Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Wife: What the eff did you do that for?

Me: Because I’m only getting 4 inches

Wife: That’s what I’ve been telling you for 9 years

Me: ‘walks away’

 

[Typhoon Tip]

9 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

There are times that I wish we didn't have models, satellites, etc.  Just hand drawn maps based on upstream observations, the smell of the air, changes in wind, and horse sense.  Thinking back to my childhood in the 60s, surprise storms were the best.

Okay okay ... heh...

Not willing ( personally ) to go that far.   Not caring to see those ancillary products based upon other products ...based upon numerical guidance tech grape-vines, protects me personally. I'm a mid 1990s, 500 mb trend guy - do just fine man.

You know though, it does point out:   this engagement?  whether hobby, obsession... to just dropping by to get an 'insider idea' on an impending over-aggrandized CNN headline of impending doom...etc, it's all new to humanity?  This has never happened before, ever, a sociological/cultural mode... in history. There is no archeological bases for this - interesting.

It's 20 years tops... in fact, could argue that it's really only the last 10 years that it has become a real empiric/demonstratively motivating influence on behaviors and even to the extent of motioning macro-ethos...  But that all hints at an op-ed segway, - any takers.. haha.  Didn't think so -

No, but I do think it's interesting sociologically that the "storm" experience isn't really waking up to red sky at morning, and battening down the hatches and seeing what it has in store.  The storm experience is often an exhausting... jesus, it can be a 2-week ordeal

Point is, yikes...

[Typhoon Tip]

5 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

are you sure have you tried google? i mean, i just found weekly and monthly tide charts for Boston in about 0.3 seconds. didn't cost me a dime.

yeah ...maybe that changed -  i'll give it a whirl... but, the impetus is also to supply them here ?   -

I just wanted to the discussion too.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Wife: What the eff did you do that for?

Me: Because I’m only getting 4 inches

Wife: That’s what I’ve been telling you for 9 years

Me: ‘walks away’

 

Amazing

[Typhoon Tip]

29 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

are you sure have you tried google? i mean, i just found weekly and monthly tide charts for Boston in about 0.3 seconds. didn't cost me a dime.

also, 'Spring' tide ...I think what I was having trouble find before -

[Typhoon Tip]

Ha...this storm coincides with the 'Neap tide'  ...

[CoastalWx]

This storm has a huge circulation. Some of you I think are biased a bit on something SE of the BM...but for those that want it tucky tucky...you'd be sucky sucky on exhaust.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

This storm has a huge circulation. Some of you I think are biased a bit on something SE of the BM...but for those that want it tucky tucky...you'd be sucky sucky on exhaust.

Usually when scooter tucks, the surrounding dudes suck?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Usually when scooter tucks, the surrounding dudes suck?

I can see H7 on the EPS and it's really broad. Center near and east of the Cape. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I can see H7 on the EPS and it's really broad. Center near and east of the Cape. 

I think that snowfall map is limited by a few whiffy members....toss those, and that is a huge hit IMO.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think that snowfall map is limited by a few whiffy members....toss those, and that is a huge hit IMO.

The high also was in a better spot, better airmass across the interior. That helps too. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

This storm has a huge circulation. Some of you I think are biased a bit on something SE of the BM...but for those that want it tucky tucky...you'd be sucky sucky on exhaust.

Yep....it's like how we were getting firehosed in Dec '92 when the low was sitting over Delaware. Or even Mar '13....the low was sitting over the Andrea Gail way off to our ESE while we were getting smoked.

[Typhoon Tip]

Yeah ... I just see this still as a powerful 'placeholder' that is only getting a fraction of what it could take ... heh.

But just a little more in-feed of wind momentum kinematic S/W material and this thing really would wind up like a top and congeal tighter through the sfc-700 mb disks ... This open broad bs is because the focusing UVM is distributed aloft...  Kind of an annoying waste of said favorability -

The Euro run appears to absolutely maximize what it can, given said feeds.  It reminds me of that run like 3 or 4 cycles ago..when it was also pretty to look at. 

Thing is...for those holding out on more potent congealed realization ... I don't know if assimilation and sonde stuff matters in this case as much as even 10 years ago.  It seems to me that if anything, features relayed off the Pacific are always proving pubes too much when the pass on shore.  I have really seen something come in more potent like we used to, lately -

But it may. 

I'm starting to get event fatigue already ... jeez.

[mahk_webstah]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks good for Union and Staffordville

a good run for us to get the deformation high ratio snows.  lets see if that banding shows up over us in the other guidance like it did quite a bit leading up to Dec 16-17

[Damage In Tolland]

24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yep....it's like how we were getting firehosed in Dec '92 when the low was sitting over Delaware. Or even Mar '13....the low was sitting over the Andrea Gail way off to our ESE while we were getting smoked.

You try to tell em and hate to see it when they don’t get what you tried to tell em’

[kdxken]

Hopefully the heavy stuff stays all metro Boston. I don't need the snow.

[moneypitmike]

It's a good sign when you log in to find 200+ new posts.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You try to tell em and hate to see it when they don’t get what you tried to tell em’

What are you sellin to the state at this juncture...8-16”?

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

What are you sellin to the state at this juncture...8-16”?

Too early , but I think 12+ for a large portion is possible

[78Blizzard]

NAM and Euro have fairly good agreement at h5.

 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

This storm has a huge circulation. Some of you I think are biased a bit on something SE of the BM...but for those that want it tucky tucky...you'd be sucky sucky on exhaust.

Nah I don’t think it’d be exhaust if it tucked in.

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, PWMan said:

Wish I could un-see that. Too many model runs left!

Especially after seeing my percentage chances of 3"+ drop from 70s to 40s only about 10 posts upthread.

[MJO812]

Gfs looks like crap

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Gross.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs looks like crap

Thankfully it’s a subpar model especially with coastals.

[dryslot]

Slow development and later as well on the GFS.

[78Blizzard]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs looks like crap

Rots away E of Delmarva.  Then brings it to E ME.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Thankfully it’s a subpar model especially with coastals.

Hate to see it.

[Henry's Weather]

Would rather have the shitty scenario on the gfs rather than the EC.

[Kbosch]

I hope the GFS looks awful until it's literally snowing. Utterly useless. I'd be worried if it showed a big hit.