snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 13 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Definitely a tough zone to be in for good snowstorms (detroit, 401 to toronto). No block, we get a GHD type that goes NW. Block, the precip dissipates as it enters the region. Getting the block to setup in the right place is like russian roulette. We need an old fashioned gulf low, riding into arctic air. Good to see some areas that haven't seen much cashing in with this one. Sure. ORD at 14.6" on the season. They need a storm, stat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Snowstorms said: Not feeling very optimistic about this one for us. Strong blocking and lingering dry air basically shred this system as it tries to push north. Unless something drastically changes over the next 2 days, I wouldn't count on anything. Because of the block it literally moves N then E then N again. A NAO block is okay if its more towards Greenland and further east. Any block around Baffin Island is just bad all around. I’m hoping we can score something by mid Feb. The next storm is looking like a rainer for us. Congrats to the Chicago crew. First whiff a roo from the EURO. Could be an aberration. Wouldnt give up yet on a lighter snowfall at least. But, yeah, the setup does not bode well for us. Would need to thread the needle with a west based NAO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z EPS Mean.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 absolute ctrl-v mode with models here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, A-L-E-K said: absolute ctrl-v mode with models here Been a long time since we have had this kind of agreement. Lets start bumping the QPF and make er a big dog. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: absolute ctrl-v mode with models here SpartStyle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 12z EPS Mean... . Can you post the probability maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Disappointed once again. So tired of getting missed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Can you post the probability maps6”+ probs the highest they have been.... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 58 minutes ago, fyrfyter said: Another 2” run for the Tri-State. A heavy snowfall is becoming an extreme rarity around here. Same in central Indiana. Sucks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Down to 50% for 6" here according to the Euro. 6" is the line between moderate and big storm here, so I'd like to get at least that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, zinski1990 said: Same in central Indiana. Sucks It would be nice to get the moisture and the cold at the same time. I am holding out hope in Kokomo but know it is probably fruitless to wish for a 6" storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiptonMike Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, KokomoWX said: It would be nice to get the moisture and the cold at the same time. I am holding out hope in Kokomo but know it is probably fruitless to wish for a 6" storm. I'll settle for 5 1/2" at this point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Anything that has a CMI screw hole is money. Another cold Rainer incoming for central Illinois. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 22 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Been a long time since we have had this kind of agreement. Lets start bumping the QPF and make er a big dog. Can we compromise and keep QPF as is and have the cold air more prominent further South? It would benefit you just the same by increasing ratio rather than moisture content. That said, only good thing about this system is it puts me one closer to the next big one here. Who knows how long that will take though 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Chambana said: Anything that has a CMI screw hole is money. Another cold Rainer incoming for central Illinois. I'll take your winter screw hole in exchange for your severe weather bullseye 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, Chambana said: Anything that has a CMI screw hole is money. Another cold Rainer incoming for central Illinois. spot the Jan 26-28th IL screw hole 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I'd settle for at least 3 at this point lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: spot the Jan 26-28th IL screw hole Par for the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Love how it's all of our locations. Even southern parts of Indiana got 3-4 inches yesterday and last night. I got like .2 inches yay 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, zinski1990 said: I'd settle for at least 3 at this point lol. I’d go for 2.5, since that might trigger a Watch. It’s been 720+ days since we’ve had more than 2.5” fall in 24 hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Snow band would explode about 3-6 hours later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro Kuchera: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 I'm gonna start calling weatherbell Kuchera the weenie Kuchera. Pivotal = regular Kuchera 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 18z NAM N IL I-80 destruction seems to be even wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 NAM going big across N Central IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 This seems like the models are in agreement unlike the last storm in the Midwest (Madison getting 6 inches!?!?!) I could see a scenario where the tracks are wrong but the models all changing in a similar way or is that too simplistic of a view? Not sure what I'd do with 2 storms in a week. But hey, the kids still got a "snow day" even with remote learning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The difference from the last two major snowfalls is that this snow will be wet, aka hard to shovel. This is reminding me of February 1, 2015, except without the several hour period of cold rain. That storm was the last major cement snowfall for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts