Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Fozz]

2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Looks a bit high for NYC, but also for here in RI.

[40/70 Benchmark]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That area near the NH coast into NE MA is the CF enhanced area. That may be a local Jack that we were talking about. Probably extends into middlesex county near 90/495.

It will be e and se of me.

[Greg]

4 minutes ago, CarverWX said:

Are they leaning towards the NAM and V16?

It looks like a blend.

[Greg]

1 minute ago, Fozz said:

Looks a bit high for NYC, but also for here in RI.

That actually looks like they only put out the NAM. A Blend would have been better. That does look a little aggressive on their part.

[Damage In Tolland]

Lol how the NAM thinks the CTRV in CT is that wide .. 

[bristolri_wx]

Way up compared to this morning.

[RDRY]

The 3k is so hypersensitive -- it can go from 1.5 QPF to 0.3 and back to 1.5 in three runs. Right up to gameday.

[Fozz]

Just now, Greg said:

That actually looks like they only put out the NAM. A Blend would have been better. That does look a little aggressive on their part.

Here's the update from BOX. Also going very bullish.

[Greg]

Big difference when Boston Mets is wiser, they use a blend verses the Upton Mets. They just painted the NAM without any blend.

[NeonPeon]

I'd do a jig in a slushy half foot. That'd be a result.

[tavwtby]

no love from the guys in Aly for me?? no WSW for Litchfield county but for casting 16"??

[Greg]

1 minute ago, Fozz said:

Here's the update from BOX. Also going very bullish.

I was talking about Upton,NY Mets snowfall Map. A little too aggressive. not blended.

[mattm4242]

Under a winter storm warning for 2 inches of snow, yippeeeee.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Way up compared to this morning.

@NorEastermass128 will blow a gasket when he sees that

[Greg]

Just now, mattm4242 said:

Under a winter storm warning for 2 inches of snow, yippeeeee.

I have a funny feeling you do a little bit better than that.

[weatherwiz]

Someone in NW NJ might be able to pull off 30'' I think 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Someone in NW NJ might be able to pull off 30'' I think 

How intense will OMEGA need to be for you to strip?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Someone in NW NJ might be able to pull off 30'' I think 

Too bad we can’t get the Messenger se shuffle to move the pivot over us. 

[PhineasC]

7 minutes ago, RDRY said:

The 3k is so hypersensitive -- it can go from 1.5 QPF to 0.3 and back to 1.5 in three runs. Right up to gameday.

It tries too hard to capture convection and terrain effects. It often goes nuts here in minor upslope events showing a foot of snow when 1-2 inches is the ceiling. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

How intense will OMEGA need to be for you to strip?

It takes very little rising motion to get the sinking motion with the clothes

[Greg]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Too bad we can’t get the Messenger se shuffle to move the pivot over us. 

It will slowly move more east/southeast but probably not enough to accomplish that by go time tomorrow.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

It takes very little rising motion to get the sinking motion with the clothes

Update your sig..... @Damage In Tolland is your hero...... CT BLIZZ has evolved.

[wxeyeNH]

Maybe someone has already posted this but this is impressive.  Winter Storm Warnings for the entire NE population centers.  

[WinterWolf]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Too bad we can’t get the Messenger se shuffle to move the pivot over us. 

You know...back in feb 13, the real obscene totals were forecast to be confined out east/eastern Mass and NE Mass.  And we got into it big time..and it wasn’t forecast at all to be like that.  So you never know with these big dogs just how everything evolves and comes together?  Gonna be a great storm for us WCT folks I think regardless. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Greg said:

It will slowly move more east/southeast but probably not enough to accomplish that by go time tomorrow.

Yea. I think NNJ and SENY will be ground zero.

[mattm4242]

This will be NorEastermass128 and I tomorrow and tomorrow night. Seriously though, hopefully we eek out 5 or 6 inches, and you all get decimated.

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Someone in NW NJ might be able to pull off 30'' I think 

That's coming to CT. Believe.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

You know...back in feb 13, the real obscene totals were forecast to be confined out east/eastern Mass and NE Mass.  And we got into it big time..and it wasn’t forecast at all to be like that.  So you never know with these big dogs just how everything evolves and comes together?  Gonna be a great storm for us WCT folks I think regardless. 

Yup. No complaints here, none. 

[78Blizzard]

RGEM has been getting a clue the past 2 runs, but it's still the Americans against the world.

[CoastalWx]

20 minutes ago, CarverWX said:

Are they leaning towards the NAM and V16?

I just think temps will get borderline, and when the DGZ dries out, that’s when it will mix with rain. So I would lean lower near the coast. Also don’t forget about the 700 low west rule. It probably will move out just a little quicker than one thinks. I’m seeing models generate some good QPF below the DGZ so it might be a little biased too wet.