Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[powderfreak]

The 18z HRRR p-type looks weird.  Is mixed precip going that far inland to like ALB-BML in the dry slot?  lol.

[78Blizzard]

Just now, powderfreak said:

The 18z HRRR p-type looks weird.  Is mixed precip going that far inland to like ALB-BML in the dry slot?  lol.

Those WeatherBell color codes are useless.

[Greg]

Looks really good so far..... Out to hour 29

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

East crushed too.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, powderfreak said:

The 18z HRRR p-type looks weird.  Is mixed precip going that far inland to like ALB-BML in the dry slot?  lol.

Yeah... a met I know of FB was talking about how it hasw been having some issues with sleet... 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Can't believe you posted without the weenie maps. 

They coming...stay tuned.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

NAM crushes Will

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

NAM crushes Will

crushes everyone

[wxsniss]

NAM has been incredibly steady since Saturday

crushing for much of SNE at hr 30, including eastern MA

[HoarfrostHubb]

The area along the Pike, from ORH over to... Natick? looks dandy

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

crushes everyone

Ya Just a absolutely horrifying commute tomorrow afternoon in SNE 

there is a nice 18”+ stripe from ORH East into Newton or so 

[wx2fish]

What a thump, 1.2" for ORH in 6hr. 

[Cold Miser]

School closings here in CT being thrown out already.

Norwich.

[powderfreak]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Those WeatherBell color codes are useless.

It looked pretty legit based on the thermal levels.  Just surprised that it was getting that warm at 850-800mb.  That 18z HRRR plowed the warmth aloft pretty far inland.

*This matters very little for anyone as it's in the dry slot, was just interesting to see.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

NAM crushes Will

Whenever we have really good easterly flow in that 900-700 layer, you usually want to be bullish from about a Foxborough/Sharon back through 495/Hopkinton to ORH line. This is assuming your thermals are good which they should be west of 128. The QPF seems to go nuts on that type of setup...good orographics prob help on that direction...it hits 300-500 foot hills earlier then if it’s going from BVY to Harvard MA. 

[dryslot]

18z Nam may be the best run yet for here.

[Bostonseminole]

nam weenie map gonna be insane

[codfishsnowman]

55 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Marny Stanier just deleted her account.

Omg she's from the 90s!!! I remember her on twc...I wonder sometimes what happened to some of these guys....

[Henry's Weather]

18z significantly improved, about 25 miles SE

[wxsniss]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z Nam may be the best run yet for here.

Best run yet for just about all of SNE

One of the most steady NAM performances I can remember... other guidance has wavered alot more

As noted earlier, this is almost dead on with the HREF

[Greg]

Definitely an arc from Worcester to the North Shore look good here on this run.

[78Blizzard]

2"/hour rate between 4-10pm.

[dryslot]

Just now, wxsniss said:

Best run yet for just about all of SNE

One of the most steady NAM performances I can remember... other guidance has wavered alot more

As noted earlier, this is almost dead on with the HREF

Its been hitting SNE pretty much the last few cycles but was starting to occlude here, Looks like it came a touch north and was faster too.

[Henry's Weather]

NAM is probably best case scenario, we're all under the firehose until it occludes and moves north. That is, unless we can shift the whole evolution 100 miles east. Speaking for ESNE here.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

That is really sweet for my wct friends.

[Greg]

[78Blizzard]

Not quite as good as 12z for SE coastal areas as this was a bit warmer solution for them this run.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

It’s so tilted that h7 goes from S to N over NJ lol.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Prefer H7 slides east but. 

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

nam weenie map gonna be insane

Some 20" spots in there.