ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like generally speaking there is less resistance to cutters in December, than later in the year. Yes....that is empirically true. A number of reasons....cryospheric maturation up north, SSTs much colder in Feb than Dec, etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 27 minutes ago, dendrite said: Congrats... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Ah I forgot you only look out for you...I like larger regionwide impacts with me included, of course. I had already told you that it captured later..what more did you need to know? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, they have less snow bc of the downslope on and easterly fetch. You should know that. With over an inch of qpf? I know you are in bed with that snow map but no way does the CRV have 7 inches with those upper levels and that thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I had already told you that it captured later..what more did you need to know? lol Lol fair enough. It took a step back for the region (outside of ARSATT) as a whole though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: With over an inch of qpf? I know you are in bed with that snow map but no way does the CRV have 7 inches with those upper levels and that thump. Dude, we are 6 days out....perhaps the model is overdoing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This is not the Feb thread so take your 10 day cutter talk elsewhere...we’ve got important stuff to bicker over in here. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Nice cluster of 980s just se of ACK.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Exactly The CRV isn’t raining with over an inch of qpf Can see the upslope signature from erly flow over doggie doo in your front yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Glad we shed the NJ coast tuckies 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Can see the upslope signature from erly flow over doggie doo in your front yard. I cant see sh it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I remember there was hand wringing and consternation posts like today prior to the Morch 2013 storm .. and then most were buried in 20-28” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Ah I forgot you only look out for you...I like larger regionwide impacts with me included, of course. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Can see the upslope signature from erly flow over doggie doo in your front yard. Can see the soaking rain from easterly flow at the mud pit your kids made today 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 59 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is way slower than the gfs That's why it's a warmer solution. Gives more time for the arctic air mass to depart. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Can see the soaking rain from easterly flow at the mud pit your kids made today He smashes Bryce's bike and tosses it into the wind, and away it flies..like the movie Twister 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: MEH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Can see the soaking rain from easterly flow at the mud pit your kids made today No mud today. Hopefully not Monday night either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 Pretty good NCEP summarization ...echoing the sensible voice(s) found in here - Regarding the system tracking eastward from the Plains and then redeveloping near the Mid-Atlantic/New England coast, probabilistic winter weather guidance shows the best potential for meaningful snow extending from the Midwest through parts of the Ohio Valley and then from the interior Mid-Atlantic/central Appalachians and across New England. There is still some uncertainty regarding the rain/snow transition zone. Meanwhile the potential complexity of the evolution aloft over the East Coast further tempers confidence in specifics, especially given how sensitive precipitation location/type/intensity will be to important details that will likely take into the short range time frame to resolve. There may be a small margin for error between a significant snowfall and a modest one. Farther south expect the highest rainfall totals to extend from near the east-central Plains/Mid-Mississippi Valley into North Carolina or vicinity. Some of this activity may be moderate to heavy but its relatively swift motion should keep rainfall totals from becoming too extreme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I remember there was hand wringing and consternation posts like today prior to the Morch 2013 storm .. and then most were buried in 20-28” That trepidation seemed fairly warranted in my opinion. Exotic fujiwara with marginal boundary layer is not exactly a layup. We knew the potential was there for a biggie, but it seemed there was a lot that could go wrong. It did for southern RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Compared to 0z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 Know how we know it'll rival history ? because 3 days later it's 62 F with howling southerly gales - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Know how we know it'll rival history ? because 3 days later it's 62 F with howling southerly gales - Sums this winter up perfectly...the couple of times you due hook up with a hot chick, there is a fat thug named Bruno in the alley waiting to have his way with you... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sums this winter up perfectly...the couple of times you due hook up with a hot chick, there is a fat thug named Bruno in the alley waiting to have his way with you... heh...and it helps if said 'hot chick' wasn't the prison yard princess in a blonde wig to begin with - 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 47 minutes ago, dryslot said: Better get this one to produce the next one wants to go NE thru MI Already looks better than Grinch here with 240 hours to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 It's like ...this is the antithesis of the snow retention year - watch ... we'll end up with 80 to 100 inches and no one will be able to honestly report a pack on the ground more than 10 % of the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: That's why it's a warmer solution. Gives more time for the arctic air mass to depart. As well as the block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: It's like ...this is the antithesis of the snow retention year - watch ... we'll end up with 80 to 100 inches and no one will be able to honestly report a pack on the ground more than 10 % of the time lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Don’t focus on your Bruno fetish just yet. Stick the heterosexual fornication for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's like ...this is the antithesis of the snow retention year - watch ... we'll end up with 80 to 100 inches and no one will be able to honestly report a pack on the ground more than 10 % of the time Almost like 2004-2005. I'd take it... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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