Spanks45 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Dare I say days and days on the Nam back here? Now lets get the rest of the models to follow suit and the entire region can enjoy this storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: That actually looked nice there as it stops and then moves back over you. looks like maybe we get dryslotted towards the end of the NAM? looks like mostly showery after 12z tuesday... maybe mostly at Monday night/early AM Tuesday storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This would work with more to come for some: My gawd!! We take!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 WOR crowd looking good now. Pick those heads up out of the Cheerios? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: @PhineasC is going to get smoked. Nice look there with this north tick. Still has the huge air pile-up in Eastern Mass though no matter what happens.... big QPF there. Yep, starting to get that signal I have noticed shows up in coastals with a local precip max over my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Bostonseminole said: looks like maybe we get dryslotted towards the end of the NAM? looks like mostly showery after 12z tuesday... maybe mostly at Monday night/early AM Tuesday storm.. We do and then it looks to move back in and regenerate. 850 temps get borderline well inland too. Might be low level stuff as light snow or snizzle as temps drop. Pretty sure we’ll slot. It’s a given. What I want other models to show, is that massive thump for like 9 hrs or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: For those pointing out the CTRV, the NAM shows it very well at 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 At least out East... this looks like it moves in late Monday evening... like 6-7 pm and the majority is over by Tuesday morning... 8-12 hours basically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: looks like maybe we get dryslotted towards the end of the NAM? looks like mostly showery after 12z tuesday... maybe mostly at Monday night/early AM Tuesday storm.. We get dryslotted after about 66 hours until the ML goods try and rotate back through at the very end of the run. I can’t complain about a dryslot though in this one if you are getting 12 hours of firehose-enhanced WCB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Nobody in the valley should be complaining about that run... that's like best case scenario IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoth said: That NAM run says what valley... hopefully the others follow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We get dryslotted after about 66 hours until the ML goods try and rotate back through at the very end of the run. I can’t complain about a dryslot though in this one if you are getting 12 hours of firehose-enhanced WCB. I will gladly take that and let the currier queens have that deformation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Wow the RGEM is sick. Sorry old news probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Sheesh that NAM run, hoping we stay mostly snow in my hood. Love that weenie 2 QPF spot right on my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah SNE is destroyed by the firehose that is enhancing the already-good WCB north of the bent back ML warm front...and it’s slow going through SNE. Like a solid 10-12 hours rather than the usual 4-7h thump. The ML goodies end up eventually stopping and pivoting up in CNE/NNE. They actually try to rotate back through SNE at the end of the run. So many of the biggies over the years end with a final band that is entrenched in a cold column with excellent snow growth yielding a quick couple three inches of fluff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Dare I say days and days on the Nam back here? Now lets get the rest of the models to follow suit and the entire region can enjoy this storm.... That would be very special for us. But it is the nam so the high is wearing off as I frolik around the house cleaning up all the smashed crayons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: So many of the biggies over the years end with a final band that are entrenched in a cold column with excellent snow growth yielding a quick couple three inches of fluff Love those last hours bands, 78 had a great ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The area that jacked earlier this week should do well. Just north of the Pike in eastern ORH county. My area looks to be good too Keep talking dirty to me, Dave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That would be very special for us. But it is the nam so the high is wearing off as I frolik around the house cleaning up all the smashed crayons. Yup, save those crayons just in case, you might need them around 1:05 this afternoon....you could just thrown them in the garbage disposal if they are too small 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This would work with more to come for some: Someone mentioned that a local MET said something about a dry slot onto CT. I think he was using the Euro from last night. That will change of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: So many of the biggies over the years end with a final band that are entrenched in a cold column with excellent snow growth yielding a quick couple three inches of fluff So true. Almost all the biggies, I’ll be out cleaning up with a regeneration of currier and Ives as a parting gift. Love that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: So many of the biggies over the years end with a final band that are entrenched in a cold column with excellent snow growth yielding a quick couple three inches of fluff Yeah it does seem that way. Jan ‘15 and Jan ‘11 both did. Jan ‘05 did it on ‘roids and I got like 7” in 2 hours. Lol. If we can get trend the h5 low staying south and a little less elongated, that will increase the chances of some goodies at the end. But if all I get is a 12 hour ‘roided-up WCB, I cant complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah SNE is destroyed by the firehose that is enhancing the already-good WCB north of the bent back ML warm front...and it’s slow going through SNE. Like a solid 10-12 hours rather than the usual 4-7h thump. The ML goodies end up eventually stopping and pivoting up in CNE/NNE. They actually try to rotate back through SNE at the end of the run. Are we a fluff bomb interior SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Clown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 14 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: WOR crowd looking good now. Pick those heads up out of the Cheerios? When weren’t they good? This has looked good back to ENY / Berks since we started tracking it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: When weren’t they good? This has looked good back to ENY / Berks since we started tracking it A few days ago maybe. Looked more pedestrian. Now, not so much for the WOR crowd. I now have my bowl of Cheerios at the ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Phin jinxing the 12z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 12 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agreed....the "no blockbuster in the second half of a mod or strong nina" rule looks to stand. Looking at the 00z EPS/GEFS means in their respective handling ... I would be inclined to ask, 'how about now'? I will hold off pending both this 12z suite, but also because that sounds douchy - lol ( Also- I am presently on page 69 of this thread and can see it's ballooned by another 12 clicks ...so I am behind, so taken with a grain - ) I would not toss the 06z ICON solution's trend for robuster 500 mb depth ... The hints that are carried through those frames suggestive that the model "wants" to truly stall and protract a CCB in the area, is highly supported by the general tapestry of the EPS/GFS means... I feel the 00z Euro was the right idea in bumping back NW but I am a little non-plussed that it's 500mb hgt depth went the other way by 4 or 6 dm after the close/quasi closure - the EPS mean being deeper is still the better fit for the larger orbital telecon/super-synoptic and observed synoptic surrounding hemisphere, and this thing has been shirked for realization of that offers the region between 90W-60W and ~ 35N and 55 N boxed region along. I have maintained that ...altho admittedly, pounding the moderate snow + duration)/2 = bootleg major sort of Broadway production, but I'm seeing attempts by the above ens means to get this more fully realized. The 00z/06z ICON blend actually looks like a better surface featured physical representation of what this thing should do... It seems every model is carrying something that seems more reasonable withing a bag of their own idiosyncratic distractions. Take the NAM ...I agree with the 06z solution that keeps the QPF arc in tact around the NW arc, but it seems to be too progressive with the lower troposphere in general ..given the 500 mb is also trending toward a NY Bite anchor point. about that - notice the 500 mb 522 dm height core in the ICON!! Over NY, ...implodes than pivots SE under LI toward 96 hours... That type of motion usually means there is a F- wara effect going on with a lower tropospheric vortex that is pivoting W temporarily... Yet we're not quite seeing that depicted ...that's uneasy and I thnk this overall situation could modulate toward a major event anyway from NYC-PWM ... Hammer's cocked and the psycho is gently squeezing the trigger - it's that close The title of this thread can be changed from watching closely to Immanent, with 'major characteristics looking more possible' or something to those affects. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Lol, NAM at 60 hrs has a full blown blizzard going here....Reggie doesn't even have a flake, hmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Phin jinxing the 12z RGEM He keeps it up and he will be returned to MD. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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