Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[dryslot]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:29 PM, CoastalWx said:

Canadians are pretty warm. Congrats PA to Berks.

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Fuk um, They won't let us in there country.

[CoastalWx]

Ray approves.

[78Blizzard]

Like the RGEM, the GGEM is mostly rain for areas E of ORH.  

[Hoth]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:28 PM, EastonSN+ said:

CMC so tucked we go to some rain after 8 to 12.

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Let it freeze after to preserve the pack for future cutters.

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:29 PM, EastonSN+ said:

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I’d hit that in a second for my hood...18” or so is good for the soul. 

[Hoth]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:30 PM, WinterWolf said:

Ya I mean I get 10” and LI gets 30”..we cd t have that Nonsense. 

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It's clear that someone in the MA is getting bombed. We just have to hope that things trend a little at the last minute to get us the goods.

[EastonSN+]

[dryslot]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:30 PM, dryslot said:

Fuk um, They won't let us in there country.

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They tend be to a little too happy go lucky...we’ll tame them with the euro soon.

[TheSnowman]

So on catching up on the thread from last night...

 

Northeast RI is either getting 12”.......

 

or RAIN while my NW gets 12”+.  Great.  Love it being here.    

[correnjim1]

How much taint should I expect 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:29 PM, EastonSN+ said:

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That solution would “build Character “

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:37 PM, correnjim1 said:

How much taint should I expect 

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100% according to the RGEM and GGEM.  

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:30 PM, CoastalWx said:

Ray approves.

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Of 4.5” ?

maybe if he lived in Derry, NH on Cmc

[Hoth]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:37 PM, correnjim1 said:

How much taint should I expect 

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Varies from person to person.

[ORH_wxman]

The Canadian suite treats the upper low very different from other guidance in that it stalls it well southwest and rapidly deepens it on that spot. So it just dumps over PA/MD. 

 

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

Models are still all over the place with Max/Min areas, gonna need some more cycles to smooth it out.

[PhineasC]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:40 PM, ORH_wxman said:

The Canadian suite treats the upper low very different from other guidance in that it stalls it well southwest and rapidly deepens it on that spot. So it just dumps over PA/MD. 

 

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I wouldn't count on that.

[Damage In Tolland]

 

[78Blizzard]

Here we are again within 3 days and some of the models still don't have a consistent clue.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I trust the Canadian models when I am actually measuring the snow in my yard.

[IowaStorm05]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:29 PM, EastonSN+ said:

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This solution is more vertical in latitudinal behavior than I’m used to seeing though. 
 

Crush in NYC and mix in S Maine?

 

I don’t like it. But that’s ok, because I don’t trust it hahaha 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

When is 12z HREF out

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:30 PM, CoastalWx said:

Ray approves.

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If that verifies, you’ll see him in November.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

These warm solutions are spooking me... definitely something to keep an eye on. Canadian is a nothing burger east of ORH

[JB_Wchstr]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:49 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

These warm solutions are spooking me... definitely something to keep an eye on. Canadian is a nothing burger east of ORH

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If I can eek out a solid 6” I guess I’ll be ok

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6-10 here is looking more like 3-6” now me thinks 

[NorEastermass128]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:54 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

6-10 here is looking more like 3-6” now me thinks 

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Yup. E MA and SE MA will need the EURO to stop the bleeding with these trends if we’re expecting much. Not feeling great ATM. Trend is not our friend. Conversely, looking great for the WOR crowd and interior folks. 

[dryslot]

Uncle

 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/30/2021 at 4:54 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

6-10 here is looking more like 3-6” now me thinks 

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Too early. Some guidance like NAM and GFS tickled back SE a bit. 06z euro did too so it’s hard to accept the Canadian solutions right now. Major difference in how the upper air is treated.