Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Henry's Weather]

Sadly, there's a reason Feb 2013 is at the bottom of the list. Pretty different synoptic setup.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:15 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, fair enough.

Like I said, I wasn't sure whether we were referencing storms that were literally ALL n Stream, or just mainly. No debate it was 90%+ N stream....

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Y'allz can find it here:    https://library.noaa.gov/Collections/Digital-Collections/US-Daily-Weather-Maps

[40/70 Benchmark]

Seems to be more energy hanging back near CC this wknd..not sure I like that.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:15 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, fair enough.

Like I said, I wasn't sure whether we were referencing storms that were literally ALL n Stream, or just mainly. No debate it was 90%+ N stream....

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Yeah I'm not sure how many big dog miller Bs are truly100% northern stream....maybe Jan '05? I think even 12/9/05 had a turd shooting up from the gulf of mexico. I'd have to go back and look at some earlier ones.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:21 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I'm not sure how many big dog miller Bs are truly100% northern stream....maybe Jan '05? I think even 12/9/05 had a turd shooting up from the gulf of mexico. I'd have to go back and look at some earlier ones.

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Yea, that I am not sure of....probably not many, so it would sense to just distinguish by whether there was a prominent s stream player.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:20 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Seems to be more energy hanging back near CC this wknd..not sure I like that.

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I do.  I think it help slow/delay development/intensification.  Otherwise, this would likely tuck.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Euro looks a bit further S and E with primary over OV. 2nd-ary off OBX.

[ORH_wxman]

The trough def looks better on this run vs 00z...more robust.

[dryslot]

Euro going to deliver this run me thinks, Pretty tucked this run.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Man, good to see that consistency...Euro is locking in, synoptically speaking.

[MJO812]

Euro is slower than the gfs in regards to timing

[ORH_wxman]

This thing might go nuts in a frame or two...that's a lot of northern stream about to inject into the trough.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:28 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This thing might go nuts in a frame or two...that's a lot of northern stream about to inject into the trough.

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Look at that energy diving in from the GL,  

[Bostonseminole]

144 boom

[Spanks45]

Just sitting at the mouth of the Chesapeake waiting for the energy to catch up...come on north!!!

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:28 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This thing might go nuts in a frame or two...that's a lot of northern stream about to inject into the trough.

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Yea, looks strong.

[dryslot]

Pretty healthy vort dropping in the backside of the trough out of the northern stream.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:29 PM, dryslot said:

Pretty healthy vort dropping in the backside of the trough out of the northern stream.

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Hopefully we can get it closer to LI, beforehand, as opposed to the Delmarva.

[Damage In Tolland]

24-48

[Bostonseminole]

cape folks might hate this run

[dryslot]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:30 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hopefully we can get it closer to LI, beforehand, as opposed to the Delmarva.

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Should be this run

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:31 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

24-48

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cm....make sure you specfiy units.

[weathafella]

So far so good.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/27/2021 at 6:32 PM, ORH_wxman said:

cm....make sure you specfiy units.

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Hours 

[dryslot]

Crushing inbound.

[Henry's Weather]

epicosity

[Bostonseminole]

allot of QPF there.. 925 temps remain below freezing up to boston.. anything north of that I think gets buried.

[Baroclinic Zone]

What a wild result this one is.  Damn.

[Henry's Weather]

who cares about thermals, look at that phase!!!

[dryslot]

986mb on the BM