Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Sciascia said: GFS-Elect seems to also have the earlier precip onset that the HRRR had for N IL. Where forecasts have projected a close-to-6pm start time, this has almost 3 inches on the ground come 6pm. It's also wetter, with 1.40"+ precip at ORD. It did run a bit too wet with the last storm system, so chop a bit off and it's still respectable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 EURO has my area E of CLE getting 2 GFS 8 what could go wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I would think that the snow cover keeps us cooler in LOT and the screw hole south east of lot wouldn’t verify with these totals. Satellite showed bare ground there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, Sciascia said: GFS-Elect seems to also have the earlier precip onset that the HRRR had for N IL. Where forecasts have projected a close-to-6pm start time, this has almost 3 inches on the ground come 6pm. Incoming 3z RAP is slowing down precip onset a little. Alek mentioned it earlier but these types of setups often like to onset a bit quicker than models suggest, except maybe if there is a ton of dry air in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 That front end thump is going to be something serious. Could easily see 1-2in/hr rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 0z GEM a bit wetter across E IA/N IL, and many other areas to the S and SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 Chicago WX will be panicking tomorrow watching the precip shield approach... guaranteed. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Incoming 3z RAP is slowing down precip onset a little. Alek mentioned it earlier but these types of setups often like to onset a bit quicker than models suggest, except maybe if there is a ton of dry air in place. what are you a kill joy? Your supposed to pump the thread. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1-9”... what could go wrong? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 where's threat #2? mine didn't produce, yours needs to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 New thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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