mimillman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: we're golden Such confidence from a guy with like 10" 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 The Euro is very close to the UK over here, but the UK takes the snow band east while the Euro east-southeast.Much less clownish Kuchera map. Nice spread the wealth as modeled on this run, with some lake enhancement into southeast WI and northeast IL. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, snowstormcanuck said: Nice shift north from the UKIE. Again, not expecting the brunt of this but even a 2-4" deal would be welcomed. Weak LES signals showing up but would like less dry air, higher inversion heights and colder air at 850 before I really got excited about that. I agree. But there's still room for it to shift further north. A lot of moving parts for complete consensus. Like our recent storm which came surprisingly further north overtime. The two things we must monitor if we want a shift further north is the massive trough to our east and the piece of energy near Hudson Bay and its downstream impacts on our storm. The massive NAO block near Baffin Island will likely rip apart our storm, should it progress further north, limiting how much snow we can get. But I'd be okay with another 2-4" storm. Like how we nickeled and dimed our way to average last winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Eps bumps north. 6-7 on the mean for Chicago 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps bumps north. 6-7 on the mean for Chicago widespread purple 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 solid hits across the board with 12z runs, near total sweep 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: widespread purple 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, Snowstorms said: I agree. But there's still room for it to shift further north. A lot of moving parts for complete consensus. Like our recent storm which came surprisingly further north overtime. The two things we must monitor if we want a shift further north is the massive trough to our east and the piece of energy near Hudson Bay and its downstream impacts on our storm. The massive NAO block near Baffin Island will likely rip apart our storm, should it progress further north, limiting how much snow we can get. But I'd be okay with another 2-4" storm. Like how we nickeled and dimed our way to average last winter. Whats interesting regarding the general public is generally numerous 2-4" events plus some sustained cold/snow cover will make a lot assume it was a harsh winter. The average Joe commuting to work or walking his dog won't really notice the difference between a 3" snow that slowed down his commute substantially compared to a 4-6" event that would have done the same thing and left the ground looking just as white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I'll take my chances 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Feeling really good about this one. Tomorrow should tell the tale about how this one will play out for the I-80 corridor in Indiana. GFS has been pretty consistent for heavy snow here and the Euro is trending further north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Euro looks somewhat similar to what happened with the last storm in N IL. There will be a large area that gets less snow while the lake helps others out. That's of course taking the run verbatim and there's no reason to do that, but if that run transpired, I'd be in a bad mood. lol I really prefer a more east-west orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 14 minutes ago, mimillman said: I'll take my chances This looks like it may be the one for downtown and south (not that farther north can't do well too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 51 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Much less clownish Kuchera map. Nice spread the wealth as modeled on this run, with some lake enhancement into southeast WI and northeast IL. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk May be some heart attack stuff in the main band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said: Euro looks somewhat similar to what happened with the last storm in N IL. There will be a large area that gets less snow while the lake helps others out. That's of course taking the run verbatim and there's no reason to do that, but if that run transpired, I'd be in a bad mood. lol On this past storm you were worried about a miss south until 24 hours out. The best banding ended up NORTH OF MADISON. You should like where you sit with this one. Besides, doesn't the lake help out in lakeshore counties in most mid-winter snowstorms around here? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said: UKMET trying to crush my hopes and dreams. I want to believe I have a shot with this but definitely have the I80 north special vibes as usual. Weren't you worried about a miss south yesterday? What is your biggest snow so far this season? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, tuanis said: On this past storm you were worried about a miss south until 24 hours out. The best banding ended up NORTH OF MADISON. You should like where you sit with this one. Besides, doesn't the lake help out in lakeshore counties in most mid-winter snowstorms around here? That's a baldface lie but whatever. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said: That's a baldface lie but whatever. Maybe it was the guy in Cary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Obviously the lake can enhance totals, that's not my point, My point is areas in NE IL that end up north of the main band have that as a cushion while inland areas don't. Hence why I'd prefer not to have the E/SE track of the Euro. I'm not worried one way or the other at this point. It's still quite a ways out and I'm not planning on riding every model run like last time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, tuanis said: Maybe it was the guy in Cary. I was worried on Thursday when models were still trending south. Both Cary and I did make final guesses that were low (4 and 5" respectively). Mine panned out as we got 4" (though, that may be a slightly rounded up version of the actual total from averaging multiple measurements, lots of drifting). He busted a bit high. The LOT snow map shows the painful bullseye of lower totals across Winnebego-Boone-McHenry Counties, which, aside from the megaband that blasted Wisconsin, I was prepared for. Honestly, it was Madison getting 6-8" that was the real kick in the balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 27 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Weren't you worried about a miss south yesterday? What is your biggest snow so far this season? I was! I was on the northern fringe yesterday of the heaviest swath. Now back to the southern fringe. I can't win this winter man. Feel like north shifts aren't done either. My earlier call of another I80 north special will probably be right. Euro still good here but a little too close for comfort. Biggest snow so far here was like 2.5-3in after the ice storm on New Year's Day. Forever riding the gradient here. It always seems to ride along I74 bisecting my county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 If only. This is a beautiful screenshot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 ^ dryslot incoming. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Baum said: ^ dryslot incoming. With the totals being produced, a dry slot (which I can't see coming north of Chicago) wouldn't even be that big of a deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, tuanis said: Maybe it was the guy in Cary. That guy doesn't know squat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, Baum said: ^ dryslot incoming. 6 hours of 1" rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 18z NAM is great. Through midnight Sat night, and still hours of snow to go.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 NAM would undoubtedly be 12+ in the main band (even on non-weatherbell maps) if it went out farther. Still plenty of snow to go. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: solid hits across the board with 12z runs, near total sweep Fairly surprising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Chicago Storm said: 18z NAM is great. Through midnight Sat night, and still hours of snow to go... . Yea great if you live I80 north. Imagine that. You northern IL people are snow greedy. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Wonder when the last time LOT was hit with significant snowfall within a week of each other? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts