Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[dendrite]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nam should wam.

Wake me up before you snow snow

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what I thought yesterday but Scoots said 31-32 until near the end on Tuesday PM

Maybe towards the end, but I don't see paste there. 

[amarshall]

 

Toaster in the bath

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nam should wam.

You win big on this one no matter what model wins.

[ORH_wxman]

NAM is faster than 06z by a few hours with the onset. 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Could definitely see that.  Soundings show a pretty good couplet of DGZ and lift given that the DGZ looks to be 600-750mb level around these parts.... right in line with that ML lift.

Maybe you get lucky in one of those rotting, spiral deffy bands as this unravels a bit. Those are always fun. It's doing very little around you and then a narrow area 10 miles wide has like 1/2SM fluff for several hours. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

You win big on this one no matter what model wins.

We’ll see...but I want everyone to win. 

[moneypitmike]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We’ll see...but I want everyone to win. 

Yes.....but of course you want to be the winningest. 

[kdxken]

10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Bend, don't break.  Birches, too.

Birches make a mess.

[Bostonseminole]

nam is going to crush, def the colder model, is it seeing a slower depart of the artic air? 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Yes.....but of course you want to be the winningest. 

Of course we want to max out our yards but I’ll sacrifice a few inches if it gets more peeps in the game. Just how I roll, honest.

[CoastalWx]

NAM is a little more tucky, may be a little warmer than 6z.

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

NAM is a little more tucky, may be a little warmer than 6z.

yeah warmer, but still not as torchy as other models

[dendrite]

NAM trying to get a little tucky compared to 6z. Nice for S/C NH.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Kinda hoping it didn’t move towards the euro there which puts the east on edge.

[Baroclinic Zone]

AM gang.  12z NAM warmed slightly but damage is still done before changeover.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Literally the opposite of Ray. And probably me lol. 

To each their own but I can’t tell the difference between 14” or 16”...just on paper.

[Damage In Tolland]

She’s coming in early 

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

AM gang.  12z NAM warmed slightly but damage is still done before changeover.

yeah, dumps nicely for everyone before starts to warm the SE zones.. I'm -2/-4 pretty much up to 42hrs so far

[NorEastermass128]

Garbage here now. I condensed, pooled up. Refroze at 0z and am just about to melt again.  

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

She’s coming in early 

AYT

[PhineasC]

27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah normally you’d get a huge deform band from that track...only issue is that the low is pretty occluded by the time it gets there. It does try and get rejuvenated a bit though so there might be a reintensification of  the banding. But even if there isn’t, you’ll prob get like 30 to 1 ratios there from a rotting 15-20 dbz ML band, lol. I fully expect you to be posting radar shots and saying “can’t believe how hard it is nuking under this 15-20 dbz stuff!!! It’s stacking up like arctic fluff lake effect!”

Probably before I even see a flake, too. LOL

[powderfreak]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Probably before I even see a flake, too. LOL

Should move into your area first for sure.

[dryslot]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Probably before I even see a flake, too. LOL

We will need this to hold on a little longer instead of blowing its load further south on the Nam.

[Baroclinic Zone]

NAM is the ideal scenario in SE MA.  Thump to brief changeover than dryslot.  Starts late AM and goes for about 12-16hrs.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

The paper matters  

Seriously though, it’s always great to get a region wide event. It’s good to see everyone happy. Now if it’s a scramble to get sloppy seconds, the knives will come out.

Loving your area more and more for this one. I think our numbers will come up across the board in our final now that we have more consensus. You’re right on the cusp of a crusher. 

Paper does matter yes. If we can push this a bit more east over next 24hrs to put wct into 16+ and slide the 12+ east that would be ideal lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

AYT

They always do. There were folks on Thursday saying it was 5-6 days out. I just didn’t get that . It always looked like it was after midnight Sunday to Tuesday night deal.. especially south of 90

[PhineasC]

I see a rainstorm on the horizon
set under a black cloud that hides the sun.
bring me my rain gauge and clear understanding.
bring me my coat for rain as a talisman.
get down to the basement through the cellar-door below.
take women and children and give them buckets.
Bring me my rain gauge and clear understanding.
bring me my coat for rain as a talisman.
bless with a sump pump those who surround me.
bless the women and children who bail the flood.
put our backs to the sideways rain. hold fast by the patio door.
sweet snow memories to drive us on for the start of spring.
 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

IS it that energy that spins up toward Central Eastern Maine that keeps this storm from being more of a longer duration/block buster for SNE , or not at all 

Seems like the 0z nam had the Best 7H low track for a big biggie

[Bostonseminole]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They always do. There were folks on Thursday saying it was 5-6 days out. I just didn’t get that . It always looked like it was after midnight Sunday to Tuesday night deal.. especially south of 90

not sure it goes till tuesday night, most of the snow is done by 8 am tuesday here, but maybe we get lucky

 

edit: i do see that light snow lingers into later tuesday so technically you are right