beavis1729 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 13 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: At what point does @beavis1729 go full Cornholio? Good snowfall with this storm...then preserve some/all snowpack until an arctic outbreak like some GFS progs have been showing... 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 48 minutes ago, RyanDe680 said: Plume wars show approx 6.5 at ORD. 3 show above 10" Behind the times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, mimillman said: Behind the times... healthy 1" qpf cluster at ORD with limited clunkers dragging down mean a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 NAM slower, stronger, wetter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 NAM looking sweet again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Some snow still falling in IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 buried sat evening and mood flakes all day sunday is an ideal scenario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 What an absolute Dagger for SE MI verbatim on the 12z NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Wetter is such a linguistically more enjoyable word to say than drier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 still ground zero. I'm worried. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Fort Wayne is the new winner with the NAM at 14.2 inches. Lots of good QPF for those on the southern edge but so much marginally warm air. The ice threat is back too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 hard to believe this isn't a rainer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 A lot to like if you're in and around Chicago on the 12z NAM. Mid/upper level lows all take a nice track for a band of heavy snow. Think I-80 to the border is going to cash quite nicely. I think most times, these systems like to bleed a little further north than forecasted. Read the overnight AFD from LOT, and they have the heaviest a little farther north...I-88 to far north central IL. And mainly rain from I-80 to the south. Again, I think it's more I-80 on north for the heaviest snows...and the changeover to all rain, after a brief start of frozen, looks solid for the southern CWA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Interesting to see if qpf numbers hold up or trend drier as so often happens as we near event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, beavis1729 said: Good snowfall with this storm...then preserve some/all snowpack until an arctic outbreak like some GFS progs have been showing... Hoping that cutter won't be too harmful to our snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 25 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Some snow still falling in IL looks like 700 mb wrap around action with lake enhancement at the end of the run at 84 hours like last system 20-25 dbz still along the IL lake shore .might be good for another 1-2 inches beyond NAM range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 26 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Some snow still falling in IL Miss south stank. Can the NAM be any more obvious with that dead spot here? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z RGEM will stay overall consistent as well.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 52 minutes ago, mimillman said: Behind the times... ride the outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 IF we learned anything from the last storm at this exact same time prior, congrats Mid-Michigan. Ok, let me have it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 ICON nudged north a tad and still changes snow to rain well north 995 low just WSW of Quincy 06z Sunday similar to NAM position but 2-3 mb deeper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: 6z EPS Mean My area needs the east and north trickle to stop. We're still ok for now, with plenty of support for several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z RGEM will stay overall consistent as well... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 ICON nudged north a tad and still changes snow to rain well north 995 low just WSW of Quincy 06z Sunday similar to NAM position but 2-3 mb deeperUseless model is useless.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS still out to lunch. This is the look of a broken model. Barely any snow at all north of the low while all other models have widespread snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS seems to be a touch wetter in terms of total precip, but thermals still not great. How long after the “base” GFS runs does the V16 run? Pivotal has it at 0hrs right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: GFS still out to lunch. This is the look of a broken model. Barely any snow at all north of the low while all other models have widespread snow. I have a hard time discounting it completely though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I have a hard time discounting it completely though. It shouldn't be hard to. It's an outlier for a reason, that being garbage thermals. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 In the end, GFS drops 7-8 at ORD like more or less every other model 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, A-L-E-K said: In the end, GFS drops 7-8 at ORD like more or less every other model Yeah, I'd say Chicagoland is locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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