Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Hoth]

Digging the timing here. Onset predawn with a ramp through the day. Reminds me of Jan '96 in that respect.

[PhineasC]

Point and click is 8-14” here at the moment. GYX distro mentions east wind upslope locations as being favored. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

SWC is bumping to 12-16” WCT. 8-12” WMA and into the CTRV. 12-16” EMA where it stays all/mostly snow and points NE into SWME.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Digging the timing here. Onset predawn with a ramp through the day. Reminds me of Jan '96 in that respect.

NWS hitting the winds quite a bit in their statements.  Introducing the Blizzard like conditions wording in the warnings/watches. The possibility is there for this to morph into a blizzard for many. 

[Hoth]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

NWS hitting the winds quite a bit in their statements.  Introducing the Blizzard like conditions wording in the warnings/watches. The possibility is there for this to morph into a blizzard for many. 

Love it. Trying to remember when our last one was. Maybe Jan '18?

[Spanks45]

13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

SWC is bumping to 12-16” WCT. 8-12” WMA and into the CTRV. 12-16” EMA where it stays all/mostly snow and points NE into SWME.

Sounds good...would love to see that pivot area shift a bit to the east at 12z/18z. I worry that 6-10 hour burst underwhelms then we go over to sleet and freezing drizzle with some snow showers and 33 on Tuesday. 

I am still expecting the last minute NE tick that usually screws us, hopefully it helps us the time

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Sounds good...would love to see that pivot area shift a bit to the east at 12z/18z. I worry that 6-10 hour burst underwhelms then we go over to sleet and freezing drizzle with some snow showers and 33 on Tuesday. 

I am still expecting the last minute NE tick that usually screws us, hopefully it helps us the time

That’s what the euro shows, yea. I still think we grab a foot in that instance. Agree...if we can tick this east over the next 24hrs, we grab the 16”.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

juicy

KBED or KASH is the question for me

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

We’ll see what happens. The gfs still doesn’t have it snowing until like 3pm or a bit later in eastern ma. 
 

CT a different story 

[CoastalWx]

Holliston and Methuen may lose all their trees. 

[New Hampshire Weather]

59 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

6Z Euro Clown

Hey not that bad for those of us behind the mixing line

[Modfan2]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Holliston and Methuen may lose all their trees. 

Dec 92 redux?

[moneypitmike]

Biggest model runs of our lives coming up.  At least the biggest until the18z runs.

[ineedsnow]

Guessing this will be a wet snow? I wish that screw zone here would fill in

[HIPPYVALLEY]

59 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Is the NWS messing with me?  I mean, come on. Zero?

They might be under doing things. My point and click for Greenfield is 2-4” Monday night with 80% pops. 

[codfishsnowman]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

youre lucky, its escaped me all my life. never seen anything over 15 before.

Get out! I thought you have been here for years???

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Love it. Trying to remember when our last one was. Maybe Jan '18?

We blizz

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Guessing this will be a wet snow? I wish that screw zone here would fill in

I dunno, forecast for here is mid to upper 20s Monday night.  That sounds powdery to me.

[ORH_wxman]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Holliston and Methuen may lose all their trees. 

We better not get another Mar 7-8, 2018. I had like 12-13” of absolute spackle and lost power for 3 days. 

My gut tells me this may end up closer to like a 29-30F snow here for a lot of it. Maybe the last few hours of the firehose go to 32-33 but hoping by then we have dropped enough dry snow that a few inches of paste at the end won’t be destructive. 

[CoastalWx]

I’ll sell those winds inland.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

We better not get another Mar 7-8, 2018. I had like 12-13” of absolute spackle and lost power for 3 days. 

My gut tells me this may end up closer to like a 29-30F snow here for a lot of it. Maybe the last few hours of the firehose go to 32-33 but hoping by then we have dropped enough dry snow that a few inches of paste at the end won’t be destructive. 

Someone is getting big paste. Maybe Foxboro/Walpole area.

[powderfreak]

Man, up here if that second low in the Gulf of Maine can get going fast enough, that's a nice look throwing snow well back this way.

The initial band with the warm front looks like 3-6" on most models... up here the getting bigger amounts will be determined by how much that second low can throw back.

 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’ll sell those winds inland.

Jan 11 like storm. Mega 5 inch per hour band brought 50 mph winds in a 58 dbz band.

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Someone is getting big paste. Maybe Foxboro/Walpole area.

White pine forests flattened.  Don't your folks have a lot of those?  I remember some storm you posted photos of like half the trees down, ha.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Someone is getting big paste. Maybe Foxboro/Walpole area.

Yes agreed. My gut is that it is closer to water than 495 belt. Like I could see that 128 stretch from Newton down to Canton and then south to Easton/Mansfield being a trouble spot for that. 

Even your ‘hood might be a really bad spot for power grid issues. Like even if you get “only” 8 inches of snow, it could be 7 to 1 mashed potatoes or something. 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’ll sell those winds inland.

I wonder if we can get a little downslopey, sublimational assist up here.

[Whineminster]

6Z euro needs to hold strong

[dendrite]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Jan 11 like storm. Mega 5 inch per hour band brought 50 mph winds in a 58 dbz band.

 Brightband, but that was impressive nonetheless.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Man, up here if that second low in the Gulf of Maine can get going fast enough, that's a nice look throwing snow well back this way.

The initial band with the warm front looks like 3-6" on most models... up here the getting bigger amounts will be determined by how much that second low can throw back.

 

The purely synoptic stuff doesn’t even matter for you...even if you get zero on the WCB (which won’t happen, you’ll get several minimum), you get upslope farts for like 48 hours after that...just wringing out the leftover synoptic moisture thrown around the backside. 

[PhineasC]

RGEM is still crazy here. Pretty much an outlier with the huge totals, but Euro isn’t too far behind.