dendrite Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: Lol, NAM at 60 hrs has a full blown blizzard going here....Reggie doesn't even have a flake, hmmmmm Delayed but not denied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 RGEM eventually goes bonkers for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Congrats DC to BLT with 3FT on rgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Congrats DC to BLT with 3FT on rgem. Almost 4” QPF for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Lol what is the RGEM doing. So different aloft. Cuts off h5 and massively deepens it well Southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 hours ago, dendrite said: Good run. Yeah me too - I did a 6.2 .. though only ran 5.75 of it.. But I only had modest right hamstring discomfort this time so I think that's finally improving. Man, those things linger for ever and ..oh wait - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 hours ago, Hoth said: Jersey croaked again. Modeling has been all over that. Models in fairly good agreement of a central NJ and west of Boston jackpot zones. For CT seems that far SW or far NE best places. What interesting is if u look at most of the KUs SW CT benefits most. Maybe why Tip put SW CT as MA in his map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Congrats DC to BLT with 3FT on rgem. Has to be sipping some Canadian mist and coke 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol what is the RGEM doing. So different aloft. Cuts off h5 and massively deepens it well Southwest. It has always tended to be amped beyond 36. Feels as if the last 2 years it does it less, I think it was upgraded in 2018 which lessened that bias somewhat but it still does it from time to time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Icon looks nice. Crushes interior folks around hour 80 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Congrats WNE and NNE on the RGEM. Toaster bath material for all coast, 128 belt and SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Take ( made it to page 76 of this marathon but stopping at a hydration station - phew...) Wow ...not a big fan of these type of products ( my contribution over the years elucidates that - I almost never post anything based upon them tho rarely...). That image on the left ( more recent ..) is a flat out K.U. ...guessin' leve 2 approaching 3 NESDIS impactor. It's multi-regional, and this thing's under-footing hemispheric support had those that look to it all along...and we should note that models have been relaying ownership of more eastern PA pummeling back and forth during the pick-and-choose earlier ranges of this system's model monitoring .. .I think we'll see a consensus more in line with the left panel going forward, with one, two .. or four cycles worth of one or two models trying but failing to f it up... But another 3-5" tacked on to that distribution ( which I'm thinking is more plausible than not...) in that mean coverage and we move the NESDIS to a 3/4 contention... But 2/3 is probably major by virtue of regional inclusion - that's massive up there folks... Mammoth envelopment to realize 12" ...that's hard to do ... Usually ( think about this..) you get a regional 8-11" with a band or two approaching 24 ... Dec 17 kept the big daddy goods focused along that axis.. but, that mean distribution like that means you gotta have a few individual members blowin' the top of the climate books on this thing.. .but more importantly atones to aforementioned orbital perspective of this thing...as we get closer, the model blends, ens means, and individual members are trending toward the erstwhile unrealized maximization of this... that's usually a red flag - In principle alone ...that trend it gushing!! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Looks like we still have some synoptics to iron out before getting too crazy about the deets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Congrats WNE and NNE on the RGEM. Toaster bath material for all coast, 128 belt and SE MA. Would be just fine near and just inside 128. It’s like -3ish at 925 there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 32 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Love those last hours bands, 78 had a great ending. 13 did as well..iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ( made it to page 76 of this marathon but stopping at a hydration station - phew...) Wow ...not a big fan of these type of products ( my contribution over the years elucidates that - I almost never post anything based upon them tho rarely...). That image on the left ( more recent ..) is a flat out K.U. ...guessin' leve 2 approaching 3 NESDIS impactor. It's multi-regional, and this thing's under-footing hemispheric support had those that look to it all along...and we should note that models have been relaying ownership of more eastern PA pummeling back and forth during the pick-and-choose earlier ranges of this system's model monitoring .. .I think we'll see a consensus more in line with the left panel going forward, with one, two .. or four cycles worth of one or two models trying but failing to f it up... But another 3-5" on tact on that distribution in the mean coverage and we move the NESDIS to a 3/4 contention... But 2/3 is probably major by virtue of regional inclusion - that's massive up there folks... Mammoth envelopment to realize 12" ...that's hard to ... Usually ( think about this..) you get a regional 8-11" with a band or two approaching 24 ... Dec 17 kept the big daddy goods focused along that axis.. but, that mean distribution like that means you gotta have a few individual members blowin' the top of the climate books on this thing.. .but more importantly atones to aforementioned orbital perspective of this thing...as we get closer, the model blends, ens means, and individual members are trending toward the erstwhile unrealized maximization of this... that's usually a red flag - In principle alone ...that trend it gushing!! Lol. Your best one yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like we still have some synoptics to iron out before getting too crazy about the deets. Still a good 60+ hrs out, Going to be more changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Would be just fine near and just inside 128. It’s like -3ish at 925 there. Ok. Need some SE ticks soon or it’s game over here and down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Would be just fine near and just inside 128. It’s like -3ish at 925 there. RGEM tries to get a thin layer around 725mb above freezing, LOL. I was wondering why Ptype algorthms were showing like ORH mixing despite 850 temps of -7C and 925 temps colder than -3C. Even sfc was 30-31F. Trying to give a SWFE sounding despite H7 flow out of the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Would be just fine near and just inside 128. It’s like -3ish at 925 there. yeah,, he thinks his rockport climo extends to burlington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Ok. Need some SE ticks soon or it’s game over here and down there. I don’t think the 12 z “RDPS” is going to verify. I expect it will tick SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Ok. Need some SE ticks soon or it’s game over here and down there. NAM would be ok with that big burst for 6+hours even for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: RGEM tries to get a thin layer around 725mb above freezing, LOL. I was wondering why Ptype algorthms were showing like ORH mixing despite 850 temps of -7C and 925 temps colder than -3C. Even sfc was 30-31F. Trying to give a SWFE sounding despite H7 flow out of the SE. Yeah WTF LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 GFS V.16 has been by far the most consistent model during the last few days wrt snowfall maps and Storm progression. Absolutely no reason to even look at the old GFS anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 46 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Wow the RGEM is sick. Sorry old news probably. The RGEM makes most of us sick, 38" for DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Actually I was looking at an old run I guess. It is warm 128 on east with a canal track. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 At least the water table in Taunton is filled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: The RGEM makes most of us sick, 38" for DC? You can sell that. Getting over 10" there in a single event is nearly impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: At least the water table in Taunton is filled. That's what I was thinking. Those guys need this precious moisture and it is unfair for the interior folks to deny them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now