psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 RGEM shifted a bit south too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The upper low is in the process of capture on both the NAM and RGEM...the low is likely to move NNE then tuck NNW a bit from there and end up just east of the Delmarva. You can see the weakness to the north in the isobars, especially on the RGEM but its hinted on the NAM also. 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hypothetical 240 hour snow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: The upper low is in the process of capture on both the NAM and RGEM...the low is likely to move NNE then tuck NNW a bit from there and end up just east of the Delmarva. You can see the weakness to the north in the isobars, especially on the RGEM but its hinted on the NAM also. What does that mean for us around I-95? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The upper low is in the process of capture on both the NAM and RGEM...the low is likely to move NNE then tuck NNW a bit from there and end up just east of the Delmarva. You can see the weakness to the north in the isobars, especially on the RGEM but its hinted on the NAM also. I have a feeling that between now and Saturday night, we are going to see some wild solutions. Wouldn't be surprised to see the Euro numbers from 2 days ago pop up. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Ya'll are amateurs at worrying about the fringe. I will be all over it when a bad run comes out we need to worry about a good ol fringing. NAM/RGEM both looked good. If you look at the h5 on the NAM, its closed, amplifying, and headed right for VA. It's maybe even better then the h5 look on the euro at the same time. The low is at the same spot. That is going to capture and tuck just east of OC. Both NAM/RGEM would have been really good runs if they continued. Probably very close to the euro, maybe even a slightly quicker capture and tuck which is good. 4 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The upper low is in the process of capture on both the NAM and RGEM...the low is likely to move NNE then tuck NNW a bit from there and end up just east of the Delmarva. You can see the weakness to the north in the isobars, especially on the RGEM but its hinted on the NAM also. @psuhoffman Do you think based on the modeling today Eastern areas can see a mostly snow event ? I realize we still have some time to go, but would appreciate any insights, thanks ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I have a feeling that between now and Saturday night, we are going to see some wild solutions. Wouldn't be surprised to see the Euro numbers from 2 days ago pop up. If that deform band actually does setup right over us and stall for 18 hours like that yes we will. That band will juice up some imo and the ratios under that will be very high. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Surprised nobody posted the RGEM. Looks pretty good. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Nice front end thump on 18z GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, frd said: @psuhoffman Do you think based on the modeling today Eastern areas can see a mostly snow event ? I realize we still have some time to go, but would appreciate any insights, thanks ! east of the bay is gonna be tough...when the low gets captured off the delmarva thats a long time under an easterly fetch. But I think its likely you get a nice WAA thump and then can catch some of the CCB if the storm slides more east then NE at the end. But I kinda doubt it stays totally 100% snow over there. But it rarely does even in the big ones. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Low in Indiana vs Ohio. Much better spot for the handoff... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Hopefully we can do better than the 4" in VA beach today 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Another step towards the euro. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS torches again overnight Sun into Monday. 38 at the surface at DCA. we are going to have some takers for the 93 hour panel, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS trying...maybe by Tuesday it'll get onboard. Nice look dark blue from DC N and W at 96 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 850 low definitely further south this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 There we go! 18z Monday. Central MD death band? eta: GFS seem to be continuing to bow to the king... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS goes boom at hour 96. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_K76 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Any hope for RVA area seeing major snow.. or is that quickly dwindling lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS trying...maybe by Tuesday it'll get onboard. Nice look dark blue from DC N and W at 96 By happy hour Sunday the GFS will be honking lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Check out that qpf in Central MD 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Thankfully, we know the GFS thermals are some straight up shit. 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Total snow 10:1 at DCA - 10” hooray! Total depth change - 3” argh! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS full cave <3 GFS now shows more snow than Euro, for me at least. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 DC in double digits at 102 and still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 This is a little late, but I'm shocked nobody posted this. The GEPS totals at DCA are nutso. Strongest MECS support I've seen from any ensemble so far. I count 18/20 with 6"+ 9/20 with 10"+ by 12z Tues.... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MN Transplant said: Total snow 10:1 at DCA - 10” hooray! Total depth change - 3” argh! Total reported: 2" 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Looking more, I see that the GFS is not as good for the cities, but it's def better for MoCo and Frederick lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, ErinInTheSky said: GFS full cave <3 GFS now shows more snow than Euro, for me at least. And take into account GFS’ whack thermals and its even better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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