Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Most are happy ugh.. Still stinks here compared to everyone else

[CoastalWx]

That area near the NH coast into NE MA is the CF enhanced area. That may be a local Jack that we were talking about. Probably extends into middlesex county near 90/495.

[Greg]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

3 k NAM sucked. 

Now use the 12K NAM.

[IowaStorm05]

2 minutes ago, Greg said:

Now use the 12K NAM.

Is that really a legit rain shadow in CT River valley?!? You’d think that was cast off a 2000 foot crest 

Or more.

I guess it kinda is a 2000 foot crest actually isn’t it 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Greg said:

Now use the 12K NAM.

Use whichever one gives you more.

[mattm4242]

Box threw up a warning for pretty much everybody on the board, outside of the cape.

[Greg]

2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Is that really a legit rain shadow in CT River valley?!? 

That's the 3K but it's not rain per se but a serious downsloping situation in the valley. Seen this in many past storms. To the east and west ends up doing better.

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That area near the NH coast into NE MA is the CF enhanced area. That may be a local Jack that we were talking about. Probably extends into middlesex county near 90/495.

I'm leaning KBED in this compared to Nashua

[CarverWX]

Box just put up WSW for 6-12 here.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

One thing I'm afraid of for SW CT is that fronto moves through awfully fast and there is some serious subsidence behind that. I was really banking on like a 4-5 hour period where we could see rates 2-3'' per hour but might be more like 2-3. But I am curious about something...there is a surge of llvl fronto which re-develops during the evening and perhaps influenced by the dry slot...I wonder if a llvl fronto band can re-emerge across SW CT.

Why I kept it at 12-18”. It does dry out but then llvl fronto does re-emerge. It won’t be fatties but it will stack up. Difference between 20 and 15 maybe. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Box says "De Robe"

[WxFreak11]

What is the possibility of blizzard warning happening tomorrow?

[MJO812]

Wow Upton is bullish

[CoastalWx]

They have a foot for BOS. That seems high. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Wow Upton is bullish

That also seems high near NYC.

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, CarverWX said:

Box just put up WSW for 6-12 here.

Big change from this morning.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That also seems high near NYC.

Upton loves to Drop back and Chuck em like Moss is going deep

[Sn0waddict]

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Why I kept it at 12-18”. It does dry out but then llvl fronto does re-emerge. It won’t be fatties but it will stack up. Difference between 20 and 15 maybe. 

Agreed.

This is going to be super close...just wish the whole H7 evolution was a bit better...but regardless this is going to be a very good hit for all...just like December.

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

They have a foot for BOS. That seems high. 

Doesn't seem high enough.  Even the 3k NAM spit out a foot for BOS.

[CarverWX]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

They have a foot for BOS. That seems high. 

Are they leaning towards the NAM and V16?

[PhineasC]

Warning for 7-14 here. 9-16 on the point and click. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Warning for 7-14 here. 

Rest of family comes out from the bunker.

This is a fascinating setup , especially up by you

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CarverWX said:

Are they leaning towards the NAM and V16?

Looks it

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That also seems high near NYC.

Not according to the models but I like 12-18 inches

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Kevin and I may be downslope twins in this.

Don't mind seeing it......

[Kbosch]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Wow Upton is bullish

Yep, they love going one step too far sometimes and making their own clown map. No need to push it beyond 12-18, and more of the east should be 8-12. Too many question marks. It *could* happen, to forecast this is rough.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Wow Upton is bullish

Famous last words....

[weatherwiz]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Not according to the models but I like 12-18 inches

 

Scott uses meteorology not modelology