SJonesWX Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 31 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I hope the low rides directly over SE Mass and deep into the Gulf of Maine where it stalls for 2 days. SE Mass could use the rain. Reservoirs and lakes are still low, right? once the snow covering the mulch beds melt away, the reservoirs should fill right up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I heard these were in nowadays. Let's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This looks nearly as good as can be at this point, but my guard will be up for the rug to be pulled up until I breech the pack with yard stick in hand. I know why the usual fast flow of nina that often plagues our chances for big events may not be applicable in this case, but I'll still believe it when I see it. No issue with a 6-12", 8-14" type deal, but this ceiling potential is always hard to attain, anyway, NVM during a mod la nina. Yeah... despite my own arty rhetoric at times ( ..heh ) ...I'm still of the school for a long-duration moderate snow, that by virtue of said duration, ...attains a more robust if not major impact from interior mid Atlantic up to Maine as a base-line risk assessment. It's got modulation room for more and less.. K.U.... ? Yup Historic ? Heh, I'd shelve that for now I just elaborated my various ensemble mean hot-takes ( lol. ...) but, I also modulate aspects based upon experience and book-smarts combined... I do think this can evolve- not impossible in other words - toward a historic deal, but there's just as much possibility for something durational/less...etc... I believe a substantive system is higher likelihood. And we eye-candy runs for muse until D4.5 ... The other aspect to bring up is that... the EPS ( for example...) and the GEFs are 2-day onslaughts...so, the front side of this may come into the visible range of improving certitude before the ass end of it... One thing I am noticing that is a interesting, and is true in both the GEFs and EPS ( pretty remarkable micro-management at this range frankly, too - ) is that they have a kind 'impact pulsation' episodes in two - owing to the fact that there is 2ndary mid troposphere wave mechanics bottoming out and helping back-develop the systemic envelopment of the cyclone - noisy fascination - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 It’s the season of go big or go home up here. So I’m going with 1-2” or 1-2’. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I'd roll the dice with a GFS solution, down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 20 minutes ago, PhineasC said: PF wants the low to ride up over Randolph. LOL Just bustin ya, Lol true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: PF wants the low to ride up over Randolph. LOL PWM is his favored track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I agree, John...those 36-48 hr depictions never work out. The bulk of this impact should be within a 24 hr period, and anything beyond is nuisance variety. Heh... you know ? - I mean this isn't Iceland, nor is this an Icelandic Low redux hahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Tucky tucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: Tucky tucky on wknds gets me lucky lucky Huh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This has a chance to be 48 hours of S to S+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This has a chance to be 48 hours of S to S+ No it doesn't 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This has a chance to be 48 hours of S to S+ 24-48" incoming. Can always adjust up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 31 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m definitely concerned about a tuck solution. Some people don’t want to talk about it... but it’s definitely possible. Phinn and i can lead the charge on it, When should we start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: No it doesn't I'm surprised that you of all people took the bait lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: Phinn and i can lead the charge on it, When should we start? Tuesday night- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 icon tucky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Icon doubling down from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm surprised that you of all people took the bait lol I almost just deleted it but decided to respond so that normal lurkers understand that really isn't going to happen. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Bostonseminole said: icon tucky? Bit closer to ACK and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 SE areas would need flood watches on the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I mean...cmc has it snowing for 48hrs tbh. Just saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Not a good run for E MA, but I think its too warm with that antecedent airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I mean...cmc has it snowing for 48hrs tbh. Just saying. And.....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: SE areas would need flood watches on the ICON. Its too warm. No way I get like 2" of snow with that antecdent airmass in early Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Phinn and i can lead the charge on it, When should we start? Go tuck yourself, and me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: And.....? Just saying...DIT is not making ish up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I mean...cmc has it snowing for 48hrs tbh. Just saying. Is it moderate to heavy snow for 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its too warm. No way I get like 2" of snow with that antecdent airmass in early Feb. ICON thermals are always goofy at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 It most likely won’t happen but to say nothing shows it is also misleading. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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