Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[NeonPeon]

2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

For supposedly being the second best model it sure seems like it has no idea what it’s doing. 

I'm not seeing a massive difference between the two uk runs.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Man, the GEM is now a pretty massive hit across all of NE....that is a big change.

[78Blizzard]

Ukie drops 1.2" of QPF here, of which 0.4" is rain since the Pivotal map shows 8" of snow.  Yet the surface temp stays at freezing or below throughout, and the upper level freezing levels never get off the outer cape.  Makes no sense.

[40/70 Benchmark]

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, the GEM is now a pretty massive hit across all of NE....that is a big change.

Uh, not for Boston south.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Uh, not for Boston south.

I meant most of NE...

Hopefully it stops there.....I may have paste in that run.

[FRWEATHA]

Just looking at Philly forum the best snow total in Emass is 7” on the Ukie. Basically same amount across LI. Ct and NNE are left out.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Looks like most Boston stations are buying some sort of mixed bag Boston points south.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Congrats Freak lol. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, FRWEATHA said:

Just looking at Philly forum the best snow total in Emass is 7” on the Ukie. Basically same amount across LI. Ct and NNE are left out.

I could not care any less....that model is just all  over the map.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I feel like the EURO will be more amped than 12z....maybe not quite like the GEM, but...

[78Blizzard]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I could not care any less....that model is just all  over the map.

I think we can say the same about CMC, too.  Just look at the difference from 12z.

[FRWEATHA]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks like most Boston stations are buying some sort of mixed bag Boston points south.

Don’t they always. Sometimes I feel it’s definitely warranted. Sometimes it’s ridiculous. In this case it’s 50-50. So I can get the hedging 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

I think we can say the same about CMC, too.  Just look at the difference from 12z.

I buy the CMC more than I do the UK.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, the GEM is now a pretty massive hit across all of NE....that is a big change.

I'm a little of skeptical of 12+ hours of SN/+SN here and 20" but hey, I'll take.   That was an interior monster hit.  Seems too far NW but I'm gonna' hang it up and see what tomorrow brings.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I feel like the EURO will be more amped than 12z....maybe not quite like the GEM, but...

Definitely been some slow tics that way today on most models and now GEM makes a big move.  ICON was tucky too.

[40/70 Benchmark]

GEM is the type of system it would be cool for me to see....straddle the CF and get 1'+ paste....been a rarity past several seasons.

[40/70 Benchmark]

GEFS are pissah..

[HIPPYVALLEY]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks like most Boston stations are buying some sort of mixed bag Boston points south.

Bouchard was funny at 10pm, he (or somebody) kept putting up the wrong screens and he was fumbling because of it and my wife said "is high or drunk?"

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GEM is the type of system it would be cool for me to see....straddle the CF and get 1'+ paste....been a rarity past several seasons.

From your mouth to ULLR's ears!

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

From your mouth to ULLR's ears!

I would trade the deformation for a stronger hose....just ram the ocean in here, and I'll take my chances here near the NH border in early FEB.

[Blizz]

UKIE trend... 00z south and east it appears

 

[FRWEATHA]

Seems that model “consensus” was geater 36 hours ago than now.  Tenor of the season.

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, Blizz said:

UKIE trend... 00z south and east it appears

 

Yeah, NYC peeps were high fiving that last night.

[jm1220]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Yeah, NYC peeps were high fiving that last night.

Still has 8" or so here which I gladly take. There's been about 1" here since 12/17, 9" on the season in my backyard. Not sure what it's seeing that others aren't. Euro will tell the tale as usual I guess. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Here is the GEM at H925 warmest point during the height of the event...you probably want -3 to be safely snow.

[JB_Wchstr]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Here is the GEM at H925 warmest point during the height of the event...you probably want -3 to be safely snow.

Blech 

[weathafella]

Reminds me of March 2013.  Remember NAM has the 850 west of Albany right up to game time?   Firehoses are hard to resolve thermally it appears.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm glad we are getting this arctic plunge, even though it departs ahead of the event....flushing out that marine layer with an arctic plunger is never a bad thing on the eve of a big easterly firehose.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

Reminds me of March 2013.  Remember NAM has the 850 west of Albany right up to game time?   Firehoses are hard to resolve thermally it appears.

Yea, GEM is usually not cold on thermals, either.