LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I may be off, but the 6z euro looks better than 0z but I’m dealing with limited maps. Confluence is better in the NE and H5 is “tighter”. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: I may be off, but the 6z euro looks better than 0z but I’m dealing with limited maps. Confluence is better in the NE and H5 is “tighter”. Looking at H5, confluence looks a bit better to me too. Surface maps are slower to load so haven’t seen the surface yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesrck63 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 26 minutes ago, Hurricanegiants said: For reference today/tonight/and insomnia: GFS (wicked step) 0z: 10:30pm 6z: 4:30am 12z: 10:30am 18z: 4:30pm NAM (weenie for $500) 0z: 8:35pm 6z: 2:35am 12z: 8:35am 18z: 2:35pm CMC (Hail Mary) 0z: 12:00am 12z : 12:00pm UKMET (gap fill) 0z: 12:30am 12z: 12:30pm Dr. No (no formal acronym needed) 0z: 1:30am 12z: 1:30pm Way to forget the ICON lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro taking its sweet time on WxBell to get anything other than 5H maps to load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 DC doesn’t do complicated very well 99% of the time. Late December 2000 was 6-10 that became a total whiff. Jan 2005 was a potential big one that only produced a few inches of WAA snow (in a very cold airmass btw) that then dry slotted while NYC got 15 inches because someone sneezed in the Lincoln Tunnel. So many easy ways to fail. At least if we get something on the front end and some on the back end it will fall in different months so from a stats standpoint we could perhaps get close to monthly snow averages. Always need to look on the bright side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 6z was weaker and further south with the primary.( 84 hr) Snowing in your yard by mid morning Sunday. the Euro or JMA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 That rain/snow line sure has trended closer to D.C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 23 minutes ago, nj2va said: Euro taking its sweet time on WxBell to get anything other than 5H maps to load. It's been stuck on 30hr for like 30mins now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12 minutes ago, BristowWx said: the Euro or JMA? Morning Euro overall held steady and from what I am hearing maybe some subtle improvements in terms of the transfer and trough placement. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, frd said: Morning Euro overall held steady and from what I am hearing maybe some subtle improvements in terms of the transfer and trough placement. Roger. That’s good news. Appreciate that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Eps looks weaker with the primary . Quicker transfer through 96 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Eps looks weaker with the primary . Quicker transfer through 96 Colder as well . Nice run incoming It’s a sweet one. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Big improvement on the 6z eps. Control as well. Just pretend you never saw 0z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 NWS seems awfully bullish. Saturday Night A chance of snow, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Snow, mainly after 7am. High near 32. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Sunday Night Snow likely. The snow could be heavy at times. Cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Monday Snow likely. The snow could be heavy at times. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 50%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Rgem looks acceptable through 84 . Primary appears to slowly die in Kentucky or western WV next couple frames. A quicker primary death is preferred yes? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 EPS looks pretty good to the naked, tired 8:12 AM eye - quicker transfer for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: A quicker primary death is preferred yes? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: A quicker primary death is preferred yes? It’s the only think that matters. Eliminates south winds ahead of it, allows the coastal to crank earlier. Euro and gfs are 6-12 hours apart on that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: A quicker primary death is preferred yes? 100%. The longer the primary holds on / the stronger it is, the more it pumps warm air into our area out ahead of it. It’s also more likely that h5 passes to our north with a stronger, more north primary. ideally, we want the transfer to happen as early and south as possible. both in terms of precip blossoming and temps crashing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: It’s the only think that matters. Eliminates south winds ahead of it, allows the coastal to crank earlier. Euro and gfs are 6-12 hours apart on that. Would think it helps the folks in the Eastern areas possibly. Seems the GEFS members were better as well this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Negnao said: Big improvement on the 6z eps. Control as well. Just pretend you never saw 0z. As in looks like the 12z run yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 But Isn’t there a risk of the worst of both worlds so to speak? WAA dies out earlier and still miss the goods from the coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, ovechkin said: But Isn’t there a risk of the worst of both worlds so to speak? WAA dies out earlier and still miss the goods from the coastal? Yes, that's the class Miller B screw job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MocoMike Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MocoMike said: Now I am really interested ! Improvements for @CAPE and my area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Can anyone show how the WAA piece looks on 6Z Euro ? Curious how much of that total shown above comes Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 06z Euro ENS mean snowfall is nice. An improvement for just about everyone. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, WVclimo said: Can anyone show how the WAA piece looks on 6Z Euro ? Curious how much of that total shown above comes Sunday. The OP got stuck on Hour 30 for surface maps on WxBell. At 500, there's better confluence over NE at Hour 90 but can't see the WAA unfortunately. EPS looks sweet above. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, frd said: Now I am really interested ! Improvements for @CAPE and my area. Yeah that was a really good run. Lets hope the 'trend' continues. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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