Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[dryslot]

Just now, TheSnowman said:

Thank You for making sure my NE RI town is included in that line 

You were so close to being on the wrong side.............

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, dryslot said:

How much for Philly?

Wentzaphadelphia has been quiet .

 

[weatherwiz]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Sucking up to Tip?

I'm really hoping for a Valentine's Day snowstorm this year so Tip can take us down memory lane back to his college days about how he chased the love of his life naked across campus chugging through the balloon sized snowflakes that formed tiny icicles as they melted on his hot skin and noted a sudden wind shift when his wind sock swiftly pointed in the opposite direction, telling him the coastal front had gone through

[dryslot]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Wentzaphadelphia has been quiet .

 

He has BL issues......

[HoarfrostHubb]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Great working for the state, bc you get to stay home without burning a day in the biggies.

One of the few perks of my job seems to have been permanently lost...

[TheSnowman]

“How much for Philly?” was what would later be considered a “Meme” today on this forum back in even 2005; even earlier maybe.  Makes me laugh EVERY time.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm really hoping for a Valentine's Day snowstorm this year so Tip can take us down memory lane back to his college days about how he chased the love of his life naked across campus chugging through the balloon sized snowflakes that formed tiny icicles as they melted on his hot skin and noted a sudden wind shift when his wind sock swiftly pointed in the opposite direction, telling him the coastal front had gone through

God, no....I will be Vegas for several days.....

[78Blizzard]

I think this NAM run will be more like the 12z run instead of that awful 18z run.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

One of the few perks of my job seems to have been permanently lost...

You guys will go back eventually...

[tavwtby]

11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Here it is. My first stab at a snowmap

First call 

figures I'm not staying up there, but driving up on Monday coming home that night, should be a nice ride on the pike Monday night..

[weatherwiz]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

God, no....I will be Vegas for several days.....

well...you know what's coming then

 

[dryslot]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

I think this NAM run will be more like the 12z run instead of that awful 18z run.

Folks in eastern areas may not like this run though.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You guys will go back eventually...

Right.  But snow days I fear might be gone for good

[TheSnowman]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You were so close to being on the wrong side.............

I can not tell you HOW many storms where the R/S Line is the most important aspect to worry about for days leading up, and the point of stress during the actual event here in NE RI.  The only glory, and Still the Biggest Overperformer in my life, was the Forgotten storm of 

 

12/16/2013.  9".  Expected 2" and rain to Ruin the Legendary 12/13/2013 "Poor Man's Blizzard of 1978 Traffic disaster Part 2" storm.  but it didn't.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Right.  But snow days I fear might be gone for good

How?

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You guys will go back eventually...

They should already be back, I'll leave it there.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

Folks in eastern areas may not like this run though.

NAM is useless at this range.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

They should already be back, I'll leave it there.

Agree.

[powderfreak]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Right.  But snow days I fear might be gone for good

Can always do remote learning for sure.  The public has been trained.  Use technology on bad weather days.  Didn’t have that option or infrastructure in the past for sure.

[OceanStWx]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Right.  But snow days I fear might be gone for good

But you'll get them when they're all sweaty in the early Summer!

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TheSnowman said:

I can not tell you HOW many storms where the R/S Line is the most important aspect to worry about for days leading up, and the point of stress during the actual event.  The only glory, and Still the Biggest Overperformer in my life, was the Forgotten storm of 

 

12/16/2013.  9".  Expected 2" and rain to Ruin the Legendary 12/13/2013 "Poor Man's Blizzard of 1978 Traffic disaster Part 2" storm.  but it didn't.  

Traffic disaster was 12/16/07.

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

NAM is useless at this range.

Sure, But trends are undeniable.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

Sure, But trends are undeniable.

Trend undeniable?

It was over Bermuda last run...

[NeonPeon]

1 minute ago, TheSnowman said:

I can not tell you HOW many storms where the R/S Line is the most important aspect to worry about for days leading up, and the point of stress during the actual event here in NE RI.  The only glory, and Still the Biggest Overperformer in my life, was the Forgotten storm of 

 

12/16/2013.  9".  Expected 2" and rain to Ruin the Legendary 12/13/2013 "Poor Man's Blizzard of 1978 Traffic disaster Part 2" storm.  but it didn't.  

Oh wahhhh.  You live on he mountain top. It's hell in the bay.

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Trend undeniable?

It was over Bermuda last run...

All the models have gone NW, Not just the Nam...lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

All the models have gone NW, Not just the Nam...lol

My point is the NAM went NW at 12z, then to Bermuda...now NW.

Most models we needed to go NW bc of the previous se trend.

[40/70 Benchmark]

NAM looks like most other guidance now....I normally agree with Jeff, but not sure what the concern is at this point...unless "eastern areas" means the cape and far southeast MA.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Elongation of the ML will be huge for eastern areas as it will help mitigate any warming.  NAM is a huge hit.

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My point is the NAM went NW at 12z, then to Bermuda...now NW.

Most models we needed to go NW bc of the previous se trend.

My point is the trend is NW, And Nam continues it since 18z at 00z, Nothing more, And Nam at the end of its range, Wouldn't be writing a forecast based on it.

[78Blizzard]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Folks in eastern areas may not like this run though.

Eastern areas are just fine with it.