Solution Man Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO compared to 12Z same time. Keep em coming WW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Any word on the euro? Here's hr90, I can't really analyze much beyond since I lack the expertise, but 1mb weaker and a tad north compared to 12z Basically identical to the 12z EPS though which was our best look yet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 18z and 12z look very similar albeit both the SLP and 500 low are a touch north of 12z. EPS will go out to 144 so will capture the important parts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Man, the euro's positioning of the high is $! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Man, the euro's positioning of the high is $! Looks better compared to 12z, more expansive and a tiny bit stronger. It's damn cold in New York leading up to this, -10s to -20s as lows the day before. Temps def shouldnt be an issue for the front end thump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cobalt said: Looks better compared to 12z, more expansive and a tiny bit stronger. It's damn cold in New York leading up to this, -10s to -20s as lows the day before. Temps def shouldnt be an issue for the front end thump. That's a big difference compared to GooFuS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Not that you’d expect much differences in a 90hr forecast from one run to another, but the 18z is so close to 12z, that it might just be slight timing differences. Confluence differences in NE are a bit more distinctly different, but the shortwave and low look essentially identical. 7 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Deck Pic said: Thanks Matt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I posted it last week when people got all excited about the gfs showing that mirage blizzard. The gfs is currently ranked dead last at 120 hours. It’ll slowly coave to the euro like it always does. I only personally ever use it at this range to verify that a storm is possible. Once under 84 hours it’s okay. The JMA has better verification statistically than the GFS at day 5 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Did anybody post the mean 18z eps precip total? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Did anybody post the mean 18z eps precip total? EPS not out yet. Should be in like 10-20 minutes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Did anybody post the mean 18z eps precip total? Not out yet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Weaker primary earlier transfer on the 18z eps. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Weaker primary earlier transfer on the 18z eps. This is exactly what we needed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 What does this mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 ILM, obx, then off va beach on the mean. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Hard to tell in the swarm, but seems like the tuck and stall off the coast is well liked by the 18z EPS maybe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: ILM, obx, then off va beach on the mean. how does it compare to the 12z run? any slight changes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 People are gonna be quite happy with this EPS. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, ryanconway63 said: how does it compare to the 12z run? any slight changes? I’m a nobody but to my eyes it’s better. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: This looks beautiful to my eyes. How does precip look? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 looks like an ideal track 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Me likey....hints of the CCB on an ensemble mean. LFG. 7 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Me likey....hints of the CCB on an ensemble mean. LFG. Wow, I bet there are some beasts in the mean then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: Let’s be honest, per TT’s snow depth change it is a 2” storm on the front side with some wackiness on the back to pump it up. I dunno what the TT depth uses but about .4-.55 qpf falls before there is mixing across the general area low to high from EZF to Baltimore. I know WAA won’t have high ratios but I don’t see why they would be that low either. So that looks like a general 4-5” thump followed by dry slot then 2-4” with the upper low. Even if we toss the back end stuff that’s still by far the biggest snow for the area in a long time and I don’t see why we toss the upper low when something like that is showing on all guidance. Besides speculation that the run will be worse then it really is could happen with ANYTHING...it’s still kinda lol to see people calling a warning level snowfall a “disaster”. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Me likey....hints of the CCB on an ensemble mean. LFG. Snow mean up from 12z 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Good god yes. Look at that due almost East movement on the last panel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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