Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Ginx snewx]

  On 1/29/2021 at 1:42 AM, dryslot said:

Except the euro, Right now its on its own.

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Virtually all of the 18Z EPS members are on board for a strong Noreaster. Like we always say 2 days prior is go day for the big ones.. Sat noon will be the time I take this seriously or not. Fun tracking but as we know, shit streaks happen

[dryslot]

  On 1/29/2021 at 1:52 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Virtually all of the 18Z EPS members are on board for a strong Noreaster. Like we always say 2 days prior is go day for the big ones.. Sat noon will be the time I take this seriously or not. Fun tracking but as we know, shit streaks happen

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And this one just happens to be further south today, The slower model scenario's allowed it to lift out in time, But no time to sweat the details.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/29/2021 at 1:52 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Virtually all of the 18Z EPS members are on board for a strong Noreaster. Like we always say 2 days prior is go day for the big ones.. Sat noon will be the time I take this seriously or not. Fun tracking but as we know, shit streaks happen

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Morch 2013 was way east.. if the firehose is real.. there’s nothing to worry about. Not a care in the world. If it’s real 

[NeonPeon]

To have any chance of a mostly snow event imby, I'm glad widespread disapointment is being countenanced. This is the way. All the bigger solutions were rain flips here, and while those always show some giant dump after the flip, it absolutely never works out here.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/29/2021 at 1:51 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

How many times have you been to this rodeo? You know how these go. They hit they go SE, they always come back . Not 6 hours ago you were going 10-20”. Pretty good “discreet” melt by you . You’ve got Wolf on your team.. may you raise the trophy. I’ll stay the course 

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Stating what the models are seeing and doing while commenting on them is not melting. Snapping my kids crayons when I saw 01/15 as the top analog last night, is. 

Nobody is calling this off emotionally but I have a public duty to call it like it is. 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/29/2021 at 1:51 AM, Henry's Weather said:

WPC bullish:

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Was that before or after Scooter's underwear problem?

[Typhoon Tip]

Like I joked earlier today 

... horse blinders 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/29/2021 at 1:22 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

There is that CT min on another piece of guidance. I wouldn’tbe surprised at this maxing out in the mid Atlantic and then again in NE Mass and SW Maine.

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That is exactly what I have felt for days.

But we'll see what happens.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/29/2021 at 2:17 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

Like I joked earlier today 

... horse blinders 

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This forum is in need of a positive 7 paragraph long tip post to take some off the ledge. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/29/2021 at 2:00 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Stating what the models are seeing and doing while commenting on them is not melting. Snapping my kids crayons when I saw 01/25 as the top analog last night, is. 

Nobody is calling this off emotionally but I have a public duty to call it like it is. 

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That would be 1/27...no? Lol.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/29/2021 at 2:21 AM, WinterWolf said:

That would be 1/27...no? Lol.

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I mean 01/15 lol. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/29/2021 at 1:51 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

How many times have you been to this rodeo? You know how these go. They hit they go SE, they always come back . Not 6 hours ago you were going 10-20”. Pretty good “discreet” melt by you . You’ve got Wolf on your team.. may you raise the trophy. I’ll stay the course 

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I’m not calling anything off at all Kev. My feeling is this is in the “in-between” stage as a lot of them go through.  And we’re still far enough way for major changes in either direction. That’s my gut feeling.  
 

Hopefully it goes well for SNE as a whole, and not just AEMATT.  I don’t need to JP by any means...but I want to be in the ball game too. As all of us do. 
 

 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/29/2021 at 2:24 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I mean 01/15 lol. 

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Lol I meant 1/27/15. I thought you meant January 15th. We are talking the same event..I just didn’t realize that 15 was the year.  

[Baroclinic Zone]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Scooter’s shit did soften up on the 0z nam but it’s the nam. 

[CoastalWx]

Not all too worried about a S streak.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/29/2021 at 2:49 AM, CoastalWx said:

Not all too worried about a S streak.

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Agreed.

[dryslot]

  On 1/29/2021 at 2:49 AM, CoastalWx said:

Not all too worried about a S streak.

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Yeah, You have a lot more to worry about.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/29/2021 at 2:49 AM, CoastalWx said:

Not all too worried about a S streak.

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Depends?

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/28/2021 at 10:55 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Did Dick Tolleris get ahold of your phone?

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?

Did I make spelling errors??

[PhineasC]

It’s pretty classic for the models to pull this crap at this range. 

[dryslot]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:19 AM, PhineasC said:

It’s pretty classic for the models to pull this crap at this range. 

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And posters.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:18 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

?

Did I make spelling errors??

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You know he tucked himself in at 8pm with a binky dipped in IPA...so you won’t get an answer until dawn.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:21 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You know he tucked himself in at 8pm with a binky dipped in IPA...so you won’t get an answer until dawn.

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Right, but maybe someone else knows what he was talking about...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:22 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right, but maybe someone else knows what he was talking about...

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Nobody knows...he’s far gone deep in the woods with his snow goggles and ear muffs on. No CT min, no way this isn’t widespread 12+ back to the berks, etc etc.

[Supernovice]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:22 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right, but maybe someone else knows what he was talking about...

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He was comparing you to DT- aka dick tolleris . Beyond that I dunno

edit: wait is that DT’s actual name?- lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:27 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nobody knows...he’s far gone deep in the woods with his snow goggles and ear muffs on. No CT min, no way this isn’t widespread 12+ back to the berks, etc etc.

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Hopefully it works out for you....funny, he had no issue when I was all over the Methuen subby zone in Dec...but not I'm forecasting the JP west of me bc of my JP fetish.....yea...

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:28 AM, Supernovice said:

He was comparing you to DT- aka dick tolleris . Beyond that I dunno

edit: wait is that DT’s actual name?- lol

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Dave.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:29 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hopefully it works out for you....funny, he had no issue when I was all over the Methuen subby zone in Dec...but not I'm forecasting the JP west of me bc of my JP fetish.....yea...

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He’ll do him, it’s comedic at least. 

Should be a fun one unless this slips too far sw and then ne of here. Regardless, I enjoy the hunt. At least the board’s Jan duldrums have subsided...a consolation prize of sorts. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/29/2021 at 3:40 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He’ll do him, it’s comedic at least. 

Should be a fun one unless this slips too far sw and then ne of here. Regardless, I enjoy the hunt. At least the board’s Jan duldrums have subsided...a consolation prize of sorts. 

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If that shit streak did ever manage to fu#k this up, I honestly would vacate the forum for the season...I'd be outie in a heart beat.