Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Huh? It’s snowing by dawn 

I think that’s a typo..I think he means today not tomorrow in that post. 

[The 4 Seasons]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Huh? It’s snowing by dawn 

 if it snowing by dawn theres no travel issues tonight/overnight. AM commute monday morning (dawn) is a different story.

oh nvm i meant today is prep day. i work nights so today is my tomorrow sorry for the confusion. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Definitely by dawn for a good chunk of the state. SW CT may have an inch or two even on the ground by then. Far NE CT probably just a bit after though. Havent looked super close yet.

[Hoth]

53 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Like always theres going to be some localized major busts...in both directions. With big boys like this though, it gets magnified greatly. Wouldn't be surpised to see reports range from 6 to 30 in CT alone.

If a 30 spot is on the table, I'll roll the dice any day.

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, Hoth said:

If a 30 spot is on the table, I'll roll the dice any day.

Theres some potential for sure, usually comes when its not forecasted ala Jan 2011 and Feb 2013, but when it is...Jan 2015...well, we know what happens. There was a couple 30 burgers in NE CT that storm though just nowhere near us. Talk later on, bfn.

[CoastalWx]

Ray is going to get pummeled. I have no idea why he was all down. 

[dendrite]

14 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

That's exactly how I've been thinking, mostly because of the lower qpf in Merrimack county on most models for 3-4 days.  clear signal from most models just like banding signals for us for a few days before dec16 17.   Also zones say north winds her not NE, and that's not good.  Could be boxing day sand.  Euro qpf overnight was better tho so maybe we luck our way to a foot.

Looks more NE near the sfc and veering to the E/ENE up to H85. I do expect a local min, but at least the euro is more favorable. 

[Hoth]

While I discount Reggie heavily, 6z did continue the northeast trend with the heaviest goodies. Baby what a thump.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Ray is going to get pummeled. I have no idea why he was all down. 

Those maps of his showed paltry amounts in his area, I think that was adding to his angst? Jmo. I don’t think those are correct this time around.

[CoastalWx]

Euro still looks a little mild near the coast, but slays just inland.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Those maps of his showed paltry amounts in his area, I think that was adding to his angst? Jmo. I don’t think those are correct this time around.

No he’s gonna get crushed.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

While I discount Reggie heavily, 6z did continue the northeast trend with the heaviest goodies. Baby what a thump.

What did the 6z Reggie show for the area? 

[Ginx snewx]

NAM and HRRR EPS lock step. Intriguing that the usually amped NAM has been super consistent. I find these modeling differences so interesting from a Met perspective.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Lmao...

NWS warning statements mentioning blizzard like conditions.  The ante is rising. 

I can feel the 18” that has escaped me for 10 years, tickle me. It’s not on or in me yet but I see it and feel it. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

No he’s gonna get crushed.

Yeah he’s hitting he NARCAN maps too hard. It’s not going to be 5 to 1 ratios where he is.

Anyone west of 128 is going to get crushed and I’d think even a little closer to the water than that even. Maybe on the harbor has some issues. 

[Hoth]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

What did the 6z Reggie show for the area? 

Western CT 15-20"+, bullseye shifted from Allentown to northern NJ with 30"+. Like the way it's been trending. Just a few more ticks needed.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

No he’s gonna get crushed.

I agree. I was just saying those Narcan maps were looking weak last night. I think they are too warm.

[CoastalWx]

Euro is one of the warmer models. Mixes a lot of SNE as 850 goes above 0C, but not before it dumps interior.

[Hoth]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I can feel the 18” that has escaped me for 10 years, tickle me. It’s not on or in me yet but I see it and feel it. 

Been a long time for the WOTR crowd.

[Torch Tiger]

7-14" type totals will be quite disappointing for some, given the a full week of non-stop hype and talking days of heavy snow.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

I agree. I was just saying those Narcan maps were looking weak last night. I think they are too warm.

He needs his hands to feel like two balloons again.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I can feel the 18” that has escaped me for 10 years, tickle me. It’s not on or in me yet but I see it and feel it. 

Good chance you at least approach it. Nice man.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No he’s gonna get crushed.

He's upset cuz someone in bumblebrook PA gets 2 feet while he spots 15 plus. You know Ray he's always swinging for the fences hoping for a walkoff

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ray is going to get pummeled. I have no idea why he was all down. 

Son peeing in his face changing diapers?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

NAM and HRRR EPS lock step. Intriguing that the usually amped NAM has been super consistent. I find these modeling differences so interesting from a Met perspective.  

Agree. Fascinating to see who will have the right idea.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I can feel the 18” that has escaped me for 10 years, tickle me. It’s not on or in me yet but I see it and feel it. 

youre lucky, its escaped me all my life. never seen anything over 15 before.

[MJO812]

Enjoy guys

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

He's upset cuz someone in bumblebrook PA gets 2 feet while he spots 15 plus. You know Ray he's always swinging for the fences hoping for a walkoff

Could be worse, he could be in Weymouth

[CoastalWx]

Really tough call here as usual. Euro has me a little spooked. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

Could be worse, he could be in Weymouth

What did I do to you?