Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[CoastalWx]

That trough just goes nowhere into Tuesday night with another s/w and maybe some more -SN breaking out. 

[Drz1111]

Ugh.  Tertiary low on NAM too far east for anyone this side of MDI.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6z Wednesday .  Storm comes back from the dead for SE Sne for cpl hours lol 

[Spanks45]

Days and days and days? Might accumulate 1-3 inches over 2 days....

[Baroclinic Zone]

And round 2 over eastern areas

[J Paul Gordon]

Good night. Let's see what the morning brings. Should be an interesting couple of days.

[PhineasC]

It's a step back everywhere other than perhaps a couple beach destinations in extreme SE Mass.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

And round 2 over eastern areas

Expands over SNE 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, PhineasC said:

It's a step back everywhere other than perhaps a couple beach destinations in extreme SE Mass.

Population dense area on this forum thou

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

It's a step back everywhere other than perhaps a couple beach destinations in extreme SE Mass.

The qpf haircuts are underway.

[Fozz]

32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not a ton of changes from Thursday....FINAL CALL:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/high-impact-winter-storm-imminent.html

Your 12" line runs right through my yard. Hopefully the mix stays to my south.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, dryslot said:

The qpf haircuts are underway.

We tried to tell them. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

We tried to tell them. 

There will be some disappointments, I did not buy into big totals especially here, 6-10" is what i had for the last 2 days.

[weatherwiz]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That trough just goes nowhere into Tuesday night with another s/w and maybe some more -SN breaking out. 

Actually looks pretty decent across SW CT. Decent instability too with those super steep lapse rates. Could see a scenario where they could tack on 3-5'' with this

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

01z HRRR was most ideal for SE Zones, including the Cape, ACK was turning to rain at hour 18.

[powderfreak]

4pm on Wednesday it’s still snowing.  May not be the most impressive QPF run of the NAM, but the synoptics are similar.  Two phases of the event up here.

 

[CoastalWx]

We'll have to see how the rest of the guidance does. It's possible the first round is like 10-12" in the all snow areas and then maybe a couple more into Tuesday night. Wherever that CF sets up is good for an extra few easily though in local spots.

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That trough just goes nowhere into Tuesday night with another s/w and maybe some more -SN breaking out. 

Yea, I mentioned additional light accumulations Tues night into early Wed....that's how a few areas may crawl to near 18" for 3 day total.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

We'll have to see how the rest of the guidance does. It's possible the first round is like 10-12" in the all snow areas and then maybe a couple more into Tuesday night. Wherever that CF sets up is good for an extra few easily though in local spots.

You take those directions to the lake out of your GPS

[CT Valley Snowman]

3km Nam here  .  About 4". Hellacious dry slot.  

[Hoth]

Standing wave subby hole over SCT?

[ice1972]

41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not a ton of changes from Thursday....FINAL CALL:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/high-impact-winter-storm-imminent.html

I’ve gotta a lot of expletives for that screwie yellow screw hole in that map.....we’ll know early if thats real.....where’s Scooters lake?

[RoboMaine]

41 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Correct. I would murder to be a met paid to cover the weather. Using ms paint to make a forecast? When you have one of the few met jobs available? Just lazy to me. That's it. I'm done whining about him

Don Kent used a chalkboard.  Would you rather be pretty, or right?

[ORH_wxman]

10 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The qpf haircuts are underway.

Yeah the 2” of qpf IMBY on the 18z run wasn’t happening...lol. Even the 1.5”+ on the 00z NAM is likely overdone, but we’ll see. The way the WCB sets up is pretty efficient for this area, so I feel 12-18 is a solid forecast. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I mentioned additional light accumulations Tues night into early Wed....that's how a few areas may crawl to near 18" for 3 day total.

Not if we have to wait until it ends before we can measure lol.

[NeonPeon]

Just now, RoboMaine said:

Don Kent used a chalkboard.  Would you rather be pretty, or right?

To be fair, this is a false dichotomy. 

[DavisStraight]

Just now, RoboMaine said:

Don Kent used a chalkboard.  Would you rather be pretty, or right?

I loved those chalkboards when we had snow, the way he made them like stars, brings back memories.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Wait until the last flurry drops and charge out there with a ruler...measure 12” but puzzled because it snowed fairly well for 48hrs. 

[RoboMaine]

Just now, NeonPeon said:

To be fair, this is a false dichotomy. 

One must be pretty and fluent in computer graphics to be correct with a forecast?  Or did I read the critique of MS Paint incorrectly?

[dryslot]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah the 2” of qpf IMBY on the 18z run wasn’t happening...lol. Even the 1.5”+ on the 00z NAM is likely overdone, but we’ll see. The way the WCB sets up is pretty efficient for this area, so I feel 12-18 is a solid forecast. 

Your area to Ray has looked good for several cycles, There's always winners and losers, I've been in the modest camp, I've liked this period from about 10 days back, Never bought into the 26th and 28th for here when the models were hitting on them.