Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,610
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event


Typhoon Tip
 Share

Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

download - 2021-01-30T193109.916.png

download - 2021-01-30T193134.953.png

 

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think it will be as bad as that map implies, but one or two more tics, and it could be.

I still expect a tic or two se at the end.

 

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The melts would be literal all timer stuff.

Ants squad car buried up to the mirrors while Ray bails out the foot of rainwater in his basement.

There seems to be some bad information out there.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

He knows , he’s the king of setting the bar so low you can only be pleasantly surprised .  :)

It’s all about reasonable expectations, no need to go wild with everything in flux, ha.  I’m always optimistically hopeful for better outcomes but you gotta be reasonable.  Everyone also expects some SE ticks, it’s the EURO.  We just like to get a little snow here and there and not whiff totally.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The melts would be literal all timer stuff.

Ants squad car buried up to the mirrors while Ray bails out the foot of rainwater in his basement.

I was trying to find where everyone jumps into the black hole to add to this but i didn't have it on my laptop.....lol

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, IowaStorm05 said:

Usually not much of a valley curse area like CT River valley and other places, but my town is in a small scale valley and river and I like how the models remind me of it often: 

 

You can't fight topography.  I have had storms here where I could walk 20 minutes up the hill to more snow.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

If you can convince everyone in your life that 3” is a pleasant surprise , I gotta give you props 

Do you not see how many obs and photos (car topper! radar!) I take of a surprise 3-inch snowfall?  How is this news?  Everyone knows it lol.  I love snow, I’m in my glory wandering around with the dog in a few inches of fresh.  Folks and their jackpot fetishes... just need a few inches every few days.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I’m still convinced this front end thump is for real and it’ll be mostly snow for a lot of the forum.  Models seem to be struggling a bit on the low level temps a bit and determining where that changeover occurs.  The levels above there look plenty cold.   1-2C in the 925mb level are making all the difference in models right now.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looks great. Flirt with the taint, win the prize:

image.png

precip is also long gone by that time , it wraps up 6 or so hours earlier, here are the temps when heavy stuff is winding down.. surface is a bit warm yes, 925s and up plenty cold during steady precip, temps just off the deck don't warm until things shut off.  I will be watching surface temp trends though. 

ecmwf-deterministic-hartford-t850-2234800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-hartford-precip_1hr_inch-2245600.png

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I’m still convinced this front end thump is for real and it’ll be mostly snow for a lot of the forum.  Models seem to be struggling a bit on the low level temps a bit and determining where that changeover occurs.  The levels above there look plenty cold.   1-2C in the 925mb level are making all the difference in models right now.  

I mean, that’s a pretty good look.  The thermals are at the end of the panel obviously, so that snow has already fallen even if it warms up after.

3103169B-97A6-4A73-8BCF-576B5EAA3AEE.thumb.png.cabb5b65e9e1e009addc886533876df6.png

E5BF79A6-0EC1-4ACA-BA6F-D2FBFADA3904.thumb.png.2d7824e161e513c492205c0dae505e14.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...