Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[weathafella]

Just now, Greg said:

Jerry that's out to 99 hours.

So?

[weatherwiz]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

There’s some dry air as it stacks off AC but it regenerates. 

The H7 closing off so early and actually becoming pretty tightly compact (is that even the proper term for it lol) seems to ingest alot of dry air ahead of it and while we do try to recover it might not be enough. Just another ughhhhhhhh here lol. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

I feel good about this system..think it’s gonna be a good one for sure for CT, and most in SNE. 

I do too...I think overall the output will be similar to that of the Dec storm...pretty much the majority of the state gets around a foot. And if lucky...some much more

[Lava Rock]

NWS vs local met. Just a tad different

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[Greg]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

So?

It's all over in 66 hours from now.

[moneypitmike]

GYX is making Maine look easy......I suspect we'll see these climb before tomorrow morning,

[Lava Rock]

Old gfs doesn’t seem “unsnowy” notwithstanding the penile implant connected to PYM...
 
 

4" for our hood. These models are all over the place. We've been progged for 4-18" depending on model

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[Mr. Windcredible!]

The thump is really hauling ass on the V16. Gonna be tough to surpass 12” for most of CT unless we really go to town for those few hours.

[weathafella]

Just now, Greg said:

It's all over in 66 hours from now.

And?   What’s the difference?   Same output.

[Lava Rock]

GYX is making Maine look easy......I suspect we'll see these climb before tomorrow morning,

I hope they go up.

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[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The H7 closing off so early and actually becoming pretty tightly compact (is that even the proper term for it lol) seems to ingest alot of dry air ahead of it and while we do try to recover it might not be enough. Just another ughhhhhhhh here lol. 

Whenever unsure about H7 RH, go conservative.....course of least regret. 9/10 times there is a reason you are conservative and its warranted...trust your instinct.

[weathafella]

Someone please post a clown for the v16.  TYIA

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The H7 closing off so early and actually becoming pretty tightly compact (is that even the proper term for it lol) seems to ingest alot of dry air ahead of it and while we do try to recover it might not be enough. Just another ughhhhhhhh here lol. 

We need it 50 miles E but it won’t happen. All guidance has it buried into the dark alleys of Atlantic City. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Mr. Windcredible! said:

The thump is really hauling ass on the V16. Gonna be tough to surpass 12” for most of CT unless we really go to town for those few hours.

It’ll accumulate before and after the thump however. A couple inches before and a couple after will do the trick. 

[powderfreak]

41 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Reggie is a shitty model but the signal is for whatever to come out of the sky to come hard and fast.  Snowblower batteries charging!

Reggie?  43.4” at BTV for Kuchie?   

 

[78Blizzard]

GFS say 4" here.  Para says 18".  Which do you believe?  Para has been consistent throughout.  GFS has been all over the place.  Para keeps it below freezing here at h850 and h925,  GFS has both freezing lines north of us, with the 925   0° line out to ORH and up to Ray.

[78Blizzard]

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Whenever unsure about H7 RH, go conservative.....course of least regret. 9/10 times there is a reason you are conservative and its warranted...trust your instinct.

I certainly may end up beating myself up with this. I mean you know me...I'm usually one to be on the conservative side and I have a huge obsession with H7 RH and track.  Why I elected to be so aggressive here...well I had reasons which I thought would outweigh here but just knowing how these work, probably won't happen.

[PhineasC]

There will be many epic busts up and down the east coast from this one. 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, Mr. Windcredible! said:

The thump is really hauling ass on the V16. Gonna be tough to surpass 12” for most of CT unless we really go to town for those few hours.

It snows into Wednesday 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I certainly may end up beating myself up with this. I mean you know me...I'm usually one to be on the conservative side and I have a huge obsession with H7 RH and track.  Why I elected to be so aggressive here...well I had reasons which I thought would outweigh here but just knowing how these work, probably won't happen.

You be on the conservative side, but you go 100% weenie with your !!!!!!!!. 

[weathafella]

The gfs 925 getting last Worcester is how shall we say...suspect 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It snows into Wednesday 

He means the heaviest part. 

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It snows into Wednesday 

Mood flakes if that.  Tomorrow afternoon and night is the show.  

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

He means the heaviest part. 

Yeah though I do think it’ll add up another 3-6/4-8 Tuesday into Wednesday under the rotting bands/ ULL

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I certainly may end up beating myself up with this. I mean you know me...I'm usually one to be on the conservative side and I have a huge obsession with H7 RH and track.  Why I elected to be so aggressive here...well I had reasons which I thought would outweigh here but just knowing how these work, probably won't happen.

Don’t sweat it now, we have 18hrs to shove h7 east. Plus, there could be some low level bands that get some spots to just barely kiss your 18-24 range.

[Bostonseminole]

for those that remain all snow will do well, 15-18"+ .. here I think I will be on the fringes, 10-14" but could be just a problematic if its wet heavy snow

[Damage In Tolland]

Wizzy FTW

 

[Kbosch]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah though I do think it’ll add up another 3-6/4-8 Tuesday into Wednesday under the rotting bands/ ULL

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah though I do think it’ll add up another 3-6/4-8 Tuesday into Wednesday under the rotting bands/ ULL

Not that much on Tuesday imo.  But we’ll see?