BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Buried 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 well, it was a good 4 day run for the chicago pics to own top billing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Someone is getting 50” in 24 hours here off a frozen lake 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Picked up 0.6" of powder overnight from the lake, wasn't really expecting it and there was a blob of 3-4" well NW of Detroit. As soon as the snow moved out the sun moved in. Now at 21.7" in Feb and 41.5" on the season. DTW picked up 0.4 which makes 20.7" in Feb and 40.2" on the season. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 49 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Someone is getting 50” in 24 hours here off a frozen lake I'm assuming the lake effect parameters must be pretty good to be able to overcome so much frozen water? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I'm assuming the lake effect parameters must be pretty good to be able to overcome so much frozen water? 850 temps -14C or so delta T's decent but not extreme..it looks like there is a small ice free area with a decent fetch on the NE side of the lake but this isn't a case with deltas 20-25 with a full open fetch looks like a small shortwave bringing moisture and there seems to be some type of convergence just SW of BUF with another band this one will be studied for sure Edit: now it looks like Huron connection getting going with the leftovers crossing that small open fetch and recharging and converging with another small band hugging the south shore 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 BUF 1041 AM EST SAT FEB 20 2021 NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/ LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ERIE OVERACHIEVED OVERNIGHT THROUGH DAYBREAK THIS MORNING AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND DEEPER MOISTURE CROSSED THE REGION WITH H85 TEMPS OF -14C. MANY REPORTS OVER 20 INCHES IN NARROW AREA OF SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY WITH A COUPLE REPORTS AROUND 30 INCHES. HIGH SLRS AND FOCUS OFF THE THE LIMITED BUT STILL VERY EFFECTIVE OPEN WATERS OF EASTERN LAKE ERIE HELPED TREMENDOUSLY. LAKE EFFECT OVER WAYNE INTO N. CAYUGA WAS STEADY BUT NOT NEAR AS STRONG AS THE BAND OFF LAKE ERIE. AS THE FAVORABLE BACKGROUND FORCING AND MOISTURE IS JUST APPROACHING NOW, SEEING THIS LAKE EFFECT INCREASE AND THAT SHOULD STAY THE CASE WITH 1-2 INCH PER HOUR RATES INTO THIS EVENING. EXTENDED THE GOING WARNING THERE UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE LAKE EFFECT WILL CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THE EVENING THOUGH WILL BECOME MORE FOCUSED LIMITED IN COVERAGE BY THIS EVENING. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 14 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I'm assuming the lake effect parameters must be pretty good to be able to overcome so much frozen water? Go check out this thread. The pictures are insane! I've been following lake effect for 20 years and have never seen anything like it. A friends plow just broke from too much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 A friend in Boston just passed 40" since last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Delta T may not be great but the inversion around 700 mb on the BUF sounding is fairly respectable. Still, it's impressive to see with so much ice on the lake. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, Hoosier said: Delta T may not be great but the inversion around 700 mb on the BUF sounding is fairly respectable. Still, it's impressive to see with so much ice on the lake. I didn't know it was meteorologically possible for something like this to happen. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I didn't know it was meteorologically possible for something like this to happen. I love satellite shots like that. Narrow as that band may be its insane that it's dumping 3+ feet of snow with do little open water. Even the little bit of Lake effect we have last night was not your typical fluff it was more like powder which made me think this was a product of good les parameters but not enough open water to generate the goods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 1 minute ago, michsnowfreak said: I love satellite shots like that. Narrow as that band may be its insane that it's dumping 3+ feet of snow with do little open water. Even the little bit of Lake effect we have last night was not your typical fluff it was more like powder which made me think this was a product of good les parameters but not enough open water to generate the goods. The Cocarahs report earlier this morning was 1" of QPF and 22" of snow. Its perfect accumulating giant puffy snowflakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 I'm just over a foot here, have literally been 2 miles too far north to get into the good stuff 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 11 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I didn't know it was meteorologically possible for something like this to happen. Meanwhile I have dandelions in my yard. Amazing stretch of winter weather for the entire Midwest, parts of the South and Great Lakes region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Went to a park during sunset last night...just love winter sunsets and sunrises. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Going from the Hottest Summer on record with 30+ days in the 90's to this just goes to show how variable our Climate is here at the 45ish parallel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 42" snow depth about 20 minutes SE of here. Average depth around 20" here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 It's above freezing at ORD for the first time since February 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: It's above freezing at ORD for the first time since February 4. Looks like the primary driver of this good pattern was a sharp -AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Even though we’re well above freezing today, it’s amazing what cloud cover can do to preserve snowpack vs a sunny day that’s 10 degrees colder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Here is my collection of videos the last few days The first one is my favorite, its so beautiful. The first 3 videos are from Friday Night, the last 3 from Saturday afternoon. We made a tunnel for my dog to run through as it was just too much snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 This last one shows the aftermath with peak totals from the event. Walking around my in laws house in the hills south of here If you guys could also please sub to my YouTube channel. A long ways off, but if I get to 1000 subs I could live stream my chases! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 7 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like the primary driver of this good pattern was a sharp -AO. The -AO has been around since the start of Dec. The main driver in the flip to cold sustained cold was the NAO, and then the PNA not being well + helped keep the active storm pattern going at the same time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 36 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The -AO has been around since the start of Dec. The main driver in the flip to cold sustained cold was the NAO, and then the PNA not being well + helped keep the active storm pattern going at the same time. Did the EPO help as well? It seems the polar vortex had a large impact too. Was that due to SSW in January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 ZZZZZZZZZZZ........ Monday A slight chance of rain before 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 37. West wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Monday Night Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 32. Southwest wind 13 to 16 mph. Tuesday Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 39. West wind 11 to 16 mph. Tuesday Night Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. South wind 7 to 10 mph. Wednesday A slight chance of rain after 11am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Friday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Saturday A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Not to mention the narrow temperature band for the majority of especially the final week of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Did the EPO help as well? It seems the polar vortex had a large impact too. Was that due to SSW in January?The EPO did flip negative in the latter part of January and that ridge spike at the end of the month into early February dislodged the PV lobe that got trapped under the NAO block. The SSW weakened the PV enough to prolong and strengthen the -AO/-NAO. The -NAO also played a big role in making the 2 events in the last week of January what they were vs much warmer/farther northwest outcomes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Yesterday's rain knocked the snowpack down a good inch back to about 17". Already getting that mangy look. Should make a run at 40 today, and be into the 40s tomorrow. Mid-upper 40s look possible by the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 22, 2021 Author Share Posted February 22, 2021 It's going to be real close to see if we end up colder than February 2015 here. If we do end up colder then it'll be the coldest February since 1936. We have to average colder than 26.3 over the next 7 days to be colder than 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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