psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: The gfs is a disaster. And it's not caving like it did last weekend Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Patience grasshopper 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, AmericanWxFreak said: The GFS has been performing piss poor recently, no? At day 4/5 it’s been bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Most of us (not all I know JI) would take the GFS on any normal day, but we know we have upside. Nothing else left except see you all at 1:15am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Earlier tonight I watched Bernie Rayno, whom I personally respect. He went toward Euro and DT also. DT had a good explanation that the GFS overdoes the northern branch and under on the southern. It’s showing here. That high to the north is strong, must be a better CAD. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 10 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Please correct me if I’m wrong, but it seems like more of the other models support the Euro, and GFS has little support from the other models at this point. Correcting.....Euro is the only model with a clean and near perfect phase and timing. No one will say it but the Euro is on an Island in that regard. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Y’all gonna like the Cmc 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 CMC is south of the GFS at 84. And much better CAD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Cmc not a full cave to the euro but definitely moved most of the way that direction. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Y’all gonna like the Cmc Only out to 72...what;'s the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Only out to 72...what;'s the goods I was thinking the same. LOW sitting over southwest MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Miller B’s are very tricky at this latitude regardless. March 2014 snowquester was a Miller B. The toughest part is getting the primary to transfer at the right time to the coastal. If it’s delayed it will mess up the whole process because warm air comes in and so does the dry slot if the primary remains dominant and tracks north of us...we downslope on the back side. Coastal gets going but the 500 is open and a mess. That’s the #1 concern. Fortunately it’s not March, but same process exists. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Correcting.....Euro is the only model with a clean and near perfect phase and timing. No one will say it but the Euro is on an Island in that regard. Thank you! Imo from reading all the different met comments, PSU etc, seems like GFS solution isn’t picking up on the CAD well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Yea cmc is nice. Cousin of euro. All day snow Monday Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Only out to 72...what;'s the goods 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Get the cmc transfer 100 miles south.....Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Yes. Yes to all that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The canadian is a nice thump. 12 hours of mod-heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 @stormtracker 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Sold on the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The GEFS mean is pretty ugly tbhAll it takes is one cave by gfs and all gefs members follow Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: The canadian is a nice thump. 12 hours of mod-heavy snow 12? It is a 2 day event. Much closer to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: The GEFS mean is pretty ugly tbh I’m still waiting for the (basically) unanimous 6” each member gave DC in the recent storm 4 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: 12? It is a 2 day event. Much closer to the Euro. 12 hours of nice thumpage for the eastern shore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @stormtracker Oh man. Yeah, that's nice. It doesn't need to move south or whatever. We'd all take that and run with it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Sold on the CMC 48 hours of light to mod snowSent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Para GFS is about 4-6” from the WAA - dry slot - backside snow/snow showers of 2-4”. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The CMC is just so much colder than the GFS as well. Has single digits on Saturday morning out this way. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: The CMC is just so much colder than the GFS as well. Has single digits on Saturday morning out this way. GFS thermals are a joke. Even if its right on the track/transfer, the thermals are whack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just need the Cmc to capture slightly further south and amp up a little more and it’s the euro. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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