Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, mreaves said:

If you’re talking beer, shouldn’t it be Genny Genny?

@Winterwolf? I wonder how many , if any remember this song. This is an all time classic . The rhythm guitar is just so feel good 

 

[Sn0waddict]

NAM so far looks identical to 18z

[STILL N OF PIKE]

36 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Latest WPC:

 

IF there was one thing i could check , it would probably be watching the WPC Trends, Basically a super ensemble.

Thou that map timing is not really the best representation , I like the 48 hour map ending 0z Wednesday 

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

NAM so far looks identical to 18z

It looks a touch warmer aloft.

[NorEastermass128]

NAM at 39 is ripping even on ACK. 

[NorEastermass128]

NAM is still ripping at 42 just reaching BOS. 

[CT Rain]

Time to disrobe for the NAM

[NorEastermass128]

Hellacious front end dump on the NAM. Even the Cape is in on it. 

[mostman]

3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

While we wait for the 00Z cycle to come in i took a dive into CIPS to check some analogs. Looks like the blizzard of 96 is #1 for the NAM, the interior Northeast event of 1994 at 2 (what kocin would call a "near-miss storm" and the blizzard of 2016 and 2015 at 3 and 4.

The GFS 84HR analog #1 is the blizzard of 2015. A 1989 storm i dont recognize and a Feb 1996 Nor'easter. I didnt notice this one either but looked it up and has striking similarities with the snowfall distribution with two maxes, one around NYC/NJ and the other in E NE Mass.

Mean 72-HR snowfall has a really wide area of 8-12" over most of SNE for the top 15 analogs. 

These change run-run but seems that Jan 96 and Jan 15/16 have been hitting hard on the top 5 for a while now. 

Huh. That’s curious. Jan 2015 was 36” for me (Westford, MA). This doesn’t seem like that. Is the setup the same?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Here is CT's run to get NAM'd !

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Woah:

[Hoth]

NAM looks pretty fooking awesome here. This was the one I was waiting for. Crushed.

[Thunderblizzard]

In King NAM we trust.

[NorEastermass128]

NAM @ 45 is a burial for CT, RI, and SE MA. North of the Pike starting to get in on it too. 

[Bostonseminole]

NAM pretty  good so far

[78Blizzard]

Even the outer cape is getting in on the action this run.

[NorEastermass128]

Wow. Right to the S coast, still ripping at 48. Totals pushing 12+

[weathafella]

Crushed!

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, Hoth said:

NAM looks pretty fooking awesome here. This was the one I was waiting for. Crushed.

Could be worse.  So much worry for no reason by many, AWT.

[Henry's Weather]

Incredible

[NorEastermass128]

Boston burial at 51! Even Cape Ann in on the action. 

[Hoth]

So nude right now.

[Hoth]

Just now, powderfreak said:

Could be worse.

Best since probably 2016 in this area if it played out like that.

[weathafella]

All snow for most.

[kdxken]

It's the NAM.

[WinterWolf]

Nam leading the way like in Jan  ‘16

[wxsniss]

Hour 54... 6z 2/2... huge hit on eastern SNE... actually a tick colder than 18z

Is it fair to say that strangely enough, NAM has been one of the more consistent models today?

[weathafella]

Keep throwing the maps up Hoth!

[skierinvermont]

Are any of the models other than the GFS close to redeveloping the precip Tuesday night? 

This storm is so unusual. The stronger surface low is still off of Delaware Tuesday 8am and doesn't reach 40/70 until Wednesday 1am. The GFS was damn close to making this into two storms. I doubt that happens as I've never seen it.. but super cool. The weaker low goes off to the NE monday night but if the Delaware low could be even more dominant it could redevelop the precip..

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

So nude right now.

Nude Ranger?

Sister Christian