Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[WeatherX]

Meh, next 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

See Tips post to understand why that’s not there 

[Ginx snewx]

Too many edibles in here today

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, WeatherX said:

Meh, next 

Drunk?

[weathafella]

Yeah you guys are right.  I changed the view and can now see sweet mid and uppers.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

He has trouble with colorful maps.

No reason to sweat the details though, but we discuss.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Ray jacks so that’s all that matters.

[WeatherX]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Drunk?

No, have disrobed though  Best looking system at this range in a few years. Looking forward to it

[Damage In Tolland]

Lol at dry slot thoughts. She not real . Wow

[40/70 Benchmark]

I didn't realize low levels went to crap....now it makes sense.

[ORH_wxman]

The deformation stuff this run is back across central/upsate NY....this is a huge circulation....this is really about a 12-18 hour storm for SNE with a really powerful firehose coming off the atlantic. Then it would prob be another 18-24 hours of garbage off and on flakes/crapola.

It's a really good storm....but my guess is it wouldn't match our true top dogs if we're trying to compare here. Get that H5 low to tighten up a little bit and then it might be.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ray jacks so that’s all that matters.

Negative.

The model is hopefully a bit warm in the low levels, though.

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No reason to sweat the details though, but we discuss.

I get not sweating the details, generally. But there's lot less room for error here.

Though if I was inland, I'd be stoked at this current juncture. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No reason to sweat the details though, but we discuss.

It's just too easy sometimes.  It's clearly there, whether you want to believe it or not.

[MJO812]

Euro is way slower than the gfs

[Hoth]

Didn't realize the antecedent air mass is crap. Thought this weekend's blast was sticking around a bit longer.

[Spanks45]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No reason to sweat the details though, but we discuss.

we dryslot and still get a foot of snow...I will take that any day and hope the details are better when we get closer, for the better of course....

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Yeah you guys are right.  I changed the view and can now see sweet mid and uppers.

Yes sir

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

The deformation stuff this run is back across central/upsate NY....this is a huge circulation....this is really about a 12-18 hour storm for SNE with a really powerful firehose coming off the atlantic. Then it would prob be another 18-24 hours of garbage off and on flakes/crapola.

It's a really good storm....but my guess is it wouldn't match our true top dogs if we're trying to compare here. Get that H5 low to tighten up a little bit and then it might be.

For some, I guess....

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Spanks45 said:

we dryslot and still get a foot of snow...I will take that any day and hope the details are better when we get closer, for the better of course....

I think some think 1.1 to 2.0 qpf ain't enough 

[Damage In Tolland]

Absolute beast for SNE

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

For some, I guess....

I don't see the moderate to heavy stuff lasting longer than that really anywhere including NNE.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I didn't realize low levels went to crap....now it makes sense.

Really doesn't handle 33 and snow. 925 850 700 all below 32 and extreme dynamics. Hard sell

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I don't see the moderate to heavy stuff lasting longer than that really anywhere including NNE.

Oh, I know....

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

I think some think 1.1 to 2.0 qpf ain't enough 

I would think the queens would be pretty happy with that output. Euro tends to underdo QPF if memory serves.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

we dryslot and still get a foot of snow...I will take that any day and hope the details are better when we get closer, for the better of course....

Yup. Just keep it in the strike zone for another 4 days then we pounce on it. 

[dryslot]

A broader H5 low gets more people involved as well especially with its N/S orientation along the coast, This is a pretty broad system so its spreads the wealth.

[Typhoon Tip]

That's a choke snow inflow jet - sorry...

- it's just a model depiction amongst many that we'll eye-candy and/or rue our ways thru over the next 3 or so days ... then perhaps a believable consensus "precipitates"  ( haha ) out of all that, but in a snap shot... with closing/deepening 700-400 plates under a 300 mb right fanning diffluence... that is snowing 8" /hr with multi pulse + stroked CG so powerful that EMP shuts down the grid clear to DCA and trips gamma-ray detectors down at LIGO

I'm kidding... heh. I haven't read J. Nichol's story yet but I fear such turns of phrasing -    ... just kidding James. 

Anyway, seriously, that kind of inflow jet under an unstable and continuing to further destablizing interior cyclonic stadium ...with diffluence in the upper region is likely to be prolific if that were to pan that way -

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Really doesn't handle 33 and snow. 925 850 700 all below 32 and extreme dynamics. Hard sell

Its been the most accurate to my recollection.

Is the model too warm?

Possible...

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

A broader H5 low gets more people involved as well especially with its N/S orientation along the coast.

I'd rather tighten it and risk a favorable track.