Negnao Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: CMC doesn’t come out until 11, unless You mean rgem? https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Its out to 48 here. Has been for 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Please Wow. DC to NYC along 95 get crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Especially if the sleet is during the lull after the WAA anyway. You aren’t “wasting” much precip. Exactly. It’s typical to mix during the dry slot because the dry slot typically corresponds to the mid level warning cutting off the intense WAA lift and with less intense precip you can’t mix out the warm pockets. That’s typical. It’s different from a solution that shows a legit flip during the heavy WAA precip or a track so far north we miss the deform on the back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Awesome, when ICON corrects south due to the suppression we’ve heard so much about earlier, it’ll put MD/NOVA in the bullseye instead of PA. 5 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I’m currently dreaming of my 36” in Elkridge back in 2010. I’ll never see it again.....or WILL I!? eta: meh. I’m out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, Negnao said: Staying up here it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: ICON sucks here. Glad its a horrid model. Not by the maps posted here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Awesome, when ICON corrects south due to the suppression we’ve heard so much about earlier, it’ll put MD/NOVA in the bullseye instead of PA. Nah. PA sees the most on the ICON. York rt-30 area. Check out the maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 18 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Let’s be fair here. Any runs that show a more southern outcome ... you freak out. That’s when you somehow stop seeing the bigger picture. But I totally understand. This is an imby sport. But it works both ways. Very very true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Not by the maps posted here yeah. I am getting greedy now. The 2 day Euro bullseye is messing with me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 still snow on the ICON in eastern VA Wed morning....unreal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Aleet...Aleet...Aleet... Icon is a real snow job. 4 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 19 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Weird you got sleet in Feb 11, 2010. I don't remember any sleet with that one. Seemed like a straight cold powder bomb, but maybe I'm not remembering right. Maybe there was a lull with sleet in the middle. I think recency bias is part of the issue. I don't remember sleet in any of the 2009-2010 storms, and not in the 2016 storm either. I got sleet in 2003, but it was at the end and I was in College Park, which got less (and always seems to) than the surrounding area anyway. You also tend to remember the great part of the storms and the end result more than anything that happened during it, though when you are getting sleeted on, it is agonizing waiting for the changeover. It was torture waiting for the changeover in January 2011, and then it dumped like 8 inches in three hours. Agree. Wrt 2010 it was after the initial WAA precip during the lull before the coastal ccb blew up. Just a few sleet showers during the lull. 18 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I'd think a more southern outcome should make us all sweat a little bit...since psu dropped that bit about an outside chance it gets too far south and misses the transfer. @psuhoffman correct me if I interpreted that wrong. It’s not so much south as suppressed. But the two correlate. I want an amped up STORM!!! Heavy precip. Big totals somewhere. Death bands to analyze. Even if this amps up too much and we flip we would get a heavy WAA thump first because to displace the locked in cold would take some impressive WAA. So it wouldn’t be a non event. This is preference but I would take a more dynamic event and risk mixing over a weaker mundane event. 6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Its out to 48 here. Has been for 20 minutes. That’s the rgem. It uses the rgem to 48 then ggem after. It never changed when the rgem extended to 84. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, nj2va said: Awesome, when ICON corrects south due to the suppression we’ve heard so much about earlier, it’ll put MD/NOVA in the bullseye instead of PA. N VA gets 10-12” lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, SnowDreamer said: What’s that word again? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: That’s the rgem. It uses the rgem to 48 then ggem after. It never changed when the rgem extended to 84. Thanks. Didnt know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: What’s that word again? friend? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: What’s that word again? Horrible model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 GFS to 51hrs looks fairly similar at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 GFS seems like it is having a nightmare time with that primary low..... i guess we should expect that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Icon snow maps are so bizarre based on what site you used. They are different by 15 inches for some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 GFS just refuses to fold. That frikin model is gonna give me a heart attack. I mean it is a disaster out here. It might score a coup and then I am quitting this disaster of a hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 The stubborn Goofus continues to sit on an island by itself with that primary being so far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2021 Author Share Posted January 29, 2021 GFS won't budge...interesting. Interested to see if the para hangs on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 H5 closed low over western half of Ohio versus it being ESE of there on the prior run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS won't budge...interesting. Interested to see if the para hangs on I can see some changes on the H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS won't budge...interesting. Interested to see if the para hangs on Somewhere in the last 12 hours, it was noted that WPC is basically not using it at all -and I forget why -but it was for a particular reason. Hope they are right about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 It does get the ccb into DC at 87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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