Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[HoarfrostHubb]

Crazy round up winds

[Ginx snewx]

11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok what does this mean exactly? The significance I guess I mean too? And  It’s practically off the charts on the scale that’s on the right hand side. 

Abnormal 850 mb inflow which transports moisture over an extremely long fetch. 

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok what does this mean exactly? The significance I guess I mean too? And  It’s practically off the charts on the scale that’s on the right hand side. 

That’s Morch 2013 storm on roids. And that storm was on roids

[dendrite]

11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok what does this mean exactly? The significance I guess I mean too? And  It’s practically off the charts on the scale that’s on the right hand side. 

It's just how much above average the zonal component (u axis or east-west) wind is. Easterly is a negative wind (-u) so basically that area has an easterly component >14kt above normal. I don't really care for those maps. I'd rather see standard deviations.

[powderfreak]

Just now, dendrite said:

It's just how much above average the zonal component (u axis or east-west) wind is. Easterly is a negative wind (-u) so basically that area has an easterly component >14kt above normal. I don't really care for those maps. I'd rather see standard deviations.

Those old school crude SD U-Wind maps were/are great.  Not sure where one finds that though.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's just how much above average the zonal component (u axis or east-west) wind is. Easterly is a negative wind (-u) so basically that area has an easterly component >14kt above normal. I don't really care for those maps. I'd rather see standard deviations.

-5/6 on GEFS 250 U is like -4

[powderfreak]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s Morch 2013 storm on roids. And that storm was on roids

Every time there's an easterly flow discussion you bring up that storm, ha.  Must've made an impression.

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Abnormal 850 mb inflow which transports moisture over an extremely long fetch. 

Ahh ok. Thank you for the explanation. Appreciated. 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's just how much above average the zonal component (u axis or east-west) wind is. Easterly is a negative wind (-u) so basically that area has an easterly component >14kt above normal. I don't really care for those maps. I'd rather see standard deviations.

So where would -14kt be on the SD scale? 

[dendrite]

19 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Those old school crude SD U-Wind maps were/are great.  Not sure where one finds that though.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Link?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

They should have never handed me the keys to these WB maps. Give me another day or so and I’ll start ripping maps here...while probably not even understanding half of them. 

[dendrite]

20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

-5/6 on GEFS 250 U is like -4

250 is -4??

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Link?

http://nws.met.psu.edu/ensembles/

[MJO812]

I miss the MM5 and DGEX model

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I miss the MM5 and DGEX model

Said no one ever.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

21 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I miss the MM5 and DGEX model

Interestingly enough....the mm5 did really well with Dec10. I think it was pulled shortly thereafter iirc

[Ginx snewx]

49 minutes ago, dendrite said:

250 is -4??

Reason I asked for a link. I looked this morning and thought it was -4 then I couldn't get back in to PSU. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Icon looked like 1-2’ regionwide, practically the entire northeast, then crushes Maine with 2-3’.

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Icon looked like 1-2’ regionwide, practically the entire northeast, then crushes Maine with 2-3’.

Ya was just going to post that run was GREAT!!

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Icon looked like 1-2’ regionwide, practically the entire northeast, then crushes Maine with 2-3’.

Sick 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Icon looked like 1-2’ regionwide, practically the entire northeast, then crushes Maine with 2-3’.

Big time Rainer SE Mass 

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Big time Rainer SE Mass 

I'm scared of rain. Cutoff lows meandering? That stinks of long easterly winds. If this was early December, close the shades. Time of year should help this

[dryslot]

lol

[PhineasC]

Just now, dryslot said:

lol

Nice Randolph bullseye. The ICON knows climo!

[PhineasC]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Big time Rainer SE Mass 

Great news for here. 

[dryslot]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Nice Randolph bullseye. The ICON knows climo!

That's 30"+ there ha ha

[Go Kart Mozart]

Western ridge much higher at 126hrs on GFS

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Western ridge much higher at 126hrs on GFS

Very disorganized

[Bostonseminole]

GFS crawling with the low