Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Slight shuffle S and E on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 12z NAM slays 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z NAM slays Good start to 12z with HRR/NAM combo. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 thats a thump in central/ eastern SNE On Nam..geezus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NAM ramped the QPF up again a bit after slacking some on the 06z run over in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: thats a thump in eastern SNE On Nam..geezus Talk dirty to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NAM absolutely destroys SE Mass between like 6-10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3km Nammy joined the parade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: thats a thump in central/ eastern SNE On Nam..geezus Tickled the CF further east too....models are prob too far west with it so I'd expect to see them come a bit east with that feature as we near 0 lead time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Any maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Any maps? https://home.pivotalweather.com/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Any maps? I will admit, this is a painful thing to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 This is what you want to see to get hammered with high rates....I circled the 700mb warm front where the isotherms are tightly packed.....now look at the wind flags north of that....just straight from the east for like 200 miles. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I will admit, this is a painful thing to look at I’ve never seen anyone worry as much as you do. There’s no slot there. You good for 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve never seen anyone worry as much as you do. There’s no slot there. You good for 12+ I just want BOX to be wrong about stealing my snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I will admit, this is a painful thing to look at Damage is done by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Are the Canadian models verifying down south? Man, they are insistent this storm wraps up tight and heads into Maine. None of this swirl around well off the coast stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 10 hours ago, wxsniss said: All this energy spawning disparate lows reminds me of a storm a few years ago... sorry I can't remember the date... On guidance a large trough with multiple pieces of vorticity spawning different SLPs as they hit the coast, and we compared it to mogwais... guidance struggled and eventually coalesced into a single dominant SLP... reality was a SNE blizzard RGEM did the same thing as CMC and HRPDS, and Euro hints at it too... glad to see a potential popping up before it's off Maine The reason for that is because this entire system's hemispheric footing is hugely teleconnector supported, but only partially fed into by actual S/W mechanics. It's been the over-shadowing theme in all guidance in this thing from the get go. One can see that if they observe the 500 mb height evolution over the last week's -worth of runs - the entire L/W aspect of the trough opens up, rather than the more typical deal where a big wind/max and DPVA event forces height fall feed-backs; like the surrounding medium is 'pulling away' from the ~ mid Atlantic instead. The western N/A ridge bulges as the last of the recent -NAO block tendency rotates through the Maritime, geometrically abandoning the cross-haired mid Atlantic. It's an usual evolution - which is why ( imho ) the top CIPs contender analogs really don't look very appealingly like they fit - not to me anywho...I can argue why ( veraciously! ) but this is a paragraph that needs to shut up at this point because the profound introspection of the modern Twit-spheric reader probably isn't making it to this "." The surrounding super-synoptic circumstance thus only offers modest actual 'constructive interference' within the virtual framework of the model(s) .. within that realm, the modest S/W feeds are giving back solutions that just can't quite - ugh - focus a low that does a more coherent singular entity and capture/F-wara sequencing - instead, we end up with a broader center with multiple centers .. in reality, as the GGEM shows, a more cohesive bomb "could" materialize ...nothing we've seen before that in the guidance ... ( last night through now and probably through this evening ) is really that low. You what this reminds me of... ? It's almost like the models "can't see" inside the nucleus of the trough, and are guessing/inferring SOMEthing is there. Meanwhile... maybe these late HRDP this and GGEM that ( and the UKMET laughing when the former two make their jokes means it's an abetter ... heh ) maybe these models are the first to see what/where the more important resulting cyclonic response from all this stuff was destined to happen. I mean c'mon ..that's what that is.. This anchor low spitting and shearing off basically warm frontal meso lows toward the NE...and then suddenly, one of those bombs to 973 with a vicious no-warning isollabaric wind thrashing transporting a shattered 7.8" of snow in 2 hours in the GGEM .. that is the storm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 still thinking around 15" here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NYC getting smoked at this moment if that is all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: still thinking around 15" here. Hope so my friend, I could see that possibly happening when all is said and done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The projected wind field for inland, legit? Sell? cut in half? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: NYC getting smoked at this moment if that is all snow NY Metro obs reporting some sleet in the mix but heavy accum. NW NJ till has temps <20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: NYC getting smoked at this moment if that is all snow Indeed we are. Had 5" on the ground in Manhattan about 7 AM. Really cranking now and we've just hit about 1/4 mile viz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: NYC getting smoked at this moment if that is all snow All snow Huge flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Tiktock said: Same! In Plaistow north of Haverhill here with crossed fingers Glad to see someone else in Southeast NH. Couple towns north of you in Brentwood. Fingers crossed. Got really screwed in the December storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Reggie has the low, but more across ern, especially NE MA into NH and ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Reggie has the low, but more across ern, especially NE MA into NH and ME. ME likey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Reggie has the low, but more across ern, especially NE MA into NH and ME. Yeah def further north, not quite as bonkers, seems to see slp wanting to hang back near NYC more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 47 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I will admit, this is a painful thing to look at That's like an arrowhead heading right up towards PF's fanny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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