Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[TalcottWx]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Honestly, I have haven't been impressed in the two years I have been here. Small sample, but Wilmington has done better.

I often think about this actually, not to be weird. I think it's more of a product of the individual seasons and not climate for you so far. Methuen should do better than Wilmington on average imo 

[Bostonseminole]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS goes nuts. Massive dump.

Better for us in eastern areas?

[weathafella]

GFS will please BOS and metro west to say the least 

 

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

I often think about this actually, not to be weird. I think it's more of a product of the individual seasons and not climate for you so far. Methuen should do better than Wilmington on average imo 

How often?

[EastonSN+]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS goes nuts. Massive dump.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

How often?

Its usually like 50/50 in terms of snowfall...Methuen usually has better retention due to coastal fronts.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

Better for us in eastern areas?

Definitely for you. Almost looks like convection with very strong forcing

[wx2fish]

That is one heck of gradient on the gfs near MHT. 

[TalcottWx]

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

“Overcooked Ham” in Hollywood is an expression for somebody who’s melodramatic and over acting a part ...

 

I would really like some ham now

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its usually like 50/50 in terms of snowfall...Methuen usually has better retention due to coastal fronts.

I mean how often does he thinks about you in methuen 

[JB_Wchstr]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

What’s so great about that? Still screws E MA

[ORH_wxman]

That was a sick run on the firehose. 

I’ve been really really impressed with the look. The residence time is the only thing holding me back from going more than I am. But it’s actually a pretty long residence for that type of setup. We usually get WCB thumps and they rarely last more than 8 hours. This one looks to be a little longer than that in the meat of it and it’s got the fetch (firehose aspect) overlaying the typical WCB thermal/lift layout....so like Tip, part of me wants to just go ahead and chuck some 20-burgers in the east facing hills from 495 to ORH county...

Of course, once I do that, then we get the almost-too-predictable 14.5” totals and I’ll smack myself saying “why did you ignore every other impressive looking WCB thump that gave you between 12-16” and decided to weenie out this time?”

Though as has already been mentioned, we could weasel our way to higher totals anyway if we get several inches from Tuesday night/Wednesday ULL shenanigans. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, SnowEMass said:

What’s so great about that? Still screws E MA

That weird hole is just a figment of the model I think. I didn't see a reason for that. The islands off of FMH aren't getting more snow than Blue Hill.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Kevin twitching in his sleep right now.

[PhineasC]

GFS slowly catching on to the GOM low idea. 

 

[ice1972]

Just now, SnowEMass said:

What’s so great about that? Still screws E MA

and hartford lol.....some of these maps are so lol......its not gonna be any of those....

[Typhoon Tip]

Feel the same way bro

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, ice1972 said:

and hartford lol.....some of these maps are so lol......its not gonna be any of those....

I mean maybe but maps have been bizarre today.

[weathafella]

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, weathafella said:

Wow, taking my overalls off

[EastonSN+]

Just now, weathafella said:

Looks great but don't want to believe it until I see what it's replacement shows.

[bristolri_wx]

You know the GFS is on drugs when I'm in a jackpot zone...

[TalcottWx]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS goes nuts. Massive dump.

Long weekend of domestic beer and take out

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Looks great but don't want to believe it until I see what it's replacement shows.

Less but still solid

[78Blizzard]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS goes nuts. Massive dump.

Not for us.

[weathafella]

Drinking whiskey.  Dryslot approved 

[TalcottWx]

10 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

How often?

Only when I'm alone, applying cocoa butter lotion 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was a sick run on the firehose. 

I’ve been really really impressed with the look. The residence time is the only thing holding me back from going more than I am. But it’s actually a pretty long residence for that type of setup. We usually get WCB thumps and they rarely last more than 8 hours. This one looks to be a little longer than that in the meat of it and it’s got the fetch (firehose aspect) overlaying the typical WCB thermal/lift layout....so like Tip, part of me wants to just go ahead and chuck some 20-burgers in the east facing hills from 495 to ORH county...

Of course, once I do that, then we get the almost-too-predictable 14.5” totals and I’ll smack myself saying “why did you ignore every other impressive looking WCB thump that gave you between 12-16” and decided to weenie out this time?”

Though as has already been mentioned, we could weasel our way to higher totals anyway if we get several inches from Tuesday night/Wednesday ULL shenanigans. 

Only thing that caught my eye was the DGZ drying out after like 4z or so. So it would need to be hours of big lift from 850 isentropic glide and CF stuff which could do it I suppose. You'd think that you could nickel and dime your way to 18+ on the cold side of the CF into Wed,

[weathafella]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Not for us.

You sure?

 

 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Not for us.

Looks like a dump to me. Don't fall in love with the clown maps.