Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: I wouldn't think that would be out for a lil while... do you mean the GEFS? Yup that. Sorry...autocorrect. I went back and edited me post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Does anybody happen to have the GEPS mean snowfall? 10:1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Yup that. Sorry...autocorrect. I went back and edited me post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 CMC so close to something special. Just gets a little too warm for a little too long. Take out the 8-10 hours of mix/rain and look out! Begin the Euro countdown. GEFS looks awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: FWIW, the ENS mean is quite a bit better for us. I feel much better after seeing the CMC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: I feel much better after seeing the CMC. I’ll not feel better until there’s not a single model showing a precip hole out here. We know how this works 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 TT has the Canadien Precip/surface panels. Beautiful! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2021012812&fh=24 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ll not feel better until there’s not a single model showing a precip hole out here. We know how this works I'll feel good when I'm outside shoveling it. This is not a good setup for us out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: You can really see the sw retrograde- capture there That’s what I want LOL. A capture, stall until it occludes and snows itself out right over us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I'm not sure whether this is predictive or not, but it looks like one of the reasons why the GFS is a bit further north for longer is that it retains a connection to the upper level low/trough in central Canada. 12z GFS above, 00z Euro below, both for Sunday morning. You can see that the Euro is more divorced from the low/trough than the GFS is (also shown in the slight wind streak north of MN on the Euro that is less impressive on the GFS). 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Please let it be cold enough on the UKIE at 102 and 108.... PLEASE 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GEFS snow mean...higher resolution map 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, yoda said: Please let it be cold enough on the UKIE at 102 and 108.... PLEASE 8 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, yoda said: Please let it be cold enough on the UKIE at 102 and 108.... PLEASE Surface panels out on pivotal and suggest yes. Complete pummeling. 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MN Transplant said: I'm not sure whether this is predictive or not, but it looks like one of the reasons why the GFS is a bit further north for longer is that it retains a connection to the upper level low/trough in central Canada. 12z GFS above, 00z Euro below, both for Sunday morning. You can see that the Euro is more divorced from the low/trough than the GFS is (also shown in the slight wind streak north of MN on the Euro that is less impressive on the GFS). could be the gfs bias of over focusing on the NS. Tries to merge everything instead of keeping the wave distinctly separate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 UKMET looks way south compared to GFS. Beautiful run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cobalt said: Surface panels out on pivotal and suggest yes. Complete pummeling. Great couple of 12z runs (notwithstanding GFS op). Very nice to see the Ukie jump onboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Surface panels out on pivotal and suggest yes. Complete pummeling. Strange how it pulls that off with the LP here but I guess I'm not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Quite a marked change from 00Z, I believe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Please let it be cold enough on the UKIE at 102 and 108.... PLEASE Tops out at 32f then crashes after 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: Quite a marked change from 00Z, I believe? Yes. It's better. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: You can really see the sw retrograde- capture there It actually retrogrades twice. Once off MD/DE and again east of Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: Quite a marked change from 00Z, I believe? It basically compressed all the snow PA north and shoved it into VA and gave us all a nice uniform 8-10"+. PSU probably sweating suppression but I'll be frank and say I'm rooting for it. UKIE looked great to me. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Surface panels out on pivotal and suggest yes. Complete pummeling. UKMET actually has the jackpot SW of us. Right where we want to see it 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 This is the warmest panel on the UK. So some mix along 95 for a short time but temps crash again after this. NW of the fall line would likely be all snow on the UK. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Honestly think this is exactly where we want to be on the UKMET at this point. Great run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: This is the warmest panel on the UK. So some mix along 95 for a short time but temps crash again after this. NW of the fall line would likely be all snow on the UK. On this panel, you can clearly see the handoff to the coastal low is well underway by looking at the wind barbs. SE winds should flips to E then NE in the following panels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: This is the warmest panel on the UK. So some mix along 95 for a short time but temps crash again after this. NW of the fall line would likely be all snow on the UK. Looks like Baltimore hangs on better than DC as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 UK is a great run for DC and VA. Fringed for northern MD. Again...north of DC suppression is still the greater risk imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Para GFS is a nice 3-5" front end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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