Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[MJO812]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:16 PM, ORH_wxman said:

He uses those awful sideways maps from France or some random european country.

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Yes

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:11 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Def. less impressive than 06z.

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Congrats James.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:21 PM, 78Blizzard said:

Congrats James.

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To the contrary...if you won that run, then you have my condolences.

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

To the contrary...if you won that run, then you have my condolences.

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Who said anything about winning?

[Ginx snewx]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:11 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Def. less impressive than 06z.

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Looks nice, ignore the qpf maps 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:22 PM, 78Blizzard said:

Who said anything about winning?

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I was speaking to you, not at you.

[Damage In Tolland]

Until they stop showing the deep massive easterly inflow the long duration , big amounts are very real possibility 

[Baroclinic Zone]

12z GFSv16 is a SE MA special.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:34 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

12z GFSv16 is a SE MA special.

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Seems like the goal posts are a se MA special to a tuck job...I'm okay with that.

[NorEastermass128]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:35 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Seems like the goal posts are a se MA special to a tuck job...I'm okay with that.

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Methuen in the crosshairs.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

SEMAATT jacks...the weenie world is finally back on it’s axis. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:35 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Seems like the goal posts are a se MA special to a tuck job...I'm okay with that.

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Icon ain't happening, nor is a complete whiff.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:36 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

SEMAATT jacks...the weenie world is finally back on it’s axis. 

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Make ASEMATT great again.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:36 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

Methuen in the crosshairs.  

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I mean, it could very well end up at either edge, but I'm not in bad spot, right now. Slightly more concerned about  W tics, which is the problem that I'd rather have. Last thing I want is a graze.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:39 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

I’d rather see flooding rains imby than smoke cirrus. Big dog or bust. 

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Well, I feel like my floor is to the east. I'm not getting rain unless something drastically changes, and with the easterly fetch, I'd rather concede the deformation area, then risk a graze. I don't foresee big subby areas in E NE.

[dryslot]

Great spot for this right now, No one wants a day 6 jack.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:34 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

12z GFSv16 is a SE MA special.

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I would hit it not just aematt

[Damage In Tolland]

What are folks so worried about?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:47 PM, dryslot said:

Great spot for this right now, No one wants a day 6 jack.

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Yup. The entire region is in the game. From Freak to Jimbo.

[dryslot]

[Baroclinic Zone]

12z GEFS pretty far SE but nice long E fetch.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 1/27/2021 at 4:57 PM, dryslot said:

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Yup ... ( moderate potency + duration ) /2   solution there

want to stress the distinction between a 9 to 12 hour snow bomb with CCB wind event off a bomb juggernaut

-vs-

a 24 hour moderate snow with occasional heavy bands and occasional lighter bands, in moderate climate storm winds...

Those two scenarios get one to the same impact destination.  

That is, of course...how all this looks now. 

Also stressing the point ...we are still really seeing the models responding to period of time more so than a specific event - altho the latter is formulating.   You can punt the 48 hours of constant hosing snow and wind as though New England and upper M/A will sit that long inside the choke flow off the nozzle of a Valian snow making machine ...  

uh, you know better than that - c'mon

[The 4 Seasons]

UKMET 126 132 138 144HR sfc progs improvement from the 00Z run.

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Good, good. Gfs and gefs being se is perfect. Nobody wants to be in its zone.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 1/27/2021 at 5:06 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Good, good. Gfs and gefs being se is perfect. Nobody wants to be in its zone.

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Nah ...it's not even SE ... not with that moderate spread near ACK ... that's just as much likelihood that thing destines too close actually -

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/27/2021 at 5:08 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Nah ...it's not even SE ... not with that moderate spread near ACK ... that's just as much likelihood that thing destines too close actually -

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Gefs definitely has the capture the furthest east. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

CMC is a weird look... congrats Plymouth county?

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

  On 1/27/2021 at 5:09 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

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Hmmm... that’s pretty far east 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/27/2021 at 5:16 PM, Kitzbuhel Craver said:

Hmmm... that’s pretty far east 

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It’s interesting though when you roll it 12hrs later: