moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The good news is almost all the posters will be have a SECS, many a MECS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 SWCT folks would sign for the 23z HRRR been ramping up consistently. 6-12" in All of SWCT by noon with mega band just moving in... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I’m not sure I’ve been this uncertain going into a storm. Admittedly living down here on South Shore can bring its challenges geographically. right now I feel like it could be 4” or 10” - should be an interesting day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Euro looked to shift ML goodies a decent tick or two South over NJ /SNY area. Was the MSLP further South or mid level low? Curious bc it destroyed Philly now that i look close....i don't have any graphics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: Droughtstein i think that's pretty much in line with what im thinking. ..cept i would maybe shave the 9-14 over Far SE mass a tad . What is a decent program for a accumulation map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: Droughtstein I really appreciate the blending of the 9-14/12-18. Must more realistic of how these things work.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I can't really get much from that. I just see that Philly got blasted over to Trenton and elevated areas of S NY and extreme N NJ got reduced significantly and those areas are dependent mostly on ML goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Thinking a foot here in south eastern NH. Could be more on some models, will be happy with 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Best pressure falls/rise couple is favoring the surface low development over SE Coastal South Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Euro cut back here from it's outrageous 12z run, but still 15-20 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 18Z Euro continued to be nice for ME - popping off that extra low in the GoM and stalling it over downeast ME. It's a toned down version of the amped CA models. I've been very skeptical of the secondary max in coastal NH/ME but it's persisting in the higher resolution models so who knows, maybe I'm in for a treat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: As long as you are north of the H7 warm front, you are usually going to be getting smoked. In this image it is easy to see as the height lines are bent back...that’s when we say “bent back warm front”....I marked the front in red 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: how bout LIFT Hard to quantify h7 there by just a snapshot as it stalls for several frames but the position was definitely east by 25 miles or so which drags the cbb se. Why Philly got in on it. What about lift though...What map do you want to see lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I like 4-8”....” the taint is closer than it appears”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hard to quantify h7 there but just a snapshot as it stalls for several frames but the position was definitely east by 25 miles or so which drags the cbb se. Why Philly got in on it. What about lift though...What map do you want to see lol? actually man, no worries. I'm not gonna hog the thread. Plenty more models to run tonite. Gotta set my final NBA lineups on Fanduel. ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 HRRR FTMFW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s doable for both of us I think. Hope it pans out for us. I could see it being 12” or 19”.. but that seems most likely to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 14 minutes ago, MRVexpat said: Dude!!! So rad. What is the name of the tune that is currently being played??? (If you see this in time). I've seen Club D'elf cover it a good amount of times at the Lizard Lounge in Cambridge where they have their residency. Ahhhh the Final tune was Spain, by Chick Corea. Before it was If I ain't got You by Alicia Keys. Another one was Panarea, a South American Tune. Bella Chitarra, a Jazz Waltz. Ahhhhh what else, La Vie en Rose with the Violinist. Or the Romanian tune, which was the Fast Duo tune we did. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thought that had better concordance between the surface, mid, and upper levels? Agree, Dec event was much better organized... this one is more disjointed, with mid and upper level centers maybe further southwest than ideal, but apparently plenty of WAA lift + 850 fetch to deliver. What are you thinking for Chestnut Hill? The other puzzle is what happens Tuesday. Guidance all over the place with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 ICON cut back across the board a little too, FWIW. It seems we are narrowing the goalposts now to something good but not great. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, kdxken said: What time tonight does it start? Looks like 3-5:00 AM here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Drz1111 said: 18Z Euro continued to be nice for ME - popping off that extra low in the GoM and stalling it over downeast ME. It's a toned down version of the amped CA models. I've been very skeptical of the secondary max in coastal NH/ME but it's persisting in the higher resolution models so who knows, maybe I'm in for a treat. I think it's real. Euro has had it for a couple runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Droughtstein 2-5” in the Pioneer Valley?? That dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: ICON cut back across the board a little too, FWIW. It seems we are narrowing the goalposts now to something good but not great. ICON is not the model I want to trust in any scenario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Snow has started here 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 this storm looks to be arriving a bit faster than modeled. I mean there is banding now just southwest of the Vineyard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: HRRR FTMFW That would a kick in the nuts to many forecasts and many others' expectations. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like 3-5:00 AM here Oh good not until Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: I think it's real. Euro has had it for a couple runs now. If it's real, then that explains why your numbers are being cut a bit. Subsidence and a not-particularly-favorable-wind-for-upslope. But I dunno - with how occluded the broader low will be, I feel like it's going to play much more like an upslope event under an upper low? I don't see the forcing by the coast after the main WAA band lifts north. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Major fringe job by the Euro up in NW Mass. Looks like a quick hit from the initial fronto band, then the dry slot and 20 hours of weak echoes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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