Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Baroclinic Zone]

 

[GCWarrior]

39 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I've been planning on that since Thursday so NBD.   Hopefully pull 4-6" here.

Some guys here are freaking out that Berkshire East is getting 10-16"!  I've sort of given up trying to explain to people that it sits in a valley with a 500' base elevation.  It's not in Savoy.  I'd hope for 8". 

[PhineasC]

00z HRRR shows the low blowing back up at 48HR to pound NH and Maine.

[skierinvermont]

people DC to Philly must be pissed.. quite the significant NE shift. Didn't matter that much as SNE was probably going to get snow either way... but some went from MECS to nada.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Nam ticking se/e.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, skierinvermont said:

people DC to Philly must be pissed.. quite the significant NE shift. Didn't matter that much as SNE was probably going to get snow either way... but some went from MECS to nada.

Philly has shifted in the last 6 hours to getting whacked again

Euro and now Nam have dropped the ML goodies further South into E Central PA and Central NJ

[TalcottWx]

1 hour ago, 8611Blizz said:

Droughtstein

Embarrassing map for someone paid to cover the weather

[CoastalWx]

At H5, looks like a bit more of a streak near Maine. At least through hr 18, might be a little south.

[PhineasC]

1 minute ago, skierinvermont said:

people DC to Philly must be pissed.. quite the significant NE shift. Didn't matter that much as SNE was probably going to get snow either way... but some went from MECS to nada.

The busts are marching NE. First, the MA. Now PHL. Next up is NYC and their forecasts for 2'. Hopefully the bust trend stops at SNE.

[PhineasC]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Philly has shifted in the last 6 hours to getting whacked again

Euro and now Nam have dropped the ML goodies further South into E Central PA and Central NJ

This one has the feel of a storm that busts a lot of forecasts. I don't see it behaving per the script.

[NorEastermass128]

My boss outside RIC posted a good snow pic. Looked like they got a solid 3-4” down there. 

[wxsniss]

0z NAM...  not what I wanted to see. Sizeable jump southwest thru 21 hrs.

Will have the Philly forum cheering.

[JoeSnowBOS]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Embarrassing map for someone paid to cover the weather

How so?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This could be a storm where there is a decent difference between my house and my work (Stonehill college) like 7 miles up 138

[78Blizzard]

25 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

i'd hit the 0z hrrr

Pretty much unchanged from 18z.  We take.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

 

3 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

This one has the feel of a storm that busts a lot of forecasts. I don't see it behaving per the script.

I think its becoming clear now for some areas at least with ML goodies  .   SE PA and Central Jersey back in the game for big ML goodies that has shifted south from 12z runs. Went from N NJ/NE corner Pa and S catskills to something a bit south of that. 

We shall see what happens with that meso low and the big thump better not run out of gas over E SNE at route 2  *You can see it arrives a couple hours slow on 0z nam when looking at 0z Tuesday . as the h7 low sorta shifts south a bit (at least in the beginning) 

[moneypitmike]

Congrats, Camden.

 

[dryslot]

31 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

i'd hit the 0z hrrr

Its really hitting the second low up here in the GOM.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, PhineasC said:

This one has the feel of a storm that busts a lot of forecasts. I don't see it behaving per the script.

Yup, in both directions.  Some will cheer others will throw laptops. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Not a ton of changes from Thursday....FINAL CALL:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/high-impact-winter-storm-imminent.html

[Sn0waddict]

Kinda got a bad feeling here suddenly. Last tic NE hasn’t happened. Gonna hope for 8-12 and be pleasantly surprised if I get more.

[dendrite]

Rev is going to love that forecast.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Congrats, Camden.

 

 

That's 6"+ for everyone in MA.  We take.

[TalcottWx]

3 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said:

How so?

Gonna just bite my tongue 

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Embarrassing map for someone paid to cover the weather

You really don't like those graphics :-) !

[Baroclinic Zone]

Banging the NAM right now.

[TalcottWx]

Just now, kdxken said:

You really don't like those graphics :-) !

Correct. I would murder to be a met paid to cover the weather. Using ms paint to make a forecast? When you have one of the few met jobs available? Just lazy to me. That's it. I'm done whining about him

[CoastalWx]

I like that shift SE with H5 too. 

[Bostonseminole]

NAM rips

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not a ton of changes from Thursday....FINAL CALL:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/high-impact-winter-storm-imminent.html

Very reasonable.  I think any 18" totals will be isolated but a foot from ORH Co. up toward you looks fairly certain.