Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Gfs ticked nw. 

[Sn0waddict]

Bleh NAM still seems like it’s on its own to me. GFS looks more tucked.

[weathafella]

I’d sign up for gfs right now.

[dryslot]

GFS still sucks, Its the model with the least qpf up here.

[ORH_wxman]

GFS was close to 12z...minor tick west. NAM was minor tick east. 

Prob model noise from both. 

[dryslot]

Tossed.

[weathafella]

[Bostonseminole]

no problem with GFS down here..

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

GfS son is a better peformer  than it’s father...so toss the old gfs. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs is so close down here.... probably a smidge warm 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

GfS son is a better peformer  than it’s father...so toss the old gfs. 

V16 is juiced up more than 12z. Pretty cold too still for the SE crew. 

[78Blizzard]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I’d sign up for gfs right now.

Yes, so would I.  But sharp cutoff with 15" here and just 4" a few miles to the east.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Sup gang?

GFS is still a POS model for coastal storms.  Loves to warm the lower levels too fast.  Tossed hard into Boston Harbor.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Beer?

We Bear 

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS was close to 12z...minor tick west. NAM was minor tick east. 

Prob model noise from both. 

Yeah, A loud thud from the GFS.

[Baroclinic Zone]

I’m finding the v16 a much more believable scenario with minimal warming prior to the initial thump.  Even the Euro was a pretty good thump over SE areas before the taint moved in.

[EastonSN+]

Once again GFS v 16 looks basically the same. 

[Damage In Tolland]

25 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

You feeling good here?

Yes .. I’m thinking 8-14” and maybe +

[78Blizzard]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

This map looks a lot different, especially south of Boston.

[moneypitmike]

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This is the 80’s , Loc is down with the ladies. That Medinas a monster 

 

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Once again GFS v 16 looks basically the same. 

What a NJ-LI spanking.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Can anyone dig up some posts of MPM being very bullish on a system 

May have to go back to the diet coke pounding days

 

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I’m finding the v16 a much more believable scenario with minimal warming prior to the initial thump.  Even the Euro was a pretty good thump over SE areas before the taint moved in.

I can't complain when it jacks me. 

[moneypitmike]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Can anyone dig up some posts of MPM being very bullish on a system 

 

LOL--I haven't poo-poohed any storm this season. 

I have said the season sucks--but few dispute that.

[Modfan2]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We Bear 

Thought they were In Killingly?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Epic model spread for this area still. Nothing to 12+

[NorEastermass128]

NAM and GFS look great. The Canadians can stay north of the border and keep that garbage up there. 

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

NAM and GFS look great. The Canadians can stay north of the border. 

The NAM is crushing for most...it seems to depict the firehose idea very well.  We can only hope it’s right. If it is..it’ll be one to remember. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

The NAM is crushing for most...it seems to depict the firehose idea very well.  We can only hope it’s tight. If it is..it’ll be one to remember. 

Tight is best

[WinterWolf]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Tight is best

?

[NECT]

5 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Thought they were In Killingly?

Black Pond is in Danielson right near the RR tracks on Main St. Good stuff.