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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event


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5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I’d rather see flooding rains imby than smoke cirrus. Big dog or bust. 

Well, I feel like my floor is to the east. I'm not getting rain unless something drastically changes, and with the easterly fetch, I'd rather concede the deformation area, then risk a graze. I don't foresee big subby areas in E NE.

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30 minutes ago, dryslot said:

image.png.d2c871bf1ed0c1ac98427d703213432b.png

Yup ... ( moderate potency + duration ) /2   solution there

want to stress the distinction between a 9 to 12 hour snow bomb with CCB wind event off a bomb juggernaut

-vs-

a 24 hour moderate snow with occasional heavy bands and occasional lighter bands, in moderate climate storm winds...

Those two scenarios get one to the same impact destination.  

That is, of course...how all this looks now. 

Also stressing the point ...we are still really seeing the models responding to period of time more so than a specific event - altho the latter is formulating.   You can punt the 48 hours of constant hosing snow and wind as though New England and upper M/A will sit that long inside the choke flow off the nozzle of a Valian snow making machine ...  

uh, you know better than that - c'mon

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Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Good, good. Gfs and gefs being se is perfect. Nobody wants to be in its zone.

Nah ...it's not even SE ... not with that moderate spread near ACK ... that's just as much likelihood that thing destines too close actually -

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