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Jan 31 - Feb 2 Storm


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4 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said:

I found this interesting.   GFS 2m temps Sunday morning   vs RGEM 2m temps same time.

image.png.40760c4ce4bddaa0ff0cb7c5eb8ddc98.png

image.png.4f707239f7141afd27f2cc6b8b2446e5.png

Wow that’s not just a disagreement amongst friends.  Hopefully GooFuS just totally under doing the CAD.  Based on the setup I’d guess low to mid 20s DC and suburbs makes the most sense.

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1 hour ago, clskinsfan said:

Not for all of us it wouldnt. That storm kind of sucked out here. 

That storm was an absolute nightmare.  I was in front royal at that time.  We got slop during the waa and about 3 inches from the coastal.   Bright sunshine by noon that day as the rest of the forum was blasted all afternoon.

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

CMC is very nice.  from the ptype plots...very nice WAA thump then we get CCB'd pretty darn good even down into N VA.  East of a IAD to Me line does mix with sleet for a time and east of 95 mixes with some rain but VERY nice front and back end.  

I'd argue even down toward EZF looking at 108-118 for the CCB

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I guess EZF is kinda my line for what is northern v Central VA.  Somewhere around there is the divide for the CCB though.  But south of there gets some pretty good WAA thump at the start.  

 

5 minutes ago, yoda said:

I'd argue even down toward EZF looking at 108-118 for the CCB

Appreciate the EZF love Yoda.....know what usually happens down here. A warning level storm will be great, any CCB love would just be a bonus!

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Just now, Amped said:

Both the GFS and CMC have incredible CCBS. 

Watch carefully and you can see the coastal drop back to the southwest  along the NJ/DE coasts.

I don't know if that will actually verify.

Those hourly panels on the CMC are amazing. The Low just keeps getting pushed back west. It sits off of OC for 24 hours and rakes the western burbs. 

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