WHEATCENT Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 lol at the rain/precip just dying just east of CLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 20 minutes ago, Crispus said: So...sounds like they're thinking rain for PIA. I saw weatherunderground went from 8 inches, to 4 inches, to 2 inches, now to an inch of rain. LOL at 12z PARA for us such a waste of 1.4 inches of precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 54 minutes ago, blizzardof96 said: Check out that gradient! Burlington pier at 11.1" with Buttonville at 3.6". Set up sort of reminds me of March 2001, although the northern stream portion in that case had 3 closed contours at H5, so much stronger. Ended up being a widespread 6-8" snowfall even with the main sfc reflection off the east coast. A best case scenario. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Good support for a period of 1-2" per hour rates. The timing of this for Chicagoland is such that people won't have a lot of time to get a head start on cleanup unless they want to be out there after 9 pm on Saturday. Then they will wake up in the morning to a big chore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: LOL at 12z PARA for us such a waste of 1.4 inches of precip Southern cutoff is rough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The consistency is delicious. I assume if everything holds at 00z tonight, it's all systems go from LOT. That much QPF is gonna be a big cleanup job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, tuanis said: The consistency is delicious. I assume if everything holds at 00z tonight, it's all systems go from LOT. Given the modeled totals and good overall model agreement, this is about the highest confidence you can get in issuing a winter storm watch in the outer periods. Question is how far south they would place it since confidence drops off the farther south of I-80 that you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Seems like an outlier with such a heavy band that far south. Fort Wayne says where's my snow lol Nice avatar btw. May 30, 2004. Recognized it immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 euro gonna be strong/wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 NAM has some 40 mph gust potential, if not a tad more in some areas. GFS is probably about 10 mph less so either way, at least 30 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro going to be big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 32 minutes ago, vortex said: Southern cutoff is rough. Writing is on the wall for us. Too many fail modes present versus succeeding. Just a 30 mile shift and it’s 1.00+ of cold cold rain. Maybe we can squeeze out an inch or two on the front end...with some consolation flakes at the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Could argue WSW with this evening's package for whole LOT CWA? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z NAM Snowfall for NW Ohio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Could argue WSW with this evening's package for whole LOT CWA? May as well wait a day and get full sampling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Why not.... 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 cursed 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Hoosier-daddy? And this is 10:1 before backside LE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z Euro precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Another 2” run for the Tri-State. A heavy snowfall is becoming an extreme rarity around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 10 minutes ago, mimillman said: Hoosier-daddy? And this is 10:1 before backside LE... Has a shot to rank in my top 5 paste jobs if it pans out. March 1998 is gonna be tough to dethrone though with bonus points for the surprise aspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 15 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Baby steps... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Ugh I'm gonna need these to stop inching north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Total whiff here on the EURO. Be glad once this blocking is gone. Cold and dry is the worst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I highly doubt a watch will be issued this afternoon for LOT. Possibly in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, snowstormcanuck said: Total whiff here on the EURO. Be glad once this blocking is gone. Cold and dry is the worst. Definitely a tough zone to be in for good snowstorms (detroit, 401 to toronto). No block, we get a GHD type that goes NW. Block, the precip dissipates as it enters the region. Getting the block to setup in the right place is like russian roulette. We need an old fashioned gulf low, riding into arctic air. Good to see some areas that haven't seen much cashing in with this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 21 minutes ago, snowstormcanuck said: Total whiff here on the EURO. Be glad once this blocking is gone. Cold and dry is the worst. 13 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Definitely a tough zone to be in for good snowstorms (detroit, 401 to toronto). No block, we get a GHD type that goes NW. Block, the precip dissipates as it enters the region. Getting the block to setup in the right place is like russian roulette. We need an old fashioned gulf low, riding into arctic air. Good to see some areas that haven't seen much cashing in with this one. Not feeling very optimistic about this one for us. Strong blocking and lingering dry air basically shred this system as it tries to push north. Unless something drastically changes over the next 2 days, I wouldn't count on anything. Because of the block it literally moves N then E then N again. A NAO block is okay if its more towards Greenland and further east. Any block around Baffin Island is just bad all around. I’m hoping we can score something by mid Feb. The next storm is looking like a rainer for us. Congrats to the Chicago crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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