Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Go Kart Mozart]

Is Baltimore the new Madrid?

[dryslot]

Just now, Go Kart Mozart said:

Although Maine gets flooded with warm air.  I don't imagine there are many cases in history where ME is too warm while DC is crushed,

Usually DC gets crushed and Maine sniffs cirrus.

[WeatherX]

Sits and rots off ACY

 

[Go Kart Mozart]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Feb 10 comes to mind. 

Yes, true, but that storm tracked from SE to NW.  Reggie has this thing stuck in place for hour after hour.  Who knows...just seems a bit unlikely.

[Go Kart Mozart]

See y'all at 5:30 or so for the goofus show.

[78Blizzard]

16 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

This is verbatim a blizzard for the immediate coast

Yeah, compare that with the out to lunch RGEM:

[HoarfrostHubb]

Decent variety of solutions out there.  

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

26 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

3km NAM is interesting.

Crushed NYC.

Eww.

[dryslot]

[PhineasC]

LOL RGEM is nuts. 

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

See y'all at 5:30 or so for the goofus show.

430

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The IKON is almost a carbon copy of the GGEM.

[Typhoon Tip]

17 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said:

Clown map spitting out like 45" down in MD... yeah, that'll happen. 

Rightful to be skeptical of that ...heh... yeah -

but the thing is, someone - I feel - in this is getting their ass handed to them. I don't know where.  The GGEM cluster has been closing off the mid level centers earlier and thus that appears mid-level dosing down there... Because the surface reflection and pressure arc already has them on a N/NNW wind... I think that's even a borderline d-slope trajectory there..  

It's like when we see a 60 hour NAM putting out 1.13" of 6 hourly liq equiv QPF at Logan on a NW ( 330 deg wind) in the FOUS...?  Never happens.. by the time that interval is 24 hours, it's like .21, with RH of 38 .. which means that .21 was on the front edge and it's actually clear during most of that 6 hours.  ..And all that 1.13" glory is pummeling D.E.M.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

A foot in Burlington and 3" in Montpelier would be an odd solution.

[The 4 Seasons]

Good thing we have all this model continuity.

 

[dryslot]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

A foot in Burlington and 3" in Montpelier would be an odd solution.

Sucker holes galore, Usually vice versa

[Damage In Tolland]

This is the 80’s , Loc is down with the ladies. That Medinas a monster 

[dryslot]

Map time

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, dryslot said:

Sucker holes galore, Usually vice versa

Yeah.  I mean Greenfield to Keane gets porked pretty hard too which is not unrealistic in this setup.

[78Blizzard]

Another storm that the models can't get consistency <3 days out.

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Map time

Looks like they are riding the Euro based on that map.

[Damage In Tolland]

53 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

North American Model IPA blend baby!

That’s my favorite Double IPA

[RDRY]

18 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Yeah, compare that with the out to lunch RGEM:

 

7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Good thing we have all this model continuity.

 

Now go make your forecast, and be right!

[Ginx snewx]

18Z HRRR is a NAM carbon Copy, trying to catch up sorry if someone mentioned it.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s my favorite Double IPA

You feeling good here?

[JC-CT]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

18Z HRRR is a NAM carbon Copy, trying to catch up sorry if someone mentioned it.

Did they do something to the NAM? It seems like it's been solid lately.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

You feeling good here?

He's drinking double IPA's of course he is...............

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

18Z HRRR is a NAM carbon Copy, trying to catch up sorry if someone mentioned it.

Don’t apologize for bringing us great news.

[weathafella]

One consistency amid the chaos is to speed this system up with respect to start time.

[dryslot]

18z GFS going to tuck a couple tics from 12z.