Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[78Blizzard]

About 0.5" more qpf here on that run vs 12z.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

@CoastalWx

Too tough to call here? 
NAM is a shellacking of like a foot of paste and ends as drizzle. That’s probably best case. Other models get the mix in here still during the meat.

[78Blizzard]

11 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

What a thump, 1.2" for ORH in 6hr. 

Same here.

[wxsniss]

18z NAM 10:1, through 48 hrs, 18z Tues... best one yet for much of SNE:

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, dryslot said:

Some 20" spots in there.

Yah... ORH at over 20" and still going a bit... lol 

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, wxsniss said:

18z NAM 10:1, through 48 hrs, 18z Tues... best one yet for much of SNE:

LOCK IT

[WeatherWilly]

Just now, wxsniss said:

18z NAM 10:1, through 48 hrs, 18z Tues... best one yet for much of SNE:

Just a taaaaaaaaad bit off of what the local RI mets are thinking

[EastonSN+]

Just now, wxsniss said:

18z NAM 10:1, through 48 hrs, 18z Tues... best one yet for much of SNE:

We are all happy.

[Henry's Weather]

Cautiously expecting 8-12" of blue snow here, with the NAM solution being the upside

[JB_Wchstr]

Just now, Henry's Weather said:

LOCK IT

No way is that happening. Not here anyway. 

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, WeatherWilly said:

Just a taaaaaaaaad bit off of what the local RI mets are thinking

BOX, too.

[CoastalWx]

The NAM siblings aren't toally in agreement. The NAM looked a little SE before meandering to the Cape, but 3K looks SE, Either way, tough call still.

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, SnowEMass said:

No way is that happening. Not here anyway. 

Too late, I already called the weather gods and had them lock that in

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

BOX, too.

I am interested in what their 4PM package looks like...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

We are all happy.

Get H7 to slide a little NE instead of crawl up the NJ shore...and it’s lights out here. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Can we get something to sling up in ENE Tuesday nite 

 

[weathafella]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

BOX, too.

I think BOX raises the ceiling for many in the afternoon iteration.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

@CoastalWx

Too tough to call here? 
NAM is a shellacking of like a foot of paste and ends as drizzle. That’s probably best case. Other models get the mix in here still during the meat.

I wouldn't go by the 10:1 stuff. I'd be cautiously optimistic there as I think your longitude helps a bit and the WAA thump looks quite nice there. Back to snizzle and -SN Tuesday. 

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

20 minutes ago, Greg said:

Looks really good so far..... Out to hour 29

East crew getting hammered there too, wow

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, weathafella said:

I think BOX raises the ceiling for many in the afternoon iteration.

You back home Jerry?

[JB_Wchstr]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

I am interested in what their 4PM package looks like...

Probably as awful as the last one lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

50 minutes ago, Greg said:

I could see it at 28F at my house and Woburn at 34F before it slides east/southeast. I've seen that happen before. Lived it in a few storms.

St Patty's day 2007 did precisely that.

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

The NAM siblings aren't toally in agreement. The NAM looked a little SE before meandering to the Cape, but 3K looks SE, Either way, tough call still.

Not much different from 12k for Boston area.  3k looks like it wanted to send that low to Bermuda @ hr 45, lol.

[IowaStorm05]

21 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ya Just a absolutely horrifying commute tomorrow afternoon in SNE 

there is a nice 18”+ stripe from ORH East into Waltham or so 

Unless like I was emergency responder, had 4WD SUV etc, or just lived super close to work, I would refuse to go in during this event.

Im not risking my life to kiss boss ass. Nope nnnnope nope nope 

[PhineasC]

Best NAM run here so far. 

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

You back home Jerry?

Yes-got home Friday.  Chicago crew got hit pretty good last night per snow blowing pics.

[dendrite]

Kevin and I may be downslope twins in this.

[EastonSN+]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Get H7 to slide a little NE instead of crawl up the NJ shore...and it’s lights out here. 

3 k NAM sucked. 

[ineedsnow]

11 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

We are all happy.

Most are happy ugh.. Still stinks here compared to everyone else

[weatherwiz]

One thing I'm afraid of for SW CT is that fronto moves through awfully fast and there is some serious subsidence behind that. I was really banking on like a 4-5 hour period where we could see rates 2-3'' per hour but might be more like 2-3. But I am curious about something...there is a surge of llvl fronto which re-develops during the evening and perhaps influenced by the dry slot...I wonder if a llvl fronto band can re-emerge across SW CT.