Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 pm Sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 PSU will like the HR 99 panel. 850's are gone for the city at that point and the heaviest banding is north of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 am Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 3:57 PM, LP08 said: Definitely a shift south with the CCB compared to 6z. Northern MD gets it on it. Expand Noticing that too, surface is torched though and on pivotal weather it shows that as mostly rain, but I am definitely not sweating thermals now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 am Mon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The primary looks in the same position to me at 84 that is was in the 6z run...maybe even 20 miles northwest. If you look at the previous 6 runs of the gfs at hour 90 there are improvements but still nowhere near the EURO solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 gfs has CCB for the first time(Slow cave?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z GFS is clearly trending to the Euro/CMC idea. The coastal low is more fav than 6z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 3:58 PM, DCTeacherman said: Noticing that too, surface is torched though and on pivotal weather it shows that as mostly rain, but I am definitely not sweating thermals now. Expand If the primary gets into pa, we are all hosed lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Torch 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS actually drives the primary low up into SW Pennsylvania. After a promising start, it gets ugly for everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The GFS took a small step toward the other models with regards to the 5H reflection, but it's still the most progressive and aggressive with the primary into OH. In fact, you can look at how it's struggling to pinpoint the surface reflection on the coast with the low parked over a broad area of convection in the Atlantic. It's way different than every model. It's not even in the same zip code as the GFSv16 either. It's either seeing something, or it's got some serious biases to shake. It was doing better up until the 5H depiction went into IL. Then it reverted back. Still a nice WAA push on Sunday, so I do like seeing that regardless of the outcome later on. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I heart 18z Monday. Backside action commenced... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1pm Mon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS changing everyone back to snow Monday afternoon hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 3:54 PM, ravensrule said: Um Expand I would literally pay for a forum where only the mets could post - even though it would mean I couldn't post. The amount of bad analysis from non mets is ... well, I was going to say stunning, but probably more accurate to say 'typical'. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 pm Mon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Stalls the Surface off the Deleware coast. If and a big if the primary can die quicker, it would have been a really good run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:01 PM, mattskiva said: I would literally pay for a forum where only the mets could post - even though it would mean I couldn't post. The amount of bad analysis from non mets is ... well, I was going to say stunning, but probably more accurate to say 'typical'. Expand Some people keep making the same mistake getting sucked into the ptype and thermals on the GFS. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Definite Cave to the Euro as far as the progression of the coastal on Monday afternoon. Would love to see that primary pushed down around Kentucky. I think the CMC run will be nice.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 pm Mon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS tries to save everyone from I-66 north on the backside. Would be another round of accumulating snow from DCA north Monday midday into the evening. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Still going 00z Tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:01 PM, mattskiva said: I would literally pay for a forum where only the mets could post - even though it would mean I couldn't post. The amount of bad analysis from non mets is ... well, I was going to say stunning, but probably more accurate to say 'typical'. Expand Yeah lol, let the run play out. Clearly a far better run for us. If you don’t think so or claimed that it wasn’t you prob shouldn’t be posting analysis unfortunately. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 10 pm Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:02 PM, ryanconway63 said: Definite Cave to the Euro as far as the progression of the coastal on Monday afternoon. Would love to see that primary pushed down around Kentucky. I think the CMC run will be nice.... Expand EPS schooling the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 So, if my eyes don't deceive me, the GFS actually tries to stall/retrograde the coastal low from HR 105 to HR 111 from off Atlantic City back towards Ocean City, MD. Keeps snow for everyone west of the bay through like 10:00 pm Monday. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Still going at 117h. Good backside from the GFS. The snow totals aren't as high as the Euro, but it looks like a little bit of a cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 am Tues 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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