Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Probably should differentiate. I see you and Will in a good spot relative to getting the higher amounts. JMO. Maybe not jack, but in that zone of heavier snows. Nothing wrong with that.

What are you think CF gradient....32/24ish?

[Arnold214]

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Marny Stanier just deleted her account.

Lol

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What are you think CF gradient....32/24ish?

Yeah that sounds right. Early on it may be more than that. Always kind of tough in these but sometimes that molasses arctic air will hold pretty tough and I could see something like 18-20F on the left side of it early on. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

EPS ticked se and cooler:

 

[Henry's Weather]

Any guesses as to where the cf sets up? My money is on it lifting to 128 at the height of the event.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Euro op was on the left edge of the eps mean and one of the most tucked solutions thru D2.

[78Blizzard]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

High end? I'll take the over on those high end numbers....my ceiling is not 12".

And mine is not 9-10".

[nianticct]

22 hours ago, NeonPeon said:

I'm used to being left out, but I don't think I've ever seen new london on an island like it is, with south county included to it's east.

Makes sense really.  I would hate to have to forecast the limits, so why not wait d'sfor more 

 

[Henry's Weather]

Nice omega from 18z HRRR 6pm tommorow

[Torch Tiger]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

High end? I'll take the over on those high end numbers....my ceiling is not 12".

8-12" seems reasonable. 

[TheSnowman]

29 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

How about some Clifton Chenier?  Get yo’ Zydeco on! 

CJ CHENIER is a Close Buddy!!  Was talking to him for an hour Thursday!!  
 

And This went well haha.  If you want to “trigger me”, mention all the famous and awful musicians who don’t know a basic D- from a C7 Chord but are seen as God’s that make 100’s of millions while the best musicians I’ve ever known can’t get a gig or quit.  

[nianticct]

Snowing in the big apple ! Seems early to me?

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Any guesses as to where the cf sets up? My money is on it lifting to 128 at the height of the event.

My guess is a little further west between 128 and 495. Though I’ll admit I have pretty low certainty on this one. This is a pretty cold airmass sitting near ground level ahead of this storm. 

[Greg]

7 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Any guesses as to where the cf sets up? My money is on it lifting to 128 at the height of the event.

I could see it at 28F at my house and Woburn at 34F before it slides east/southeast. I've seen that happen before. Lived it in a few storms.

[Henry's Weather]

Does lift either below or above the DGZ still contribute to heavier rates?

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, nianticct said:

Snowing in the big apple ! Seems early to me?

There will be some light stuff tonight in far southern and southwest areas. Doesn’t make much progress though until late overnight/early tomorrow. There could be some really light stuff that tries to sneak into western/central areas of SNE late this evening but the accumulating stuff is probably confined to the southwest coast until early tomorrow. 

Wouldn’t be surprised though if an inch or two fell though on the south coast before daybreak. Esp southwest. 

[Henry's Weather]

By the way, is anyone noticing shades of Dec 30, 2000, with that Hudson valley pivot? Hope not

 

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Nice omega from 18z HRRR 6pm tommorow

That sounding is from the Sudbury area and could be quite different from where you are.

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

That sounding is from the Sudbury area and could be quite different from where you are.

oh I don't really care, just nice to see that lift at our latitude

[powderfreak]

7 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Nice omega from 18z HRRR 6pm tommorow

lol what a crush job that sounding is.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Nam is se as well. 

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

lol what a crush job that sounding is.

With helicity like that, a very high chance for winter twisters!  Almost guaranteed, even.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'll win that.

if we see more SE ticks instead of Ne I would watch and  see if the big initial thump runs out of steam even faster by route 2

[weathafella]

8 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

By the way, is anyone noticing shades of Dec 30, 2000, with that Hudson valley pivot? Hope not

 

Do not ever bring up 12/30/00 again!   Although in early February I think we would have done a lot better.   Heck, I drove from a driving rainstorm in Brookline Village to heavy snow before 128.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Not necessarily 

if we see more SE ticks instead of Ne I could see the big initial thump cut back over NE mass 

When I say se I mean less nw/w so it could be e or even ne.  With this curling inwards anything se prob means ne too.

[78Blizzard]

NAM could be warmer this run.

[wxsniss]

18z NAM holding strong, if not a tick east thru

Crushing firehouse for southern SNE, CT into NYC area at hr 27

[nycwinter]

  dt saying this..However as you can see the new data clearly does NOT do that. Instead the coastal LOW is much further to the north and east. This means that the Boston and Southeastern New England area see their winds stay North or Northeast so temperatures there are cold enough to support snow and all of eastern New England gets pounded with anywhere from 12 to 18 inches of snow.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, wxsniss said:

18z NAM holding strong, if not a tick east thru

Crushing firehouse for southern SNE, CT into NYC area at hr 27

Yeah.  A little to the East/ NE... noise probably

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, nycwinter said:

  dt saying this..However as you can see the new data clearly does NOT do that. Instead the coastal LOW is much further to the north and east. This means that the Boston and Southeastern New England area see their winds stay North or Northeast so temperatures there are cold enough to support snow and all of eastern New England gets pounded with anywhere from 12 to 18 inches of snow.

Tell that to BOX.