Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Baroclinic Zone]

Nasty CT dryslot while the NNE peeps are dancing in the streets

[weathafella]

Weird. 

[Torch Tiger]

we are locking in a blizzard! Nothing can go wrong

[Ginx snewx]

F in epic nearly 2 inches of qpf. 

[Typhoon Tip]

25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Jesus...a third of those are orgasmic for my area. Counting PD II as such, even though I got meso-porked.

It's a weak list in my estimation - fwiw ...

I don't see any of those below as exceptional tie-ins ...  just guesstimating it looks like the top 5 or no better than mid 60s ... maybe mid 70s %tile

I think/wonder if that owes to the fact that this is a unique- ish scenario.  

I mean, you can get analog lists that are above the 85th in the top five ...

[Bostonseminole]

1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said:

who cares about thermals, look at that phase!!!

we don't care but that is what the model is showing.. dynamics should overcome most of that

[Bostonseminole]

it does look like 40hrs plus on the EURO with stuff falling from the sky

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

It's a weak list in my estimation - fwiw ...

I don't see any of those below as exceptional tie-ins ...  just guesstimating it looks like the top 5 or no better than mid 60s ... maybe mid 70s %tile

I think/wonder if that owes to the fact that this is a unique- ish scenario.  

I mean, you can get analog lists that are above the 85th in the top five ...

you think this morphs into a more canonical synoptic setup as we approach? 

[RDRY]

Euro back to a regionwide powerhouse. The 144 panel is just scary. Heavy snows already entrenched throughout SNE and CNE, with a monster vortex still poised to drop in.

[Typhoon Tip]

Guys ... "dry slot" in accordance with Met parlance is not merely where it is dry - haha...

That's a dry entrained tongue of air that wraps under the 700mb belly.   Just making sure... I don't a 986 mb low on or just west of the BM has a 700 mb low that far inland, or else that is definitely a suspect structured pos run -

[weathafella]

I don’t like 500 coming right over New England 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

we are locking in a blizzard! Nothing can go wrong

Innovative trolling attempt with the deck stacked like this lol

[dryslot]

Hr 174 and still going

[Ginx snewx]

This is the run I was expecting 

[Bostonseminole]

still snowing at 180hrs.. albeit light but still..

[SouthCoastMA]

Too tucky too warm for me, but I guess those about 10+ miles inland will like. 

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I don’t like 500 coming right over New England 

Congrats Dendrite

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Meh for WOR as is but that’s not that important at this stage. 

[moneypitmike]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

986mb on the BM

[weathafella]

There’s a lot of misery for most of sne this run those maps notwithstanding 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

Too tucky too warm for me, but I guess those about 10+ miles inland will like. 

Verbatim... looks like the dividing line is TAN this run

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Nasty CT dryslot while the NNE peeps are dancing in the streets

??

lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

There’s a lot of misery for most of sne this run those maps notwithstanding 

H5 looks like it goes along the s coast to me....I have no issue with it.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Fetch me

 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

There’s a lot of misery for most of sne this run those maps notwithstanding 

Wut??

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

??

lol

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Verbatim... looks like the dividing line is TAN this run

If there was a tuck, we'd want it about 100mi further south, as a slowly passes the benchmark..this curls up closer to Nantucket. 

It would also help if we had a better airmass in place. The artic air seems to retrograde out of here after this weekend. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

H5 looks like it goes along the s coast to me....I have no issue with it.

H7 over the cape...looks perfect.

[dryslot]

It was warm for extreme SE areas this runs as it was pretty tucked in even before it nuked.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He has trouble with colorful maps.