parts? Just curious. Expand In DC, about 5” are from the WAA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 3:58 AM, psuhoffman said: 12 hours ago that vort over New England was trending south. It has since relaxed some. But in a way suppressed is still an issue just not in an easily apparent way. But the fail option is to see the WAA wave suppressed...then have the coastal develop too late like the NAM. That ends up looking like the problem was a north trend because the coastal wraps snow back in to our north but in reality suppression initially helped that happen. We need a storm to develop a healthy circulation and amp up quicker down here compared to the other northeast cities further up the coast. Expand So...are you saying that we can benefit from even more relaxation of that vort over NE? So in a way it's like the opposite...suppression issues show up as "north" and not south? In other words, a further relaxation of that vort would produce a more of a "south"--in a good way--solution? *head spinning* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC cut back on the waa this run. 3 or 4 inches for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:23 AM, paweather said: This is a win for everyone. Expand Thanks southern PA guy!! 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:27 AM, clskinsfan said: CMC cut back on the waa this run. 3 or 4 inches for everyone. Expand Not the trend I like to see continue on the 00z suite. Hopefully that reverses tomorrow as the mesos get into range. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC hour 108 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:20 AM, Eskimo Joe said: It's the best case scenario, especially for DC/I-66 and points south. There definitely has been a northward tick with the 00z runs. Hopefully it's just a blip and when the Euro comes out it'll hold serve. The 00z suite is the first set of models that has all of the energy well onshore and sample by the RAOB network so we should see the guidance get a better handle on things quickly. Expand CMC is best case scenario for everyone. Form VA to ME just about. It's the only model showing a HECS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:21 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: A little late here on this question, but any indication how that snow is "distributed" between the initial WAA and CCB parts? Just curious. Expand It’s hard to pin for everyone because the rain snow line is moving north then sinking south. But for the DC metro and northern VA this is all snow from the WAA and this is snow from the CCB so far tonight my only qualm for N VA would be the coastal capture is happening a little slower and that risks shifting the CCB northeast of the area if it develops too late. But that’s always a risk with a miller b. The DC split. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:27 AM, clskinsfan said: CMC cut back on the waa this run. 3 or 4 inches for everyone. Expand Would that be the first sign that things are going wrong? I remember a storm like this once about 10 years ago where we were supposed to get a foot and the next morning I had two inches and regular citizens in Philly were digging snow out of the stadium in order to have a football game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:29 AM, gopper said: CMC hour 108 Expand NE MD pummelled! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:30 AM, blueberryfaygo said: Would that be the first sign that things are going wrong? I remember a storm like this once about 10 years ago where we were supposed to get a foot and the next morning I had two inches and regular citizens in Philly were digging snow out of the stadium in order to have a football game. Expand The CMC just dumped over a foot of snow in your neighborhood. There may be reasons to worry, but the CMC isn’t one of them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:31 AM, jaydreb said: NE MD pummelled! Expand Baltimore City pummeled, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:29 AM, stormtracker said: Thanks southern PA guy!! Expand Sorry been on this forum since Marcus I needed to just say something, I don't mean any harm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:31 AM, jaydreb said: NE MD pummelled! Expand what worries me is I keep seeing that southern NJ jackpot... back in December a storm pivoted over the NE like this one.. and some people saw all time records.. the way this thing tucks and pivots tells me that their is going to be a isolated max potential area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:29 AM, psuhoffman said: It’s hard to pin for everyone because the rain snow line is moving north then sinking south. But for the DC metro and northern VA this is all snow from the WAA and this is snow from the CCB so far tonight my only qualm for N VA would be the coastal capture is happening a little slower and that risks shifting the CCB northeast of the area if it develops too late. But that’s always a risk with a miller b. The DC split. Expand Thanks, PSU, that's an excellent and clear delineation there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 4:30 AM, blueberryfaygo said: Would that be the first sign that things are going wrong? I remember a storm like this once about 10 years ago where we were supposed to get a foot and the next morning I had two inches and regular citizens in Philly were digging snow out of the stadium in order to have a football game. Expand Depends where you live. I certainly dont like the trend at 0Z for my area. But up where you are you should be pretty happy. I had pretty low expectations for my area anyways. We always get screwed in Miller B's. ALWAYS. I was hoping to snag 6 inches with the waa. But that has trended down tonight as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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