Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Kinda crazy, he never came back.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Is that the storm that dropped 40"+ in NH when he said there would be less than an inch north of I90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Is that the storm that dropped 40"+ in NH when he said there would be less than an inch north of I90 Yeah. He had no snow in BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: Is that the storm that dropped 40"+ in NH when he said there would be less than an inch north of I90 It was a Bouchard level bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Kinda crazy, he never came back.. He was spotted wondering the streets of NYC a few weeks back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Kinda crazy, he never came back.. Hate to see it, Winter is too short. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 It's true though. He could've just laughed it off and said he busted. And no one would really care that much. But this makes it worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 What is the V16 vs the FV3. I haven't been following the GFS iterations. Also, which one of those is the Para GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The thing that makes the Pope look really bad is he was so adamant he was going to be right.. was very smug about it. Then when he was 110% wrong... he didn’t own up to and admit his mistake. He just stopped posting. Everyone makes mistakes and busts. But own up to it @jbenedet. Learn and understand why it happened and where you went wrong. Your’re fresh out of college and young. Don’t just run away with the deflated football. It’s a really bad look Take a page from the Rev playbook, all he needs to do is throw out of a forecast for the next one and the people will forget. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 It is an imperfect art/science. I bust on almost every storm but you have to keep learning and keep plugging away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The GFS twins are the lamest depictions here. Euro looks great. ICON also looks like it would be a mauling here past 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: What is the V16 vs the FV3. I haven't been following the GFS iterations. Also, which one of those is the Para GFS All of the GFS is now running an FV3 model core (which is why people refer to it as the FV3). V16 is the coming upgrade to the GFS, this upgrade will actually change model physics vs the FV3 which just changed model capability and scalability. Because they need to test the V16 to ensure no bugs, it is run in parallel to the operational GFS to test performance. So the V16 and parallel are the same. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: What is the V16 vs the FV3. I haven't been following the GFS iterations. Also, which one of those is the Para GFS Para is the v16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Any ICON maps for 18z? Tip says it looks great..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: The GFS twins are the lamest depictions here. Euro looks great. ICON also looks like it would be a mauling here past 120. They suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Any ICON maps for 18z? Tip says it looks great..? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: All of the GFS is now running an FV3 model core (which is why people refer to it as the FV3). V16 is the coming upgrade to the GFS, this upgrade will actually change model physics vs the FV3 which just changed model capability and scalability. Because they need to test the V16 to ensure no bugs, it is run in parallel to the operational GFS to test performance. So the V16 and parallel are the same. Is being bad at depicting likely outcomes considered a bug? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I was today years old when I realized WOR was west of river. 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I was today years old when I realized WOR was west of river. Beer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I was today years old when I realized WOR was west of river. Today years old? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 20 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Is being bad at depicting likely outcomes considered a bug? LOL Do you want the honest answer? The parallel test phase really just ensures that the model runs properly, is realistic, and doesn't seriously degrade the forecast from the current version. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 22 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Is being bad at depicting likely outcomes considered a bug? LOL No, its a feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Euro looks deeper and a more defined at h5 thru 90 but I’m not sure how that would translate afterwards though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Do you want the honest answer? The parallel test phase really just ensures that the model runs properly, is realistic, and doesn't seriously degrade the forecast from the current version. You know when it is released next month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro looks deeper and a more defined at h5 thru 90 but I’m not sure how that would translate afterwards though. landfall in Bermuda... This is where I check out until Saturday 12z....trends are not our friend right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: landfall in Bermuda... This is where I check out until Saturday 12z....trends are not our friend right now I just checked precip maps and yes, it’s further south where we don’t get the overunning anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 This could end up being congrats DC with the first qpf max before it dumbbells into ENE with the second max. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Do you want the honest answer? The parallel test phase really just ensures that the model runs properly, is realistic, and doesn't seriously degrade the forecast from the current version. It was definitely a rhetorical question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said: You know when it is released next month? May not end up being next month. Looks like the IT evaluation period just ended, so the new implementation says March 2021 now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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