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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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ORH_wxman
ORH_wxman

Yes we have. It’s called “Tblizz bitches his way to a foot”. Received mixed reviews from critics.  The sequel was decent. “The Reverse Psychology Diaries from KTAN”  

TheSnowman
TheSnowman

GUYS!!!!     I Totally Forgot to tell YOU - I'm Livestreaming a Huge Concert I did in LA that has been Fully Edited and Never before Seen (unless you where there)!!  Starts at 6pm.    

TheSnowman
TheSnowman

I don’t play Easy crap like Taylor Swift.  I’m a World Champion.  You want Chopin, Oscar Peterson, Balkan, Klezmer, Italian, Jobim, or even Rock or 80’s Pops hits yes.  Swift?  I could do Swift half a

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Hoth

Hoth

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

After reviewing all the overnight data and the trends we decided to go with 6-12" across CT. This is a first call map and we will likely have at least one more update before the storm to fine tune and pinpoint higher and lower ranges. Highlighted the areas to be on the higher end of the range and possibly 12+ in the NE hills. Don't believe mixing will be enough of factor to hold down amounts in the SE corner to warrant a lower range (i.e. 3-6) but figure they will probably be on the lower end. Definitely think OKXs map is a bit too low there in that regard. Once the 12Z and 00Z suite roll out today ill take a look at bufkit and fine tune the ranges. 

01_30.21_jdj_snowfall_forecast.thumb.jpg.82de83aab94524e58de7fc51ea8ae1b0.jpg

These two maps are just for our general public on social media, pretty sure everyone here knows the deal. Just thought they came out pretty cool...photoshop is fun.

01_30.21_jdj_noreaster_headlines.thumb.jpg.238fb307ca06ea9a125d3ba731943259.jpg01_30.21_jdj_northeast_overview_2.thumb.jpg.3e460c5dd3fdd569d0f703a50b64ef21.jpg

 

 

How are you feeling about the risk of downsloping in the valley? Ray's got me spooked.

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NorEastermass128

NorEastermass128

Posted
Posted
54 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Great trends, Keep it coming.

 

50 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looking like we go big instead of home. 

 

20 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ok , no more NW tics 

 

16 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

WTF happened overnight, ha.  Up to 0.5-1.0” or even more on some models now.

I don’t even need to read back to know what’s going on. :raining:

Good luck to those up north. 

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted
Just now, moneypitmike said:

Not a quick-hitter but so far away from the crawler we were following for the past week.

Yeah that’s prob a good way to put it. If the ULL looked more like the RGEM it would be a longer duration event. But it’s a bit of an outlier in that regard. 

Most of the guidance elongates this thing aloft and keeps it moving steadily even if not super fast. 

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The 4 Seasons

The 4 Seasons

Posted
Posted
Just now, moneypitmike said:

Can we start a separate thread for Kevin's skin care?

No. must be here.

15 minutes ago, Hoth said:

How are you feeling about the risk of downsloping in the valley? Ray's got me spooked.

I wouldn't worry about it in our area, most of what we get is from the first part/phase as the storm is taking shape E of the delmarva. By the time it winds up and E MA/RI and possibly E/NE CT is getting pummled with the 2nd part its over for us. From what ive seen on rays map its pretty much in agreement with 6-10 and i have 6-12 but highlighted higher in the NE. As long as youre not expecting a blockbuster 12+ i think well be fine. Really feel like 6 is the basement for our area.

Where are you in Hamden btw, Hamden has its own little climate with hilly sheltered areas on Gaylord Mt. Rd that go up to 650ft to near 0 downtown dixwell ave in "the city"

Oh, also remember any downsloping we get in CT is usually affected in the hartford cty area with big hills to the W and E. when you get closer to the shore that doesnt really become a factor, generally speaking of course .

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Hoth

Hoth

Posted
Posted
Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

No. must be here.

I wouldn't worry about it in our area, most of what we get is from the first part/phase as the storm is taking shape E of the delmarva. By the time it winds up and E MA/RI and possibly E/NE CT is getting pummled with the 2nd part its over for us. From what ive seen on rays map its pretty much in agreement with 6-10 and i have 6-12 but highlighted higher in the NE. As long as youre not expecting a blockbuster 12+ i think well be fine. Really feel like 6 is the basement for our area.

Where are you in Hamden btw, Hamden has its own little climate with hilly sheltered areas on Gaylord Mt. Rd that go up to 650ft to near 0 downtown dixwell ave in "the city"

Oh, also remember any downsloping we get in CT is usually affected in the hartford cty area with big hills to the W and E. when you get closer to the shore that doesnt really become a factor, generally speaking of course .

Thanks, that puts me somewhat at ease. I'm in the southern part of town north of East Rock, so I have a bit of elevation, but nothing like the Gaylord area.

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Drz1111

Drz1111

Posted
Posted
Just now, dryslot said:

Only goes to hr 90 on 06z run, Your good for 12" at least.

I’m shamelessly IMBYing, I’m renting a house on the rocks in Cape E for the winter and I’d kill for a chance to see a full-throttle GoM blizzard.  The GFS’s late evolution is weird, but so is the UKMETs, and meanwhile the Euro and NAM look more classic.  GYX was all over this in her overnight discussion.

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dryslot

dryslot

Posted
Posted
Just now, Drz1111 said:

I’m shamelessly IMBYing, I’m renting a house on the rocks in Cape E for the winter and I’d kill for a chance to see a full-throttle GoM blizzard.  The GFS’s late evolution is weird, but so is the UKMETs, and meanwhile the Euro and NAM look more classic.  GYX was all over this in her overnight discussion.

I think this is going end up being too late this go round, It looks to blow up as its heading to Labrador.

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Drz1111

Drz1111

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think this is going end up being too late this go round, It looks to blow up as its heading to Labrador.

Oh I agree with that - the real boom misses me here.  I’m more wondering if we get a transfer to a GoM low that spins in the 985-990 range before reintensifying as it moves out. (12Z Euro, NAM certainly pointing that way) as opposed to the secondary storm into NS (either the GFS that misses the late phase or the 12Z UKMET that drives an intensifying 972mb low into Halifax.

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